
Journal pudge's Journal: Sunday Thoughts 61
Unable
On Fox News Sunday, Bush advisor Matthew Dowd said yes, we need to make more progress in the economy, but asked what the alternative is. Would more taxes create jobs, give more home ownership? Kerry's advisor Tad Devine said:
The alternative is whether or not we want to go in a new direction or continue the failed policies of George Bush. Today, this country is spending $200 billion in Iraq. And that's why we can't begin to address the domestic agenda that the President puts forth in his ads. Until we stop spending $200 billion there of taxpayers money, we won't be able to address the problems here at home.
Kerry has said:
As complicated as Iraq seems, we've got three basic options: one, we can continue to do this largely by ourselves and hope more of the same works; two, we can conclude it's not doable, pull out and hope against hope that the worst doesn't happen in Iraq; or three, we can get the Iraqi people and the world's major powers invested with us in building Iraq's future.
The problem is that Bush has been trying to do the third option as much as possible, and there is absolutely no indication whatsoever that Kerry could improve on that (pop quiz: name one country that might provide troops who has thus far refused).
Let's just note for the sake of argument that it is very possible that Kerry will be unsuccessful at getting the troops out as he plans. Is he saying that if he is unsuccessful, that he won't be able to, as President, address domestic problems? Why yes, he is.
It's a neat strategy: preemptive excuses. As President, I can't fix your problems, because I was saddled with this war! But he has been saying he can fix the problems created by the war, and now he is saying maybe he can't. So why vote for him, if the only way he can fix our problems is to rely on the help of allies who have consistently refused to help, and have given no indication they are willing to change their minds?
Crazy.
Polls
No one has ever won the Presidency being down in the polls by more than a point or two in September. On the other hand, no televised convention has ever been held this late in the season. On the other hand, the few polls we've seen don't even fully reflect the result of the convention (Kerry's final "bounce" numbers didn't come in until Tuesday or so following his convention speech, IIRC). On the other hand, the results of the Time and Newsweek polls that put Bush ahead by 11 points are being questioned (I'd dig up a link, but we'll find out how reasonable they are over the next week or two anyway, as more polls come out).
Ratings
Preliminary ratings showed Fox News Channel (+7 million viewers) beat NBC, ABC, and CBS (+5m each). CNN (+2m) and MSNBC (+1m) followed. I watched mostly CSPAN and MSNBC. CSPAN does the best coverage of the speech, since they just show the actual event. MSNBC has some of the more interesting commentary IMO (I like the mix of Chris Matthews' shows, and they also had J.C. Watts).
I like the analysis on Fox too, but to a lesser degree, mostly because I have to work to avoid O'Reilly, and TV watching shouldn't be that much work (he says as he is taking notes while watching the Sunday shows
Regardless, a cable channel beating the big three is pretty impressive.
Funny
Letterman: "On Monday, President Bush said we can't win the war on terrorism. Then on Tuesday, he said we will the war on terrorism. And earlier today, he predicted a tie."
Deceptions
Kerry's web site has 143 "lies" and "deceptions" from the GOP convention. The stench of desperation on this thing is so think it's triggering my gag reflex. The Democrat convention was probably pretty close to as full of the same kinds of "lies" and "deceptions," give or take a dozen.
(I am not saying the claim is false just because they do it too; that would be a fallacy. I am saying that the Democrats have no reasonable standing to make the claim, because they are just as guilty of it [just like their claim about Bush and illegal coordination with SBVT]. That is, maybe it's true, but I just don't care when it comes from them.)
Update: More Crazy
I forgot one more thing: on Meet the Press, new Kerry advisor James Carville addressed Zell Miller's speech last week at the RNC. Carville, who became a household name as an advisor to President Clinton, ran a campaign for Miller in the 90s, and Miller officiated at Carville's wedding to right-wing politico Mary Matalin.
Carville, wanting to attack the Republicans but not wanting to attack his longtime friend, blamed the Republicans for Miller's speech, saying they put him up there, they put words in his mouth, in the twilight of his career, and made him look like a fool. It's so sweet of him to avoid attacking his good friend by saying his a senile old man who couldn't possibly have really meant all those things. Matalin rolled her eyes and said Miller wrote his own speech.
