They redid the exercise in 2022, adjusted with newest knowledge. The forecast got considerably hotter. Still got beat yesterday.
https://x.com/TF1Info/status/1...

That 2014 forecast had already been beat in 2022.

#fasterthanexpected

> While the new cars have far more mandatory cameras to help drivers spot obstacles

Just to expand on your point:
cameras break, and don't get fixed immediately. I know multiple cars that have non-functional parking sensors because of fender-benders.
Having reduced visibility by default is bad design.

Read up on termination shock related to aerosols. Also acid rain wasn't without downsides.

That's just the drivers in the US not knowing how to use highways. You apparently included.
There's an overtaking lane, and a cruise lane. No fast lane.

That is my entire fucking point: from 4 cars behind you have no way of knowing whether it's necessary or not.

> what's important to you is to make it about the messenger and not the topic.

Because the so called argument with merit started off with the slow driver being an arsehole.

When driving in Ireland, the speed limit signs felt more like a dare than maximum allowed speed. I was always driving at least 20 under.

Highways usually have a max of 130kph here. 80kph min.
The fun caveat with the minimum speed is that the vehicle must be technically able attain that speed, not maintain it for the duration of its drive on the highway.

> It's "drivers cannot drive so slowly that they block or impede the normal flow of traffic"

Funny how you left out the other half :

"except when reduced speed is necessary for safe operation, because of a grade, or compliance with the law.""

> One arsehole who decides that 30 is fast enough for everyone.

If 30 is what seems safe to him, who are you to argue?
Highways do have a minimum speed though. 80kph here.

> good reason why this was ever something which existed.

Firewalls allowing only the non-secure variants (POP on 110), making STARTTLS the only way to retain compatibility while enabling encryption.

> people who block ports pointlessly just because they've been abused in the ancient past are idiots too.

I agree with that, but in this case you're wrong :
- pop and IMAP have their secure counterpart defined by the IANA. Blocking the non secure variant is a legitimate approach
- Security is layered on by using TLS, not directly by the protocol itself
- The non secure variants have been officially obsoleted by RFC8314

> it is my device, i decide what do do.

Really? using this argument about an Apple product, and an iPhone of all things?

I don't think you were going for funny, but it is.

> Can off-the-rack clothing which contains cameras and cell modems be far behind?

Do glasses count?

I just sold my 4 year old desktop for almost the same price I had bought it for. And I don't believe I ripped anyone off. That's how crazy the hardware market is.

> I only buy a new phone when the old phone breaks

Yes, but that wasn't my point.
My point is that phones will get expensive to the point where the cost of upgrading them will be prohibitive, even as a status symbol.
Right now we're at the diminishing returns inflection.