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Comment Re:Heavy Lifting (Score 3, Interesting) 66

Investors are chasing a company that achieves some kind of AI singularity. Let's set aside the fact that there's no reason to believe there is anything but diminishing marginal returns by making marginal refinements to current frontier models. Let's imagine someone hits the jackpot and gets, not even AGI, but a system that's as far ahead of today's frontier model are ahead of 2020's GPT 2.0 in performance.

Globally AI revenues are 150 billion, against a cumulative burn rate of 450 billion. A model that is a generation ahead of others would almost certainly capture the lion's share of that revenue.

If AGI magically appears as a Sam Altman has promised investors it will, a hundred million is way too low. Add, maybe, another zero to the revenues.

Conservatively, a safer assumption is that frontier models will get marginally better based on refinements in training and reinforcement and the other bits and bobs that go into these systems. The nobody is winning the lion's share of anything, at least overnight. But you have to define "safe". By "safe" I mean unlikely to lose money. But some investors are clearly defining "safe" as "having the greatest chance of owning a piece of the biggest thing ever."

I'm not following this super-closely, but if Anthropic is pursuing adding multi-step model based reasoning to their system, that could be the basis of a generational leap in capability. But if that is an approach that looks like it has a chance of working, then their competitors are no doubt pursuing the same thing. In that case you'd expect the revenue pie to grow as the scope of model utilty increases, but that growth to be split among several competitors. This could credibly result in a revenue stream for some of them that is as big as the entire industry's revenue stream today. But there's going to be hell to pay on the data center impacts end of things.

Comment Re: Still used because 10 is current, right? (Score 1) 106

The difference was almost entirely to FORCIBLY OBSOLETE a ton of perfectly serviceable machines merely because they came with TPM 1.2 or less from the manufacturer, or they had a CPU "not quite new enough," because OEMs were screaming "we need to force people to trash computers and spend money buying new hardware from us."

OEMs started salivating at Apple's "3 year old hardware? Fuck you, throw it in the trash and buy something new" sales model and demanded MS start doing the same thing.

Comment Re:Most users are oblivious to updating. (Score 0) 106

If someone like MachineShedFred is getting a forced reboot in the middle of the day, it's because he's the Dumb Fucking Retard who's been pushing "delay" on the machine over and over and "sleeping" the machine during the mandatory reboot times rather than save his work and pick a sensible moment, and now he's run past the mandatory delay allowance. He's known this reboot was coming, he just chose to IGNORE it and be a whiny little bitch about it.

Most IT departments have no idea how to set up automatic updating properly so that it still gets the job done, but doesn't piss off the users that you can't really piss off...

Most Dumb Fucking Retard Users like MachineShedFred imagine that they are above the requirements that IT have been ordered to apply to everyone, or that they've found some magical "workaround" to the system. I have no sympathy for his bullshittery.

Comment Re:This should surprise nobody (Score -1, Flamebait) 108

Elon Musk is an anagram for Leon Skum. He's a white-supremacist inbred Nazi Shitrat who masturbates every night to his fantasy of restoring the Apartheid regime that made his Disgusting Nazi Cuntrat Dad and Shitty Nazi Whorebag Momma "rich" from gem mining run using slave labor.

Comment Re: New normals (Score 3, Insightful) 215

Nixon and Reagan were LITERALLY shit-eating Treason Fucking Traitors to the USA.

Nixon went behind Johnson's back to end peace negotiations in Vietnam, getting tens of thousands of our troops killed so he could win an election, including my uncle. He should have been put in front of a firing squad and shot dead for the TREASON he committed.

Reagan did worse, going behind Carter's back, telling the Iranians to keep holding CIVILIAN HOSTAGES in exchange for a weapons deal. Reagan was a shit-eating Klan Fucking White Supremacist Bitch Traitor to the USA.

No member of the GOP can ever be trusted. They are ALL America-hating Treasonous White-Supremacist Scumass Bitch CRIMINAL TRASH.

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