The Flat Earth Society is not a scientific organization.... they are not taking observations or performing any experiments that could be used to prove their own society wrong or revise their beliefs to make them more accurate. If they do prove themselves wrong, they are not prepared to listen to the result. Their organization should have dissolved itself by now if they were scientific
Likewise climate "skeptics".
Now I have some questions for YOU
Errrr. I never asked you any questions.
What's all this? Either it is or it's not. If it is, I'm sure it'll be all over the news.
Well, you've confused US temperatures with global temperatures above. Maybe it is a good idea to be specific. UAH is developed by contrarians Roy Spencer and John Christy. I would have thought you would prefer it, but it sounds like you are suspicious of the good folks from Alabama. It seems you are suspicious of RSS as well. We could use land reconstructions from NASA, CRU, JMO, or another, but I understand that you are suspicious of surface station reconstructions. That leaves ocean temperatures which are a great measure of accumulated energy, but from the above it sounds like you are suspicious of ocean temperatures. What does that leave?
If it is all the same to you let's just stay with the bet as specified.
understand that even if there is an increase, a year doesn't prove the point
I suspect that no amount of evidence would be persuasive, but perhaps if you do lose it may be an opportunity to reflect? Temperatures have never been higher. How could you lose?
So what's the bet? That 2016 will be warmer than 2015, is that your assertion? I'd like to make it clear it's not mine. I'm betting 2016 will not be warmer than 2015.
Great. We will use the UAH version 5.6 since you do not trust the surface station record. (6.x is currently in beta and changing too often to make any predictions with). The data can be found here: http://vortex.nsstc.uah.edu/pu... - see the "Globe" column. In the event that UAH5.6 is no longer available we will need to defer to the RSS satellite reconstruction. The data for rss can be found here: http://woodfortrees.org/data/r...
You either have no clue what you're doing (one might say you drank too much of the cool aid) or I have a feeling you think you know something I don't.
I think I have an advantage in that you appear to get your science reporting from conspiracy websites. I could be wrong, but based on previous comments I believe it to be the case.
To me there's almost no question. The safe bet is 2016 will not be warmer than 2015.
Time will tell
When a fellow says, "It ain't the money but the principle of the thing," it's the money. -- Kim Hubbard