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Comment Re:Space flight failure rate is around 5% (Score 1) 165

That is the worst citation I have ever seen. The odds of dying just from riding on a motorcycle cannot possibly be 1 in 800. I think what those odds mean is the odds of the cause of death being particular sources, conditional on someone being known to have died. There are about 10 million motorcycles in the US, and if each one is ridden, say, only once per week, then if there is a 1 in 800 chance of dying by riding a motorcycle then there would be on average 650,000 motorcycle deaths in the US each year (650,000 = 10,000,000 motorcycle rides/week * 1/800 deaths / motorcycle ride * 52 weeks/year).

Comment Re:Funny how it's the business donations. (Score 4, Insightful) 485

I think the causality is backwards. Republicans aren't going to win because Silicon Valley is contributing to them; rather, Silicon Valley is contributing to Republicans because it looks like they are going to win. The relationship between ad spending and margins of victory are statistically small, and politicians (with certain notable exceptions) are generally not blatantly for sale to the highest bidder. The real reason for contributing is to give to people who generally already agree with you, so that if they get elected they will choose to focus on the priorities that are important to you instead of focusing on something else. In this case, patent reform.

Submission + - Virgin Galactic SpaceShipTwo destroyed in flight (twitter.com)

An anonymous reader writes: Virgin Galactic SpaceShipTwo has broken up in flight. Local police scanner reports at least 1 pilot DOA and 1 with moderate injuries after parachuting down from the accident.

Comment Re: hmm (Score 1) 135

No, the investor class is quite content to keep milking the cash cow that is Microsoft Office, and see steady capital accumulation through dividends and stock buybacks. Nobody who still owns MSFT stock is demanding double digit returns from them at this point. It is upper management who have a psychological need to be a part of an ever growing empire and therefore doesn't mind pissing the owners money away on YAZ (yet another zune).

Submission + - Apple's Tim Cook is gay. Seriously, he is. (businessinsider.com)

rodrigoandrade writes: What seems at first to be the pinnacle of Apple fanboy trolling is actually true. Tim Cook has publicly come out of the closet. "Being gay has given me a deeper understanding of what it means to be in the minority and provided a window into the challenges that people in other minority groups deal with every day. It’s made me more empathetic, which has led to a richer life. It’s been tough and uncomfortable at times, but it has given me the confidence to be myself, to follow my own path, and to rise above adversity and bigotry. It’s also given me the skin of a rhinoceros, which comes in handy when you’re the CEO of Apple.

Comment Re:So What? (Score 1) 669

Except that, as I understand it, the Pope doesn't get to just declare which parts of the Bible (which has been accepted doctrine for well over a millennium) are true, which are false, and which are metaphor or allegory as it suits him.

Actually the Pope can do just that, when he speaks ex cathedra. It only applies to certain fields (e.g., he can't just say the sky is green and that becomes Catholic doctrine), but something like interpreting the literal-ness of the Bible would count. Of course, Popes don't make ex cathedra pronouncements frequently, precisely because it's like using a sledgehammer. So you are correct that usually doctrine gets made in communion with the Bishops in councils, conferences and the like.

Comment Re:So What? (Score 1) 669

All of these are excellent points and I was going to go into it in my earlier post but I got too lazy to do it, so I'm glad that you did. What I would add is that in all religions there is a tension between "true believers" who think that a religion should avoid hierarchies and stay out of public life, versus the "help the people" group that thinks that a religion *has* to be out in the world where the people are.

The problem with the "true believers" approach is that hiding up in a monastery and saying prayers 20 hours a day doesn't seem to do much to help actual people in real suffering, and to a lot of religious people, that is important. Further, its insularity can lead to total inflexibility and stagnation, or even just irrelevance to the outside world. OTOH, the problem with the "help the people" group is that the more a religion has contact with the outside world, there are more temptations and that will lead to more corruption.

The Catholic Church has tended towards the more worldly, "help the people" view, and the Jesuits even more so (of which the current Pope is a member of). But as a result, it has often gotten involved in real world power struggles and fallen to the corruption that a more "pure" religion is less susceptible to. However, it also has a strong component of "true believers," with an option to lead a monastic life, while even clergy that deal directly with the public live a life that is very different from the public that they interact with (vows of poverty, chastity, etc). That flexibility to do both has probably been a big part of why the Catholic Church has lasted as long as it has.

Comment Re:So What? (Score 1) 669

If not who gets to make that call? The Pope?

Ummm...exactly. The Bible is obviously an important part of the Catholic belief system but it's the institution of the Church that has the final say. Catholicism is what the Catholic Church, with the Pope at its head, says it is. It may seem tautological but it actually isn't. For example, for many Protestant (especially Evangelical) sects, a layperson could make an effective argument about a controversial subject by saying "Here is what it says in Bible...", while an argument that appeals to an authority such as a pastor would not be (theologically) persuasive. But to a Catholic, the only real trump card is "The Church says..."

Comment Re:100 year old survival knowledge in PDF files??? (Score 1) 272

some countries like the USA and GB will have to start pretty much from the beginning, having destroyed their industrial base through corporate looting and offshoring

I can't speak for GB but the USA is the world's second largest manufacturer. Or does it only count as industry if it looks like Pittsburgh in 1950 instead of California in 2014?

Comment Re:So? (Score 1) 488

I'm not sure what you are saying here. So what if $39.2 billion of education spending is done by the Feds. Isn't having state expenditures (and hopefully state control) a better way of doing things? And most Federal money should be spent on special ed and disadvantaged programs. Costs for special ed can be highly variable and a couple high needs kids could bust the budget of a small district, so spreading that out over a larger tax base is a good thing. And disadvantaged programs tend to have localized severity so that the kind of district that needs to spend on those services won't have the resources from the local tax base and has to get it from elsewhere.

The rest of your stats are a non sequitur. Why is 23.5% after inflation too much? That's about 2.1% per year. Real wages and salaries have gone up by 40% over that time. Maybe there is something more to be said here but this somewhat random data is not advancing your argument

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