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Technology

A Flying Leap for Cars? 795

pillageplunder writes "Businessweek has a story about flying cars and how they could be an actual viable thing in less than 10 years. First flying taxis, then, like the Jetsons, personal flying cars. Several are already on the board, with Honda and Toyota already having prototypes of small flying devices. Even General Electric is getting in on the deal, developing a small jet engine for Honda. So...would you buy one?"
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A Flying Leap for Cars?

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  • Re:Moller (Score:4, Informative)

    by Magorak ( 85788 ) * on Thursday August 26, 2004 @11:00AM (#10078163) Homepage Journal
    moller.com

    he's got it for sale now as well. Looks kinda cool.

    Wish I had the cash to go out and buy one
  • Re:Moller (Score:5, Informative)

    by AKAImBatman ( 238306 ) <akaimbatman@gmaYEATSil.com minus poet> on Thursday August 26, 2004 @11:07AM (#10078267) Homepage Journal
    Last I heard, he was still at it. Unfortunately, his final design is woefully underpowered, and has several stability problems he's trying to solve.

    Speaking of which, that's a big problem I see with giving people flying cars. Flying (in the sense of using wings to generate lift) is VERY different from driving. For example, most people don't know that you have to nudge the stick, then move it back into a straight position to properly execute a bank. The bank will continue until you nudge the stick back the other way, and force the plane to level.

    Even worse is the shear number of control surfaces that are completely unnatural to a driver. You can't just move the stick. That will cause the plane to slide. You have to give it some rudder. I'm not even going to go into how queasy bouncing on thermals is going to make most people.

    To make an aircraft stable enough for the average driver, you're going to need something with a LOT of thrust. (i.e. Apply enough thrust to a brick, and it will fly.) Maneuvering would need to be handled by computer control to simplify the procedure.

    Of course, we could just get everyone to obtain a pilot's license. But then I'd truly FEAR for the safety of the skyways.
  • Re:dangerous (Score:1, Informative)

    by Anonymous Coward on Thursday August 26, 2004 @11:13AM (#10078378)
    Parachutes won't work at the low altitudes that these cars will fly at.
  • Re:Moller (Score:5, Informative)

    by mandos ( 8379 ) on Thursday August 26, 2004 @11:15AM (#10078406) Homepage
    Moller Skycars [moller.com]

    They're not quite for sale yet. They have built one prototype for testing but won't start extensive testing until a second one is near completion. They've been moving pretty slow over the past several years but have been making steady progress. They are taking preorders, but nothing will ship for several years at least.
  • by raygundan ( 16760 ) on Thursday August 26, 2004 @11:19AM (#10078451) Homepage
    I'm an environmental nut, and I'm not sure how the economy for small planes is-- but large airliners get something like 90 mpg per passenger, more efficient per person than my civic with an extra passenger.

    Economy of scale plays a big part, by cramming lots of people in. But don't lump all air travel into the "automatically inefficient" category-- it was more efficient than I expected, too.
  • Re:Oil dependency... (Score:3, Informative)

    by Dav3K ( 618318 ) on Thursday August 26, 2004 @11:32AM (#10078662)
    With airplanes, fuel burn is usually measured in gallons per hour. And for small (ie. 2 seat) planes, fuel consumption typically starts at around 4 GPH. Cruise speed for an engine like this depends largely on the aircraft, but varies between about 65 mph to about 120 mph. Obviously, higher amounts of fuel will allow for higher speeds. Most planes with piston engines that travel at around 200 MPH get between 8 and 12 GPH.
  • Too many pessimists (Score:4, Informative)

    by gerry101 ( 630141 ) on Thursday August 26, 2004 @11:34AM (#10078688)
    I don't think anyone will have to worry about oil prices, drunk drivers, old grannies or terrorists (not much anyway). Moller's SkyCar has 3 onboard computers (2 as a backup) to help fly the thing, front and rear parachutes, and can run on alcohol (or even LPG). There are also 6 turbine engines so if 2 should fail you should still be able to do an emergency landing (AFAIK, it's been a while since I read the article on it).

    Mr Moller had major problems with testing - nobody would insure him for an untethered flight!

    Then there's the matter of airspace and where you can fly. Air Traffic Control would have to make sure nobody flew into populated areas, military airspace, each other etc. This means a massive overhaul and spending on ATC to handle the millions of vehicles in the air simultaneously.

    Moller said in the article I read that the amount of airspace around our planet is so large, it was unlikely that you would come across another SkyCar on your journey, even if every family in the world had one.

    I doubt if people will be allowed to land in the middle of populated areas, we're more likely to have skyscraper car parks.