Re:Bingo (Score:2)
That is neither what I said, nor what I meant. What I meant was that if someone does $x, and then accuses someone else of $x, I won't listen to them. It's not at all about what I think: the same would hold true in the reverse, if the Bush campaign came out with a list of lies at the Democrat convention.
LOL (Score:2)
In this case X is illegal coordination between a campaign and 527s when, to your knowledge, there is no evidence that proves the case, to your satisfaction and in your opinion. And Y, of course, is whatever you feel like, but this week it's pointing out that the speakers at the Republican convention lied over and over.
But by that logic, pudge, you have to ignore everything
Re:LOL (Score:2)
No, I did not say I would not pay attention to X because of Y, as you defined them. You misinterpreted what I wrote. I gave Y as a separate example of why I would not listen to the Democrats about Y. I won't listen to X because they do X, and I won't listen to Y because they do Y.
So no, I don't have to ignore what the GOP says since March, but I do ignore what they say ab
Well (Score:1)
As to getting other countries on board. Half the population of just about any given country is adamantly opposed to George W. Bush. This makes it quite difficult for Bush to do much of anything, so long as these nations are beholden to their own electorate.
Spain, France, Germany, most of Europe. Britain may shift in the next four years as well, especially if Blair is no longer PM.
Russia has it's own problems.
So the question, at least in
Re:Well (Score:1, Flamebait)
More likely Kerry will act more favorably to foreign leaders.
I for one see France as playing a carrot here trying to influence US elections. They are doing their best to insinuate that they will send troops if Kerry is president, and they just might. But that forms two problems, 1) I'm not about to be carroted by France, 2) As the dissident frog quotes on his website, going to war
Re:Well (Score:2)
Him or the policies? I'm sure some are motivated by the ignorant kneejerk hatred which seems to drive a lot of American Kerry supporters, but most seemed to care rather more about keeping the neo-Nazi dictator in power in Iraq and the Taleban in control of most of Afghanistan. Why would they suddenly start liking those policies just because it's Kerry in charge of implementing them?
Spain, France, Germany, most of
Re:Well (Score:2)
Right. It's very hard for Bush to get the help of other nations in dealing with Afghanistan, Iran, North Korea, various counter-terrorist operations
So the question, at least i
Re:Well (Score:1)
Getting leaders on board is possible(and has been done to some extent), but only if it is politically sane for them to do so.
Bush plays well in Idaho. We know he doesn't play too well throughout most of Europe.
In other words. I think Kerry will "play" better in Europe, thus aiding us in g
Re:Well (Score:2)
But there is no indication Kerry would be able to get any troops from any country. If you have any, provide it. It's fine to assert that in the abstract, but I don't see it being borne out in the reality of Iraq, and you've provided nothing at all other to make anyone think otherwise.
Re:Well (Score:1)
We know the known factor isn't that good on this particular front.
We have no idea how the unknown factor would pan out. Maybe we'll find out, maybe we won't.
Re:Well (Score:2)
And this "unknown factor" is known to be extremely unreliable in his position on the war, such that I can't see why anyone should give him the benefit of the doubt. He supported the invasion of Iraq when it happened, and now he does not.
Re:Well (Score:1)
Okay Pudge, I'm callin you out.
Re:Well (Score:2)
You're confused, I think. The argument offered was that other countries won't help the U.S. because they don't like Bush. I was saying "they are helping" in reference to the other examples, not in reference to Iraq. Many nations continued to provide support in Afghanistan who did not help in Iraq (e.g., Canada and Germany). Nations who opposed us on the Security Council for Iraq are helping us with North
Re:Well (Score:1)
Not necessarily, look at the guy in France.
And holy shit dude, I just posted this a few minutes ago. Am I talking to Tyler Durden and not Pudge?
Re:Well (Score:2)
Ha! I actually almost said, "excluding France."
