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Comment Pointless (Score 1) 33

Nobody wants to deal in state-backed stablecoins. They also don't gain value as a speculative instrument. USDT and USDC gained adoption by being first/early movers and solving a problem that traders had in resolving transactions without dollars or euros (and in the case of USDT, shady activity helped).

Gazans won't benefit from having their own stablecoin when they could do just as well with one of the existing ones, and nobody is going to deposit USD or EUR (or anything else) to adopt these stablecoins when exchanges won't accept them.

Comment Re:US Comedy (Score 1) 83

That's also the EU, so it excludes the UK and Sweden.

Price is really a terrible way to compare military strength. Finland's entire military budget is less than $7 billion USD a year for 280k active members and 900k reserves. That's about what the US is spending on upgrading Guam's missile defences, or about half what it's costing to station 5000 marines there.

Comment Re:the race continues (Score 3, Informative) 16

There's a startup in the US that apparently reaised $100 million for particle accelerator-based photolithography, but they're getting quite a bit of skepticism. There's also university research into new technologies of course, but I don't know of any really serious push or anything likely to deliver "soonish." It took ASML thirty years to get EUV working.

The Chinese are certainly investing heavily in lithography for obvious reasons. They might have something in the ballpark "soonish" or they might not. I wouldn't hold my breath on equivalent or surpassing though.

Comment Re:This is generally true (Score 1) 116

A standard Big Mac is ~570 kcal, or 2.4 x 10^6 J, about 95% of which can be extracted by the human digestive system. An H100 uses about 350 to 700 W max, with typical working draw on the lower end. Say 500 W, being generous.

A Big Mac would power that H100 for an hour and a quarter or so, which is a lot of queries. You could get a typical diffusion model to make a few thousand pictures in that amount of time while a typical artist might have difficulty finishing one on a single hamburger.

For many things AI inference is quite a bit more efficient than a human and it is generally much more efficient than a conventional algorithm where comparable conventional algorithms exist.

Comment Re:Fuck you, Sam (Score 2) 116

But ultimately it's an academic question. Capitalism did evolve in a particular way, and it's very different today from what it was 50 years ago.

True. It's harnessed by effective taxation, sophisticated financial and insurance systems with effective safeguards, strong social programs treasured by citizens and widely shared prosperity that lets pretty much anybody own and utilize effective capital if they desire. Even traditionally disadvantaged parts of the world are vaulting ahead with their own social and economic innovations and enjoying unprecedented prosperity.

And then there's the United States.

Comment Re:US Comedy (Score 1) 83

It's also comical when you look up the numbers and learn that Europe has something like twice as many troops as the US, more tanks, more artillery, more of pretty much everything that's relevant to actually defending Europe.

The idea that Europe is weak is propaganda or, at best, based on a naive comparison of spending. The US military is extremely expensive because it's based around the ability to project offensive power anywhere in the world on short notice, including in places where there's no friendly support.

Comment Re:"cloud-based components"?! (Score 1) 83

I do understand why countries didn't initially consider this a problem, as US leadership was rational

They did consider it a problem. Buying hardware from a reasonably reliable ally in order to keep that ally happy was considered worth the risk. It isn't anymore.

I don't understand why they have not been working on reverse engineering the whole thing since at least 2018.

There's not a lot of point in reverse engineering it. Probably a kill switch doesn't exist, but probably one could be made, the same way you could screw up your customers' firmware update if you wanted to. But the real kill switch is the supply chain. The US has already forbidden France and the UK to send missiles to Ukraine because the missiles contained some US parts.

It entirely unfathomable why they would have bought more without the capability to use their own software.

Most of the recent purchases were already effectively made. Canada, for example, will be obtaining some F35s because the contract was signed years ago.

Comment Re:Will It Just Make Software Cheaper and More Acc (Score 1) 88

How good any bit of it will be depends on the level of QA it goes through - just like it depends on that now.

The QA process currently assumes that at least some people actually know how the code works, and QA is already one of the biggest bottlenecks in the development process.

For example, it's often very difficult to get your peers to do code reviews so you can commit your updates because they're busy and the work of doing code reviews sucks. The main reason they get done at all is quid pro quo: You have to eventually do code reviews for others or they'll stop reviewing your code.

If all anyone is doing is reviewing orders of magnitude more AI slop than any human can produce, the review process is going to suck. The best people are just going to quit instead of sitting there reviewing code all day, even if they have to switch careers and become electricians. With nobody actually writing code, the reviewers will eventually atrophy and lack the knowledge of what problems to look for in the first place.

Similar issues will show up for product testing and all of the other steps in the product pipeline.

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