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Comment Always regretted that Sci-Fi wenr all dystopian (Score 1) 111

Sci-Fi like Star Trek provided a positive future to aspire to, and I always hoped for more such positive visions to guide us. Certainly felt that a lack of it will hamper our potential. Yet, I never expected the tech bro culture to be stupid enough to actually want to emulate the dark and dystopian visions. Yet, here we are.

Comment Zhao bought this pardon (Score 2) 92

It's open blatant in your face corruption.

About as in your face as the White House Demolition.

Or the fact that Donnie boy wants the DOJ to cut him a quarter billion check.

Some Americans got off the couch last Saturday. What will it take to get enough of them to care to make an actual difference?

Comment Sabine Hossenfelder used to have a point (Score 4, Insightful) 213

Back in the days when she just blogged I was a huge fan, because she is a brilliant theoretical physicist and her frustrations with String theory were well founded.

Unfortunately, YouTube warped her. IMHO she completely jumped the gun when she extrapolated from her experience in theoretical physics to all of science. She now claims all of science is failing and this is extremely disingenuous and dangerous rhetoric.

https://www.mcgill.ca/oss/arti...

Comment Will the AI crash lead to another AI winter? (Score 1) 238

"... the apparent reasoning prowess of Chain-of-Thought (CoT) is largely a brittle mirage. The findings across task, length, and format generalization experiments converge on a conclusion: CoT is not a mechanism for genuine logical inference but rather a sophisticated form of structured pattern matching."

The latter should really not surprise anyone with a passing understanding of the LLM transformer model. They were never designed for reasoning tasks but for machine translation. But an entire industry has now sprung up trying to shoehorn them into arbitrary business cases, no matter what level of real reasoning, expertise, common sense and judgement is required. I am quite confident in predicting that Sam Altman's quote that "GPT-5 is the first time that it really feels like talking to an expert in any topic, like a PhD-level expert," will live in infamy.

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