Am I talking to Tyler Durden and not Pudge?
You don't want to know.
Re:Well (Score:2)
Correct. Most people in my country (Canada) were opposed to the war from the beginning, and any government that tried to get us in there would have been voted out without mercy. What is key in terms of Canada participating in Iraq is having the operatio
Re:Well (Score:2)
Perhaps you missed the news, but last year, after the invasion was complete, the UN security council passed -- unanimously -- a resolution that made Iraq a UN operation. Specifically, resolution 1511 (October 2003) states: "[The UNSC] Determines that the provis
Re:Well (Score:2)
Re:Well (Score:2)
Canada participated in Guld War I without this stipulation. Why require it now?
The Iraq operation, as it stands, is a US-lead multinational force with UN authorization
That's what it was in 1991, too, when Canadaian forces were involved in combat.
Not that I don't see differences between the two conflicts, but I see commonalities in all the things you mention here.
LGF take (Score:1, Flamebait)
Re:LGF take (Score:2)
I didn't get into the specifics because they are boring compared to the general idea that we know there were plenty of lies, distortions, and half-truths from the DNC, and pots calli
Despite Our Occasional Bickering Over Wordplay (Score:1)
I like you pudge but frankly you have been called out here in this entry and you danced when you should have simply taken the slap.
You _have_ made your decision and nothing the other side says will sway you. And that's OK. Guldurnit by now everyone should know who they are voting for....
Also you know all 527s are against the spirit of the McCain/Feingold Law but it's not their fault the M/FL is shytte.
You ha
Re:Despite Our Occasional Bickering Over Wordplay (Score:2)
Look: the Democratic convention speeches had a lot of deceptions in them. So did the Republican speeches. For either side to come after the other for what they are both guilty of is stupid. And that is all I said, except I focused on Kerry, because he's the one who put out a stupid web page listing them all. And to attack me for making that simple point is stupid.
Also you know all 527s are against the spirit of the McCain/Fe
Re:Despite Our Occasional Bickering Over Wordplay (Score:2)
And when the republicans complained to the FEC back in Feb/Mar with nearly identical complaints, the democrates came out en masse shouting "first amendment!" and "protected speech".
Both the left and the right are using the system to their benefit. pudge's point is that it's hypocritical for the left to point out and criticize the right for the very things they (they left) do. It's a VAL
Re:Despite Our Occasional Bickering Over Wordplay (Score:2)
- Robin
Re:Despite Our Occasional Bickering Over Wordplay (Score:1)
I don't think so. Democrats haven't complained about SBVFT because they are a 527 group, they're complaining about them because their claims are crap. Who's changed their stories from their origional accounts? SBFVT. Who's version of events do military records back up? Kerry's.
Re:Despite Our Occasional Bickering Over Wordplay (Score:2)
That's false. Kerry's campaign filed a complaint with the FEC over allegations of illegal coordination between SBVT and the Bush campaign. Please, please, stop asserting things you don't know about.
Re:Despite Our Occasional Bickering Over Wordplay (Score:1)
You're confusing two entirely seperate issues here. Democrats have been complaining about SBVFT ever since the group popped up for their credibility [interventionmag.com] problems, their massive Republican [salon.com] funding, and their similarity to other smears of other [boston.com] candidates put out by people with connections to Karl Rove [salon.com]. And in case you dismiss all that as liberal hooey, here's another link
Re:Despite Our Occasional Bickering Over Wordplay (Score:2)
No, I certainly am not. I was talking only about the claim of illegal coordination. I was not talking about the other problems. You were the one confusing the issues, by assuming I was not talking about the claims of illegal coordination, when that is all I was talking about.
their massive Republican funding
Riiiight. Democrat George Soros gave more money to pro-Kerry 527s than all pro-Bush 527s have received combined. So has Democrat Peter Lewis.
Re:Despite Our Occasional Bickering Over Wordplay (Score:1)
Actually it was another poster who brought it up in this thread, not you, so this is all rather moot.
