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Comment and pop (Score 2) 99

Signs that the bubble is about to burst. They are now claiming AGI despite being fundamentally away from it. An LLM can not ever achieve AGI. It may reasonably well PRETEND to be AGI, but at the core it's just a highly successfull letter-prediction machine. Or as a metaphor: It is "intelligence" in the sense that a toddler carefully placing one foot in front of the other while trying hard to not fall over is "running". Nope, isn't and never will be. You need a qualitative change to get there.

If they now CLAIM that they've achieved AGI, it's a sign we're nearing the end of LLM development and they're getting desperate selling the latest incremental updates. Which means the illusion is about to come crashing down.

Which is good news. Fewer data centers and lower memory prices will benefit us all.

Comment Re:LLMs are not safe (Score 2) 55

That problem is multi-dimensional. The raw number is a useless metric.

Just to elaborate a bit in case you really do not understand, humans typically are only somewhat off in a job they know how to do. And if they are more off or often off, they get fired. LLMs are sometimes extremely off _and_ you cannot fire them.

Comment Re:Preparation for the "own nothing" era (Score 2) 32

I see what you mean, but heck, that's not even playing every day - More like every other day on average, and I often burn a few hours on Sundays.

But that 4% stat is interesting - What this tells me is Game Pass is effectively a gym membership where the entire business model depends on 95% of people never using it.

Comment Re:Preparation for the "own nothing" era (Score 1) 32

Not at 15 hours a month it's not. I'm a total casual, and even I'd burn through that in under two weeks.

This must be some form of Anchoring. They fully plan to come back in a week or two with 10x the hours, hoping everyone that would have laughed even at that, initially, suddenly decides it's not so bad. If not, this is Microsoft announcing the end of Game Pass.

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