    I should think Moller has the patent on SkyCars and that he'll make a bundle from car manufacturers (if he's still alive by the time they're mass produced!). I'd say we're looking at 50 years minimum until they become commonplace. Then instead of paying road tax we'll be paying air tax :-(

  • Re:Moller (Score:2, Informative)

    by mandos ( 8379 ) on Thursday August 26, 2004 @11:41AM (#10078761) Homepage
    1962 - Dr. Moller makes the XM2 [moller.com]
    1966 - Moller makes the XM3 [moller.com]
    1970 - Moller makes the XM4 [moller.com] which is probably the device you remember.
    1989 - Moller makes the M200X [moller.com]. Between the XM3 and XM4 they did more engine work then flying car work.
    Present - Moller has been working on the M400 [moller.com], a 4 passenger Skycar. This model has undergone significant changes in the past 8+ years and now is near a final design. They recently held a press conference where they demoed it flying and have videos of it on there site here [moller.com]. They are working on completing a second test vehicle before extensive flight tests are started.

    They have in the recent past completed deals with other companies for the manufacture of the final product and also become a publicly traded company (not sure on the reasoning for this, but companies without products don't typcially go public). I hope this is helpful.
  • by swg101 ( 571879 ) on Thursday August 26, 2004 @11:46AM (#10078842)
    No, helicopters stay in the air by generating lift (just the same as an airplane wing, but moving through the air in a circle rather than a line). The wash from the rotor is an effect of this, but does NOT keep the craft in the air.
  • Re:Moller (Score:5, Informative)

    by AKAImBatman ( 238306 ) <akaimbatman@gmaYEATSil.com minus poet> on Thursday August 26, 2004 @11:46AM (#10078849) Homepage Journal
    Current planes are like ancient DOS systems, where you have to type in huge commands, and any mistake is catastrophic.

    Bullocks. A modern 777 will keep itself in the air, with or without you. It's airframe is designed such that it WANTS to fly. Try executing a deadly maneuver in X-Plane sometime, using nothing to correct your flight except thrust. The 777 will right itself without much problem. It will probably even climb until it reaches equilibrium.

    You don't worry about stabilization, the computer does.

    Airframes are usually *designed* to be stable. Especially something like a CS-150 with the wing tips for stabilization. Your real problems with any flight are:

    1. Preventing midair collisions.
    2. Getting on and off the ground.

    The first will become a BIG problem if everyone gets their "flying car". The second one is a big problem, period. Getting off the ground usually isn't so big of a problem as long as you give yourself as much room as possible. Getting on the ground IS a big problem.

    When you're flying through the air, your path is determined by the gasses through which you're passing. This can cause your path to skew, and can even result in some roll. The problem is that the ground is NOT moving. Thus you have to attempt to compensate. If you see a plane coming that looks like it's crooked, the pilot is probably NOT drunk. He's compensating. Yet even the best pilots occasionally have a hard landing. Go shopping for a plane sometime, and you'll notice that quite a few of them talk about replacing or repairing the firewall after a hard landing.

    Much better to have something where you tell it via some 3D joystic, "Go up, down, left, right, forward, backward", end of story.

    You can't go left or right. This isn't a car. You have to roll and execute a banking maneuver. A computer can simplify this, but you can't change the physics of flight. (Again, with "flight" defined as "obtaining lift by passing through the atmosphere" A hovercraft can obviously thrust in any direction it damn well pleases.)

    You don't worry about stabilization, the computer does.

    Keep in mind that you can only stabilize the craft so much. If it's light, it WILL bounce on thermals and downdrafts. There's very little the computer can do about this other than to make course corrections. The last thing we need is some guy freaking out at a thermal, accidently rolling his plane, getting disoriented, and taking her into the ground.
  • The Airphibian (Score:2, Informative)

    by jsmcd20 ( 804282 ) on Thursday August 26, 2004 @11:52AM (#10078949)
    Robert E. Fulton, a man who as a teenager was the first to ride around the globe on a motorcycle, already invented the flying car in 1945. He called it the Airphibian [si.edu]. In 1950 he flew it to Washington D.C. where he landed and then drove it to the Civil Aeronautics Association where it was certified for use. It traveled 110 mph in the air and 55 mph on the ground, and changed between car and plane in five minutes due to its simple system for removing the wings and propeller. Charles Lindhberg flew it and declared it "an improvement." It never did well commercially and sold only under 600 total. There is only one remaining today. It is in the Smithsonian. More Info: http://www.nasm.si.edu/research/aero/aircraft/fult on.htm [si.edu]
    History: http://travel.howstuffworks.com/flying-car1.htm [howstuffworks.com]

  • by Phs2501 ( 559902 ) on Thursday August 26, 2004 @11:54AM (#10078971)
    100 feet is an insanely small amount of space in the vertical. A thunderstorm can produce insane updrafts and downdrafts that a small plane cannot overcome:

    Updrafts at the base vary from 400 to 1200 fpm and reach up to 4000 fpm at the equilibrium level. Vertical gusts of more than 10,000 fpm have been reported. Downdrafts are usually around half the updraft speeds, and extreme downdrafts of 5000 fpm have been reported.

    Current FAA regulations put VFR pilots (those flying visually) at headings from 0-179 magnetic at {3500,5500,7500,..} feet, and those from 180-359 at {4500,6500,8500,...} feet. The even thousands are used for ATC-controlled IFR (instrument) flight.

    It's unlikely tighter tolerances than that would ever be safe even with the most advanced computer control, simply because you will not be able to outclimb microburts and such.

