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Comment Duh--the game has changed. (Score 1) 75

Back in the 90's it was nerds that had some great ideas & skills, not so much on business. Some monetized (lucky ones), some didn't (most).

In the 00's the kids got smart .... saw the sole enabler was the VCs, so they ALL when back to school and got their MBAs or teamed up with MBAs. Wall Street got burned (2001), but they learned there lesson and now manipulate the boom-busts... and even doing reality "shows" (Shark Tank, TechCrunch, Kickstarter, even the kids are getting into it with their national competitions, etc...)

In the 10's the MBA's (which the VCs LOVE) now run Silicon Valley. Wall Street is heavily involved to tie ideas into existing corporations (Facebook, Google, etc...) for efficiencies of scale and funnel ideas back into the execs that run those companies since there's a lot of investor bulls that "long" those stocks. Some of the old school 'change the world' attitude is still there, but most of it are in VCs that have partners that ran those companies in the 90's.

Comment History sure has is merit (Score 2) 58

Flashback to 1997, I recall working in a startup where we were partnered w/Orbital (in VA/Chandler Az) on a high altitude system using airships (balloons) as an alternative to Orbcomm and Iridium back in the day. The transceivers were to handle IP traffic. OSC was to supply the electronics, and we teamed with Gore Industries for the airships (to be flown at 120000ft) since Gore was the main vendor for materials on those high alt balloon experiments. The effort of course, collapsed with the space industry at the time. Looking at the people involve, Space Data has merit in the idea, but NDAs w/Google is another investigation that will determined this lawsuit's outcome.

Those were fun days, the Internet was just ramping up from dial up, Iridium was driving great ideas in the space communications industry and mobile phones were taking off.

Funny thing was back then, our balloon competitor was Alexander Haig and his odd partner-- and tackling regulations to get their balloon system off the ground via gov't permission instead of focusing on tech.

Fun days I sure miss...

Comment Law of Monetization (Score 1) 178

All this push is mainly to monetize your every thought.

Currently it's to monetize your every voice command (a superset)

And before that it was to monetize your every question (a super-superset)

And before that was to monetize your every transaction (a super-super-superset)

And before that was to monetize your every 'access' (a super-super-super-superset)

You get the point.

I recall back in the 90's IBM attempt to develop tech to charge a penny for every byte that when through a router... charge by byte vs a subscription or even free access.

Comment Tech-Business-Politics-Culture: it all depends (Score 1) 381

Take it from the drone world. Car will learn from the drone industry...

FAA realized autonomous flying in 2007 (basis for the 2012 act). The tech became realized in 2013 (6yrs) and cool in 2014 (7ys). And "niche mainstream" (i.e. single purpose camera drones) this year (10yrs). Regulations are finally catching up and we'll really hit mainstream in say 2019 as long as a regulation disaster doesn't happen & companies continue to grow with new applications.

The same will happen for autonomous cars... just 50% [or more] faster because
a. the car is a well established platform (vs a drone)
b. infrastructure regs are well established (for manned vehicles, hence a template)
c. scale hasn't changed much (millions of cars is nothing new vs millions of drones)
d. the applications & use cases are well known.

In 5yrs == autonomous taxis & public transport are pretty much guaranteed. Hence, the 5yr prediction is reasonable. As for general private use--it depends if the companies are making money & some crazy disaster doesn't happen...it will fall into the same regulation mess that drones are in. So that's an additional 3 yrs...

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