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Comment Re:too bad (Score 1) 312

The Second Amendment was intended to be a check on federal power. None of the amendments were incorporated into jurisprudence about what individual states could do until arguably 1890 and not certainly until the early 1920s. Many states had laws around firearm storage for decades. In the 1830s, Massachusetts was the first among several states to generally bar carriage of firearms in public. Texas would follow suit in 1871.

The Heller decision written by Scalia was a sea change in constitutional law, but it laid down important limits that were respected in the MacDonald decision that followed soon after and which incorporated the Second Amendment as applying to states as well as the federal government. Scalia wrote that firearm law limitations were presumptively lawful, and essentially laid down an opportunity for the federal government to prohibit future types of weapons sales by preventing them from becoming publicly available. Here's what he wrote (citations removed).

We also recognize another important limitation on the right to keep and carry arms. Miller said, as we have explained, that the sorts of weapons protected were those "in common use at the time." We think that limitation is fairly supported by the historical tradition of prohibiting the carrying of "dangerous and unusual weapons."

It may be objected that if weapons that are most useful in military service—M-16 rifles and the like—may be banned, then the Second Amendment right is completely detached from the prefatory clause. But as we have said, the conception of the militia at the time of the Second Amendment’s ratification was the body of all citizens capable of military service, who would bring the sorts of lawful weapons that they possessed at home to militia duty. It may well be true today that a militia, to be as effective as militias in the 18th century, would require sophisticated arms that are highly unusual in society at large. Indeed, it may be true that no amount of small arms could be useful against modern-day bombers and tanks. But the fact that modern developments have limited the degree of fit between the prefatory clause and the protected right cannot change our interpretation of the right.

Scalia had no problem with regulating or even banning public availability of broad classes of weapons as long as those available to the public continued to be available to the public. In his view, existing weapons like missiles and new weapons like portable lasers could be banned because they were not "in common use." However, Scalia died in 2016, and the Court has moved to a substantially broader view than he had.

What are you going to do when Nazi Trump really ramps up the persecution? Oh right, sit back and protest and hope the government doesn't murder you all, ie just like Iran did to it's protesters two months ago.

The people who have clamored most over the last 40 years about government overreach are largely those most supportive of Trump's tyrannical behavior. However, the fastest growing segment of gun owners in the last couple of years are those on the left, with even more disproportionate growth among minorities. There are a lot of former military who are very unhappy with the direction that he's taken, too. There are a lot of guns on both sides and not nearly enough police or military to handle them all.

So far, the Trump administration's own overreach has been embarrassing enough to force them to back off. The videos of the deaths of Renee Good and Alex Pretti were bad enough, but the responses by almost everyone up to and including Trump in labeling them terrorists and declaring that the ICE and CBP agents did no wrong before we even had multiple views of what happened caused them to backpedal (even the NRA chimed in against the administration). Bovino was removed from Minnesota and demoted, resulting in him either deciding or being forced to retire. They sent Tom Homan in, and the first thing he did was withdraw half of the agents assigned there, and most of the rest have returned to their assigned jurisdictions. Noem's constant bluster and media presence have sidelined her in the administration, destroyed almost any chance of a political future and cast a permanent pall over the brutal enforcement actions under her watch. Her replacement, Markwayne Mullin, isn't much better in terms of policy goals, but he has said that he doesn't like and doesn't want the constant press from extreme actions. The GOP, including Trump, is being forced to negotiate on things in the DHS budget bill that Trump declared just a couple of weeks ago were nonnegotiable. Trump's actions in Iran have backfired, and so far, the only negotiations happening seem to be in his own imagination, leaving him looking even worse, even among his own supporters.

They're weak and they know it, and their support isn't as solid as it was a year ago. Whether this means they continue to back down or they suddenly lash out, I don't know. But if they do move to mass violence, it isn't going to be against a group of unarmed pansies entirely incapable of shooting back. I hope it doesn't come to that, because it will become impossible to predict the outcome.