Riiiight. Democrat George Soros gave more money to pro-Kerry 527s than all pro-Bush 527s have received combined. So has Democrat
Re:Despite Our Occasional Bickering Over Wordplay (Score:2)
Yes, because we all know only people on the right have publishing empires. We are talking about 527s, let's keep focused here.
Second on 527s: you're compairing apples and oranges. M
Re:Despite Our Occasional Bickering Over Wordplay (Score:2)
And as I stated, quite similar to the complaints filed with the FEC by the RNC earlier in the year.
Perhaps you should think so -- as it's true.
Except the Cambodia thing... and that no where in his honorable record does it show him, as he cla
I wonder (Score:1)
Re:I wonder (Score:2)
Unable, Indeed (Score:2)
The current president brought us to this sorry pass. Why not vote him out as punishment for past performance? The question here is not who voted for authorization or supported / didn't support - rather, it is solely prosecution of the war, which has been ham-handed, inefficient, Pollyanna-esque in its pred
Re:Unable, Indeed (Score:2)
That's perfectly reasonable and logical, if you believe he has done things worthy of being "fired." I don't, but I know many people who do, and it is a position I respect.
But I was not speaking to that, I was speaking to Kerry's statements about why we should vote for him, not why we should not vote for Bush.
The question here is not who voted for authorization or supported / didn't support
That is the question, since it is my journal, and I aske
Re:Unable, Indeed (Score:2)
Why not vote him out as punishment for past performance?
The problem with this logic is that we, basically, live in a two party system. This means that a vote *against* one candidate is a vote *for* the other. Reveling in a bit of hyperbole, what if Bush's opponent were for segregation, against women's suffrage, pro use of nuclear weapons willy-nilly and wanted to annex Mexico? By your logic, we'd still vot
Re:Unable, Indeed (Score:2)
Why not vote him out as punishment for past performance?
I did address that: I found it to be reasonable. And yes, it is not in itself a reason to vote against Bush, but if they are similar on most issues (as I think they are), and if you lean more toward Bush on those issues, then I can still see someone voting for Kerry as punishment against Bush.
If your point is that the principle is not that simple, I ent
Bush -vs- Kerry (Score:2)
The problem is that Bush has been trying to do the third option as much as possible, and there is absolutely no indication whatsoever that Kerry could improve on that,
You should have stopped at "The problem is Bush" and you would have been correct.
Face it: a majority of the world hates what Bush did when he invaded Iraq. Because of his actions, no other world leader will stick his/her neck out for him.
By having Kerry in the Whitehouse, it'll give some of the world leaders the figleaf needed t
Re:Bush -vs- Kerry (Score:2)
Based on what?
There are a lot of countries that are sitting on the fence, wanting to help out the Iraqis but afraid of coming out in support of Bush.
Name others, and given reasons why you think they would be willing to help, beyond "because Bush is not in office."
Re:Bush -vs- Kerry (Score:2)
I assume, since you have embarked on creating a political journal, that you are an observer of politics and, in particular, international politics?
We have seen many times that a head honcho of a country will be replaced, and soon aid from other countries will follow (aid which was denied earlier due to the policies of said head honcho).
In this case, the situation will be similar. Bush bei
Re:Bush -vs- Kerry (Score:2)
Problem? (Score:2)
I disagree. This whole fiasco is a cascade of problems created directly by the current administration. It begain by drawing a line in the sand with the "axis of evil" angry rhetoric. Then it was followed up by invading Iraq. Once Iraq was invaded, troops were placed to protect the real reason we are there -- the oil facilities. The museums containing thousands and thousands of years of history weren't and were promptly
Re:Problem? (Score:2)
Re:Problem? (Score:2)
That's your opinion. Mine is that painting the world in strictly black & white terms ("you're either with us or against us"), with theological overtones, causes great damage.
"Saying we are there for oil..."
Re:Problem? (Score:2)
I would ask if you are able to read, but the fact that you think Bush said combat was over answers that.
