VAERS is a HORRIBLE EXAMPLE to use...
I do not even consider it scientific data. It is fundamentally flawed in how it collects data. I am pro-vaccine, but very anti-VAERS.
The reported data is a small subset of actual incidents. A large portion of doctors refuse to report potential vaccine incidents - even when those incidents entail known and medically documented reactions. Believing that vaccine reactions are uncommon, they will dismiss reactions offhand. Second, there is a conflict of interest, as doctors are administering the vaccines. So the VAERS database is largely useless.
This is BAD, for a number of reasons.
> First off all, the dubious unscientific nature of VAERS database empowers those who are opposed to vaccines.
> Second, it impedes the usefulness in catching manufacturing defects. (And can we be honest here? ALL manufacturing processes have bad batches. I used to work for a company that manufactured chemical testing standards. One time we had multiple reports of a bad batch. After we re-tested multiple times, and had our material independently tested, we were able to show that the actual NIST standard was off. It happens.) We want to ensure that if a particular batch has a higher than average number of negative reactions that we can be alerted, quickly pull that batch of vaccines, and assay them to ensure they were made to spec.
> Third, the current implementation has no way to detect unknowns. See the hypothetical situation below.
SCENARIO: A new vaccine is released. After a year or so, the internet starts to see a large number of mothers claiming the vaccine is making their kids bones brittle, citing incidents of their kids having broken bones shortly thereafter. The internet community basically rebuts that kids break bones, nothing new their, and anecdotal evidence does not make for a valid argument. CBS Morning News does a report on it, and conduct a study with a few dozen kids testing bone density before and after vaccination, concluding absolutely that there was no difference in bone density and that the vaccine was NOT causing kid's bones to become brittle.
Let's review two data collection methods...
CURRENT SYSTEM
VAERS - Almost no incidents reported. Doctors know that it is ridiculous that a vaccine would cause kids bones to become brittle, therefore very few have submitted reports. [Right now, pretty much all pro-vaccine folks like myself are nodding their head that this is the correct way. YOU ARE WRONG]
ALTERNATIVE SYSTEM
Collect ALL Data & Mine It - New system requires ALL incidents of any nature that occur within 96 hours after receiving a vaccination to be reported. And any serious incidents within 2 weeks of vaccination to be reported - regardless of the nature of the incident (fever, breathing episode, broken bones, rashes, ANYTHING)
In the current system, using the VAERS data, the above scenario would report back that there is no issue with the vaccine. However, with a truly scientific method applied, in which all incidents are collected and recorded and then reviewed. The data mining showed an increase in excess of 50% in the occurrence of broken bones in children who had received the new vaccine.
This leads one doctor to conduct a small study on the vaccine. He is an ear, nose, and throat doctor. He postulates and theory, and after conducting a study with 40 children affirms his speculation. The vaccine is causing the body to produce a slight increase of fluids in the inner ear. This results in affecting one's balance and coordination. It turns out that the vaccine was NEVER making children's bones brittle, rather it was impeding their ability to balance, resulting in an increase of accidents while doing routine recreational activities like bicycling, skate boarding, etc.
The end result of this, is that the FDA issues new guidance in regards to the vaccine advising doctors to inform vaccine recipients that the vaccine may impair balance and to avoid any activities which require dexterity to avoid injury. The result far less children suffer injuries, the anti-vaccine rhetoric for the given vaccine declines, and science wins twice.
The current VAERS system, would NEVER catch the above scenario because it is NOT scientific in its approach. It violates the scientific method in pre-filtering data collection based upon the pre-supposed bias of the reporters. "Bad Science" gives "True Science" a BAD name...
- Jason