What you call error bars on climate model projections are more properly called confidence intervals, that is the range within which 95% of the weather is expected to vary. Since measurements are not used as inputs to climate models any measurement error is immaterial to them.

Perhaps rolling dice would have been a better example than coin flips. A single flip or roll of dice is equivalent to weather, the average of many flips or rolls of the dice is equivalent to climate.

Quit playing obtuse. The Hawaiian Department of Land and Natural Resources gave the University of Hawaii an exclusive lease to use that land. Whether that department consists of "Natives" or haole, you racist, your elected government made a deal on your behalf.

You don't get to go back on that deal just because some BS "native rights" movement has grown in popularity over the past few years.

With the exception of companies that treat employees so abusively that they just leave in the middle of the afternoon in a torrent of obscenities, for the most part it works as follows:

Employee finds a new job. Employee gives two weeks notice (or more, sometimes). Employer escorts employee off the premises immediately and pays them for two weeks of "vacation".

or...

Employee gets called to a random meeting. On entering, employee sees his manager, one HR person, and possibly one random middle-management "witness" (point #1 - If you ever encounter this situation, immediately demand to have your own witness present, because they legally can and will lie to you about every materially relevant aspect of the ensuing discussion). They hand employee a pile of papers, ask for a bunch of signatures (point #2 - You have no obligation to sign a damned thing, this counts as your last bit of leverage to negotiate for things like prolonged severance, and some of it, such as anticompetes, you do not ever want to sign at an exit interview no matter what they offer you). Employer escorts employee off the premises immediately and pays them for two weeks (or as negotiated) of severance pay.

And yes, for any European friends reading this, that counts as the norm in most of the US. Companies really only deviate from that script in one situation - They so desperately need the employee that the employee actually leaving would temporarily cripple a significant portion of the company. In that case, they play nice and pretend to let you stick around for an extra two weeks - Meanwhile, your computer access drops to the point that you can't do anything but play solitaire (if even that), and you suddenly have a shadow ostensibly there to "facilitate" your knowledge dump (because rookies from security make excellent facilitators, of course).

We agree completely - I didn't mean to disagree with you, just clarifying about UI. :)

If 70% of your salary is not enough to make ends meet, you are living well beyond your means.

Most states cap that - Mine caps it at just about $350/week. That doesn't even cover my mortgage.

Hah! I've defeated your algorithm - With the exception of #5 (and somewhat #2 - I put in my 40+ hours, but have never really done all that well at making sure they happen between 9am and 5pm), I do all of those regularly!

You did not mention doing anything aside from playing old games and buying very few games, if any, now. But go ahead, get an attitude about it.

"Make no mistake, I still game regularly - Between the occasional non-obnoxious modern release".

Attitude? Well, one of us seems to have attitude, anyway. Or at least a reading comprehension problem...

The only way that people with your view will make a difference is if you go out of your way to support the few devs that push quality products that meet your requirements.

And as I mentioned, I do. Drop in the bucket, though, and such content becomes increasingly rare.

these years now that feel like the golden age of online gaming will be the dark ages of games as historians of the future try to recreate what online play was like now for many titles.

While I agree with your premise, you overlook the fact that many of us in the "first gen" of gamers already view this as a "dark age". Personally, I have a fairly impressive game library, spanning a dozen platforms and worth probably tens of thousands of dollars (at original retail price*) worth of games. And I basically stopped buying games about a decade ago, with a few notable exceptions.

Make no mistake, I still game regularly - Between the occasional non-obnoxious modern release, and the back catalog of once-great games that I still haven't played (just finished Fallout a few weeks ago, no idea how I never got into that when it first came out), I figure I have enough material to keep me content for the rest of my life. But I will not play any game that depends on any aspect of the game under the exclusive control of a third party. Open servers and a really viable single-player mode, or GTFO, simple as that.


