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The Military

Iran War Clock Set at Ten Minutes to Midnight

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Hugh Pickens writes
Hugh Pickens writes writes "The Atlantic has assembled a high-profile panel of experts including a former Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Iran, a Senior Vice President at the Council on Foreign Relations; a Deputy Head of the Institute for National Security Studies in Tel Aviv, and a military correspondent at Haaretz to periodically estimate the chances of conflict with Iran. The Iran War Clock is not designed to be pro-war or anti-war. Instead, the purpose is to estimate the chances of conflict in the hope of producing a more informed debate. Each panelist makes an individual estimate about the percentage chance of war and we report the average score and based on this number, the Iran War Clock is adjusted so that the hand moves closer to, or further away from, midnight. "On the one hand, the panelists are highly knowledgeable. On the other hand, there are sufficient members of the panel that any individual error should not have an overly negative effect on the aggregate prediction." If there is a zero percent chance of war, the clock hand is at 20 minutes to midnight. Each extra 5 percent chance of war moves the hand one minute closer to midnight. "We're humble about the accuracy of this prediction, which is really a collective "gut-check" feeling. But it may be closer to the truth than the alternative forecasts available." The panel's first estimate puts the odds of war in the next twelve months at 48 percent, consistent with the predictions market Intrade.com, which estimates a 40 percent chance of a U.S./Israeli strike by December 2012."
Canada

Last Chance to Stop SOPA From Coming to Canada->

Submitted by Anonymous Coward
An anonymous reader writes "This weekend may be the last chance for Canadians to fight back against SOPA-style laws being added to Canadian copyright law with the final hearing scheduled for Monday. In recent days, the copyright lobby has demanded website blocking, warrantless access to subscriber information, and unlimited damage awards. Michael Geist has the details on who to contact and Open Media has launched a campaign to encourage Canadians to speak out before Monday's Bill C-11 meeting. The group makes it easy to speak out against SOPA style reforms, harms to fair dealing, and unduly restrictive digital lock rules."
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Google

Google goes full court evil.-> 1

Submitted by goombah99
goombah99 writes "According to developers, executives and investors in mobile gaming and payment sectors , Google warned several developers in recent months that if they did not switch to Google Wallet or continued to use other payment methods — such as PayPal, Zong and Boku — their apps would be removed from Android Market, now known as Google Play. In one email sent to a developer in late August, Google said the developer had 30 days to comply, otherwise the developer's apps would be "suspended" from Android Market. Reuters obtained a copy of the email this week. "They told people that if they used other payment services they would be breaking the terms of use," said Si Shen, founder and chief executive of Papaya, a social gaming network on Android. "Whether it's right or wrong, we have to follow the rules.""
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Businesses

Google to devs: use our payment system or be dropped->

Submitted by Meshach
Meshach writes "Google has been pressuring applications and mobile game developers to use its costlier in-house payment service, Google Wallet for quite some time. Now Google warned several developers in recent months that if they continued to use other payment methods — such as PayPal, Zong and Boku — their apps would be removed from Google Play, The move is seen as a way to cut costs for Google by using their own system."
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Comment: Re:Every time a bell rings (Score 3, Interesting) 309

by JoeDuncan (#39147877) Attached to: Should There Be a Sci-Fi Category At the Oscars?

You mean like in the Babylon 5 season 3 finale, where Sheridan jumps to his death on Z'ha'dum and is brought back to life to lead the alliance against the Shadows and Vorlons?

Oh wait, that's the opposite of what you were trying to say.

And Babylon 5 was the best SF to ever hit TV...

Comment: Re:Tetrachromat question (Score 1) 311

by JoeDuncan (#39035365) Attached to: Followup: Ultraviolet Vision After Cataract Surgery

There are basically 5 types of cells in the retina: photoreceptors (rods & cones), bipolar cells, amacrine cells, horizontal cells, and ganglion cells.

Photoreceptors transmute light into electro-chemical signals with photopigments, bipolar cells link multiple photoreceptors in a lateral inhibition configuration and perform basic luminosity gradient/edge detection preprocessing. The amacrine and horizontal cells are involved in motion detection and image smoothing, but I don't know much about them. The bipolar cells doing edge detection feed into ganglion cells which connect to the optic nerve to send that signal to the visual cortex, which does more complex feature discrimination (bars, lines etc...).

There are separate ganglion cells which perform rate coded colour detection through what's called the opponent process. There are only two types: blue/yellow and red/green.

The red/green ganglia are easy to describe, they are excited by the red cone photoreceptors and inhibited by the green cone photoreceptors. These signals combine to determine the rate of firing of the ganglion cell. So lots of red light means the red/green ganglia fire rapidly, signalling we are seeing red. Lots of green light makes the red/green ganglia fire slowly or not at all, signalling we are seeing green.

The blue/yellow ganglia are a little more complex, they are excited by the red *and* green cone photoreceptors, and inhibited by the blue cone photoreceptors (synaptic weights from the cones to the ganglia are not equal). So lots of reg+green light = blue/yellow ganglia increase rate of firing signalling yellow, while lots of blue light = blue/yellow ganglia decrease rate of firing signalling blue.

Incidentally, this is why red & green and blue & yellow are "complementary" colours, and accounts for many afterimage effects (e.g. stare are something, then stare at a blank wall) - the retina can't physically signal red and green or blue and yellow at the same time.

The signal being sent along the optic nerve from the ganglia then consists of basically three channels: a luminosity gradient, red/green and blue/yellow. The specific ganglion sending the signal indicates where it was detected in retinotopic space. I am specifically leaving out the amacrine/horizontal cells here, I know they are involved somehow in signal modulation and motion detection, but again, I don't really know how that system works.

The preprocessing done by the retina on visual input can be broken down into three broad categories: edge detection, colour detection and motion detection. The retinal signal is then processed using what I like to call "magic" in the visual cortex to create our perceptions.

Hope this helps!

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