Re:Problem? (Score:2)
The OP was perfectly ontopic. He disagreed with WHAT YOU WROTE "that Bush has been trying to do the third option [get the Iraqi people and the world's major powers invested with us in building Iraq's futu
Re:Problem? (Score:2)
Sorry you missed it. It's right here [slashdot.org].
You may disagree, or believe that the runup to war has nothing to do with the current situation, but that's YOUR opinion.
Yes, it is. It is my opinion that it was off-topic. This is my journal: who else's opinion about whether it is off-topic matters?
Your complaints here are just nonsense. If I followed my own rules, I should have just banned both of you from the journal immediately. Instead, I was merc
Re:Problem? (Score:2)
"This is my journal: who else's opinion about whether it is off-topic matters?"
The other participants' if you want to have anything resembling
Re:Problem? (Score:2)
False. The original poster I was responding to clearly did not, and then you responded to me as though that weren't the context.
"Mission Accomplished" indeed.
Yes, you're still proving you can't read. It's kinda silly to complain someone is attacking your intellect when you're saying ridiculous things. The mission that was accomplished was the invasion operation.
The other participants' if you want to have anything resembling a r
Re:Problem? (Score:2)
Bush has a "I am right and you either agree and follow me or you are wrong and are an enemy of the United States" policy. If I was the president of any country I would tell Bush to go outside and play a game of hide and go hump himself. Which, in essence, is exactly what they did I guess. Since there is such little involvement from other countries, Iraq has become a huge sore spot for him in his re-election efforts.
We s
Re:Problem? (Score:2)
Both parties created this mess (Score:2)
The problem now is, barring another decade of explosive growth (another IT boom is not likely, and there's a hell of a lot of personal debt out there), we'll have to do the worst of all worlds - tax and not spend to get
Re:Both parties created this mess (Score:2)
Yes, it does.
Especially at the federal level, where most "governance" that they perform is unconstitutional abuse of the limits of its power as per Article I Section 8 and Amendment X.
Case in point: if one or both parties don't intervene in healthcare in a way that undistorts the market, the country's economy is going to drown paying for it.
I basically agree, but see it as the exception that proves the rule, not the other way
Re:Both parties created this mess (Score:1)
Yes, it does.
No, it doesn't. Having less government for the sake of less government is just as bad as having too much government. There's a better test for any government agency, program or law: are people going to be better off with or without it? I'd say we're better of with the FDA, OSHA, GASB, and the FCC (the signal rationing part, not the coporate shill or moralizing part) than without them.
And lawyers break the market
Re:Both parties created this mess (Score:2)
That doesn't make any sense. If the goal is less government, how can less government be just as bad as too much government? If you get less government, that achieves the goal
Of course, the real goal is not less government per se, but more freedom, which in most cases means less government.
There's a better test for any government agency, program or law: are people going to be better
Re:Both parties created this mess (Score:1)
Sure it does, but let me restate. Any worthy goal should have a worthy justification. The problem with the "less government for the sake of less government" crowd is that the goal is the *same* as the justification. So they don't need to justify repealing this law or abandoning that program, because it all falls under the umbrella of "less government".
Of course, the real goal is not less government per se, but more freedom, which in most cases means less government.
Gene
Re:Both parties created this mess (Score:2)
So?
The problem you have is recognizing that less government is itself a worthy justification.
Generally. Of course, more government can also give you more freedom and privacy, like laws on
Re:Both parties created this mess (Score:1)
That's not justification, that's circular reasoning.
I am for less government overall, not for blindly chopping away at whatever is in front of me.
That's good. What I get tired of is the blind waving around of the government-cutting chainsaw and lack of specifics.
That has nothing to do with my question.
No, that was my sarcastic response to your overly acerbic statement "Better off how? Your definition of bett
Re:Both parties created this mess (Score:2)
You're wrong. Don't tell me I cannot value small federal government as an end to itself, especially when the Constitution and Federalist Papers say it is itself a goal.
Your definition of better off may not be mine. That you don't understand that is why you are having problems understanding."
Not only do I understand that, I already asserted it.
Now, why should her husband be content with her wages for the next 50 years, assuming she worked there for