  • Re:Taxis (Score:3, Informative)

    by adamfranco ( 600246 ) <adam@@@adamfranco...com> on Thursday August 26, 2004 @12:32PM (#10079501) Homepage
    Oh a more serious note, the "air taxis due in a few years" that are refered to in the article are not the type of taxi that will take you to their door.

    The "air taxis" are simply small, fuel-efficient planes that you can book to fly you to small municipal airports, maybe stopping on the way to drop off other passengers. Instead of having large planes that fly the same schedualed route, no matter if the plane is full or empty, the air taxi just flys when/where up to 8 people want to go, when they want to go.

    PenguinAirlines [penguinairlines.com] was mentioned on /. a few years ago and looks like it is finally coming into service. I can't find any pricing since they are not fully operational yet, but in the press release that I read a while ago, they said that they were aiming for ticket prices just a little above a first-class ticket.
  • by Bagheera ( 71311 ) on Thursday August 26, 2004 @12:42PM (#10079637) Homepage Journal
    There's a number of comments on this thread already, but I think you're ultimately right on this. A terrorist can do more damage to a building with a loaded out SUV than he can with a light aircraft. It's a kinetic energy thing. A fully loaded Cessna weighs less than a Toyota Echo (depending on model, of course). We're not going to pursue the other alternatives like arial spraying or dropping leaflets.

    A Suburban could -carry- the Cessna and still have room for five passengers and it's own 3 ton mass.

    Flying cars will have the same issues. Aircraft need to be relatively light. They're not going to have the mass - and the resultant kinetic energy - of an SUV.

    Not that we can expect to actually -see- these things in the near future. Coolness factors or not.

  • by DeekGeek ( 78694 ) on Thursday August 26, 2004 @01:25PM (#10080167)

    Given enough thrust, any pig can fly.

    Here's the proof: RFC 1925, 2.(3) [faqs.org]

  • by Animats ( 122034 ) on Thursday August 26, 2004 @02:35PM (#10080953) Homepage
    The big problem is that making small jet engines is still too expensive. Most light planes are still powered by reciprocating engines. There's been talk of small jets for general aviation for decades, but nobody seems to be able to bring it off.

    It's not that you can't build a small jet engine. It's that the price doesn't decline much with size. Engines sized for small aircraft aren't much cheaper than those built for business jets.

    There was an effort at NASA to fix this problem [nasa.gov], but it failed and was cancelled in 2002.

  • by rspress ( 623984 ) on Thursday August 26, 2004 @02:49PM (#10081102) Homepage
    from the moller site:

    We plan to begin untethered flights when we have at least one additional M400 nearing completion. All flights will occur over a specially constructed lake. This lake is part of the Milk Farm development (see www.milkfarm.net), a commercial 60-acre development underway near the city of Dixon in California on Interstate 80. The lake will have an area of 5 to 6 acres and will be approximately 10 feet deep with a silt, rock free bottom. Most flights will occur at less than 50 feet altitude and will incorporate flotation gear attached to the Skycar.

    : While not mentioned on the site the scuttlebutt is that the untethered lake flight will be this summer. If you live near the Sacramento/Davis area keep an eye on his site. If possible I plan to be there for the first flight since I am only 50 miles from the test site.
  • Flying cars? (Score:0, Informative)

    by Anonymous Coward on Thursday August 26, 2004 @02:58PM (#10081194)
    Can I get a flying car that folds up into briefcase?
  • by WhiplashII ( 542766 ) on Thursday August 26, 2004 @03:00PM (#10081214) Homepage Journal
    An easy one to remember is about 1 cubic meter per kilogram. So, approximaetly 125 cubic meters (or cubic yards, if you prefer). That's the problem, you'd have to make the average car weigh nothing and be 30 feet (or 10 meters) tall.

  • Sport Pilot (Score:2, Informative)

    by clone22 ( 252516 ) on Thursday August 26, 2004 @03:34PM (#10081527)
    They're not ultralights, but aircraft under a certain weight and performance limits, with reduced requirements for pilot certification and medical requirements. For example, you don't need a third class medical, just a valid drivers license. Airplanes have to be under 1320 lbs. gross weight. See http://www.sportpilot.org/ -- this actually has the potential for a revolution in aviation, even if cars don't fly.

  • by Eclypser ( 618863 ) on Thursday August 26, 2004 @04:33PM (#10082130)
    Here in Washington DC I know lots of people who will live as far away from the city as public transporation allows. We have people who commute from WV, DE, and PA. These people can take trains that get them to work in the same amount of time it take me to take the farthest out bus I could find.
    If there were sky(car\bus\taxis) that allowed us to travel quickly (including time to board) and cheaply (No more than $10 a day) then I know that I for one would gladly move further into the wilderness where I could take an hour flight to work.
    And I think my live would be better off by living farther out.
  • by Anonymous Coward on Thursday August 26, 2004 @11:12PM (#10084961)
    Sorry, that would be 125 cubic feet. You need a balloon about 27 times bigger than that.

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