Obviously in 2014 thinking machines were possible because humans existed. And in 2014 there was a significant science & engineering community actually trying to do it which believed it was possible soon. Microprocessors of sufficient power/weight were rapidly improving, neuromorphic engineering was reasonably understood, and it just took the Markrams et. al. to re-do some of the experiments correctly and have an insight & technology about controls & stability.
Hmm. I agree.
Neuroscientists know that the human brain is far more complex than any foreseeable microprocessor-based computer system
Henry Markram would like a word with you.
Robotics expert Alan Winfield offers a sobering counterpoint to Ray Kurzweil
I like how the naysayers are depicted as sober, rational minded individuals while those who see things progressing more rapidly are shown as crazy lunatics. They are both making predictions about the future. Why is one claim more valid than the other? We're talking fifteen years into the future here. Do you think that the persons/people predicting that "heavier than air flying machines are impossible" only eight years before the fact were also the sober ones?
Lord Kelvin was a sober, rational minded individual. He was also wrong.
Rich people who pay less of a tax rate than people who make a whole lot less aren't violating any laws, but they are surely fucking this country over, their flag-waving and jingoism notwithstanding.
Translation: I'm a fucking moron who fears and doesn't understand science.
You know, I don't usually support insults like this, but SuperKendall's post shows such a level of willful ignorance and misinformation that I think in this case MightyMartian isn't actually insulting him but stating a fact.
You really hate washing machines and tractors too? How much human work is lost because of machines?
And those truck drivers? Well, I can tell you that the electrical technician's (we have about the same amount as we did 10 years ago) workload has also decreased. Motor brushes are going away. Bearings are becoming sealed, or automated grease systems installed. Breakers: now know when they are able to trip the load, they can isolate the load to the least affected area, and they can minimize the damage because they are so fast. Things last longer because of materials engineering and computer modelling. These guys just don't have that much to do anymore (Kaizen boards, and PRTs notwithstanding, that shit is just make-work).
And really, have you met many truck drivers? Some are very intelligent, but the vast majority have a boring mindless job for a reason.
Take automated cars for instance: Taxicab drivers out of a job. But not only that. Maybe I and my neighbors sign up for a service where a self driving car is called up and arrives where you are in a matter of minutes. I'm not going to buy another car, that's just a waste of money. Also, less cars on the road because they are operating all of the time. Think about how much time your car just sits there. (There's a job at Ford that I've contemplated applying for, but this gives me pause.) And then, less accidents. Bye bye insurance middleman. Bye bye auto body repair guy.Oh yeah, don't forget to apply for a job fixing robots. Bye bye garages. I'm sure our houses will just become bigger.
I could keep typing along these lines, but maybe you could put your mind to this line of reasoning and come up with many more examples. Seriously, the near term future is vastly different than what we've been experiencing. But in the long term, that's a good thing. And the long term future is radically different.
It's going to be hard to keep this shit straight.
Once we thought ourselves into an existence, (which we also thought up), then we had to invent hands.
And that my friends, is how you become a Job Creator.
Nah, I'm kidding: even there it was gibberish.