Comment Re: No there isn't (Score 1) 143
Einstein's letter that called to start research on a nuclear bomb predicted that the bomb would be so big it could only be delivered by boat. Making the nuke is the first step. Miniaturization and vectors improvement are different efforts. People willing to bet that rockets improvement or nuke miniaturization were not around the corner were the crazy ones.
It is a bit hard to understand in our era where we refuse to anticipate predictable progresses but the biases were opposite at that time.
To paraphrase Arthur Clarke: "I predicted manned missions to Saturn in 2001. No one batted an eye. If I were to predict that by that time USSR would have fallen, I would never have been taken seriously"