* Not that I actually paid full retail, which counts as an entirely different problem with modern games - Reselling a game used to mean putting it back in the box (or putting everything you had left in a ziplock bag), and passing it along to someone else for a few bucks. Now, if you even have the option of reselling it, you usually need to do so with the "permission" of the publisher. Fuck that!

Facepalm...that's how ad-based websites work!

Yes and no. You have it basically correct, but have omitted a key fact in this particular situation - Youtube can only exist by virtue of the fact that its users give them the vast majority of their content.

It sounds great, as a business model, to get paid for reselling something you can get for free, but not all of your audience will quietly put up with the fact that they count as the product.

They make you an offer, you decline and go elsewhere. Who was successful in that negotiation? Nobody.

I agree with you as a technicality, but in spirit, you've accomplished the same thing...

Who won? The person who says "screw your pathetic offer" and does go elsewhere for a better deal. The company that fills a position they have open with someone good enough that they didn't need to accept the first lowball offer that came their way.

And who lost? The company forced to either leave a position vacant, or possibly worse, fill it with someone so inexperienced (or just plain bad at what they do) that they had no alternatives but to accept the first paying offer that came their way.

This can only work out well, both in terms of Reddit's future staffing and Pao's goal of equalizing the playing field for women, if Reddit suddenly starts leading the industry for salaries. And as much as I like Reddit - I just don't see that happening.

"misogynistic overgeneralization"

Here is a Google Image search: anti-male. Since 1953, there has been in the U.S. a huge amount of hostility aimed toward men.

Read the books by Warren Farrell. For example, Why Men Earn More: The Startling Truth Behind the Pay Gap -- and What Women Can Do About It or The Myth of Male Power.

"hyper aggressive alpha type" and "tend to view all interpersonal interactions as a contest that they need to win"

I agree exactly with that evaluation. The way to solve the problem of people like that is to do what you do: Recognize the problem and avoid recommending someone like that.

Read this comment below: How will you weed out sociopaths, when a sociopath is at the helm?

Do you seriously expect future conditions to remain the same if CO2 in the atmosphere continues to rise and oceans continue to acidify? We may not know exactly what's going to happen but it will be very different than the relatively stable climate we've built our civilization on over the last 6,000+ years. Are you willing to bet the farm it won't be that bad?

Yes, the insolation at the top of atmosphere (where they measure the imbalance) is around 1360 W/m^2. With a 0.58 W/m^2 energy imbalance the energy exiting the Earth is 1359.42 W/m^2. Doesn't sound like much but the area of the disk of the Earth facing the Sun is 128 trillion m^2 so the total imbalance is about 74 Terawatts (or 74 million Megawatts). A Watt is defined as 1 joule/second so that's 74 Terajoules/second. And that continues 24/7/365, it's going to add up.

If that 2.9 W/m^2 dropped to zero then the energy imbalance would also drop to zero once the Earth was again in energy balance. It wouldn't go negative. If we just held the additional forcing at 2.9 W/m^2 instead of increasing it by adding more CO2 the Earth would eventually reach a new equilibrium (at a higher temperature) and the imbalance would drop to zero again.

As long as the energy imbalance is greater than zero temperatures will continue to rise.

MightyMartian, somewhat above-average Earthman here.

I think the whole situation is better characterized as doing what women in the U.S. often do, make themselves miserable. Underneath her statement is possibly a feeling that she doesn't like talking with men. (If you want to meet women who are, in general, much happier, go to Brazil.)

No negotiating? That's crazy! Negotiating is just talking. When there is good communication, there will be better decisions. To give one small example, maybe there is a clerical error in the human resources department that makes the person being interviewed seem less valuable to the company than he or she really is.

If someone makes exaggerated claims, that person is dishonest. Don't hire a dishonest person. If someone asks for 10% more pay than offered, ask why, and investigate any information that supports the request.

Ellen Pao appears to be another Carly Fiorina. (Look at that terrible photo of Ms. Fiorina.) To me, Ellen Pao seems to lack social sophistication.