Comment A.I. & Open Source (Score 2) 29
The current situation is that the hype is off the charts. The investments are completely incomprehensible, being driven by FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) and intense greed. Any other industry, saner minds would prevail. But for some reason Silicon Valley holds a charismatic demigod like influence over their investors. Nobody knows when the bubble is going to burst but it for sure is coming in the future. It will be a spectacular financial crash of epic proportions far worse than the US housing market snafu. Like back then, few will spot the warning signs and make a killing by shorting stocks. Nobody is paying attention to the risks currently being taken just as in 2008.
OpenAI is leveraged to the teeth by a tangled web of deals with Microsoft, Google, Amazon, etc. Scaling across many data centers with more being built. The cost of tokens is highly subsidized. Memory and storage manufacturers have abandoned retail in order to earn a cool trillion selling to these data centers. The electric grid is not capable of providing an ever increasing amount of power. There is talk of small commercial nuclear reactors but the regulatory requirements would be insane. There is concern over water and environmental pollution. The rising cost of electricity. They sell the data center to the states claiming they are creating jobs. Once the DC is built, what a couple dozen workers could manage the whole thing as most everything it's doing is remote. You just have hands and feet onsite. The jobs for construction would be temporary.
At some point the investors are going to expect an ROI and then the money is going to start drying up. With the thin margins upon which most all A.I. companies are riding things are going to implode. OpenAI may be the first and most spectacular financial failure in the history of the world.
Recently the Chinese did it a second time. First time was Deepseek. Now they have new models that again outperform US models. The Chinese models are open source. They are under severe constraints because they don't have endless top tier Nvidia GPUs so they have no choice but to increase efficiency. We landed men on the moon using extremely primitive computers. Even today's smartwatches would appear to be like a super computer in comparison. Open source would allow for far greater efficiencies. Anthropic's Claude Code CLI is using web based frontend developer React + Yoga to render the command line interface at 60 fps. It's absolutely insane and awful engineering. Their interface was flickering for a very long time. Never being fixed until they added a flag to stop the flicker. But they just added even more insane code on top of the previous badly engineered code. Then their code was leaked by their own A.I. pushing it out to GitHub wide open to everyone. Analysis of that code revealed a god awful mess. It's embarrassing really... Not only is the code from Anthropic & OpenAI closed source but they are actively forcing users to get locked into their LLMs by not allowing for API access without charging an arm and a leg to do so. i.e. charging by the token while subsidizing token usage within their own client software.
We need to stop these con artists before they destroy the worlds economies. Sam Altman may be the most dangerous man alive.The code must be freed and openly shared. You never know when some retired software engineer will make a breakthrough in code. It's happened before. Sun / Oracle had 32bit code to run Linux native binaries on Solaris and they killed it because it was too difficult to convert it to 64bit. Along came some random unicorn developer who made it work and shared his findings. In short order it was adopted by OpenSolaris. Closed source is too slow to evolve we need maximum eyeballs working on it if A.I. is truly to succeed.
A.I. is currently faking it till it makes it. There is no guarantee it will ever reach AGI or super intelligence. Even the scientists don't understand precisely how it is even doing what it is doing. But the hype machine keeps on churning. Sure, A.I. is constantly evolving and getting better and better rapidly. Will it ever live up to the hype? Nobody really knows. They just keep lighting money on fire hoping it makes it. A.I. is a significantly powerful tool but its nowhere near the hype around it.