Comment Re:All it takes in our economy (Score 3, Informative) 57

Trump has issued 101 pardons in his first 13 months of office, many of whom were very obviously guilty of serious crimes and for which Trump was expecting a quid pro quo. The Cuellars are a prime example. The evidence against them was overwhelming, yet Trump pardoned them and then got angry that he registered to run as a Democrat for office in his district. And there's Changpeng Zhao, whom Trump didn't know anything about but pardoned on the idea that his prosecution was a "Biden witch hunt." We're supposed to ignore that Peng's company made the Trump family $2 billion richer a few months before.

Comment Re:His rockets are barely reusable (Score 2) 126

I'm not fond of Musk, but this part about SpaceX is just blatantly untrue. Falcon 9 has an enviable record, with only two full failures and one partial failure out of 619 launches. Of the 602 attempted recoveries, they've made 589 of them using 53 boosters for an average of 11 launches per booster, with at least one (B1067) completing 33 landings.

NASA has most certainly not given up on reusable rockets. They continue to plan for the Falcon line to be used, and New Glenn has some contracts with more likely coming as it demonstrates reliability. Vulcan is supposed to eventually get reuse capability (we'll see), and NASA uses that, too. Even most of the smaller rockets have or are developing reuse capability.

Tesla is a mess, Musk had to get SpaceX to buy Twitter and Grok, and Starship is clearly having more problems than expected, but SpaceX's core Falcon operations are working just fine.

Comment Re:What's the backlog at ASML? (Score 2) 126

For power, he will likely divert a bunch of solar panels and grid-scale batteries from Tesla.

The bigger issue is that he wants to put this close to sources of vibration, like the Tesla gigafactory that uses high impact tools to shape metal. Apparently reputable commenters elsewhere have said that these impacts, while invisible to human sensations, are likely enough to affect high-sensitivity chip manufacturing operations. Existing fabs all over the world have to take into account traffic from nearby highways, and the gigafactory will be even closer and involve sharper impacts.

He has also dismissed concerns about clean rooms in the past, saying that they're overblown, and that he'll be able to eat a cheeseburger and smoke a cigar in the same rooms that are running manufacturing operations.

He was good as an idea man for a while, but his ideas have lost contact with reality.

Comment Re:Dickhead (Score 1) 57

The funny thing is, if Bezos really did put 100% of the money in himself, people would accuse him of trying to hog all the benefits of manufacturing automation, and shutting out investment by other parties.

I'm waiting for Larry Ellison to do just that, but with a fuckton of borrowed money, because... well, Larry Ellison.

https://www.wired.com/story/la...
https://www.thomasnet.com/insi...
https://slate.com/technology/2...

Part of the game is taking assets people think is worth money, and converting it into assets that are actually worth money...

Comment Re: Dickhead (Score 2) 57

https://www.forbes.com/profile...

J.B. Pritzker
$3.9B
Real Time Net Worth

        Jay Robert "J.B." Pritzker is the governor of Illinois; he unseated Republican incumbent Bruce Rauner as a Democratic candidate in 2018.
        An heir to the Hyatt Hotel fortune, Pritzker ran private equity firm Pritzker Group with his brother Anthony until March 2017.
        His charitable foundation supports nonprofits primarily in Chicago, including the Ounce of Prevention Fund, which provides early-childhood education.
        His uncle Jay Pritzker (d. 1999) founded Hyatt Hotels and his father Donald (d. 1972) managed and developed the chain.
        His sister Penny Pritzker, also a billionaire, served as U.S. commerce secretary under Barack Obama from 2013 to early 2017.

Comment Re:Google Exits Yet Another Project (Score 2) 16

There was a little of that, but I think they really wanted to be part of the industry and figured that their effectively unlimited bank account would make that relatively easy. Almost out of the gate, GFiber was complaining about the amounts of red tape that incumbents were imposing, ranging from high fees to use existing poles to to arguments over easements to lawsuits over trivial and even frivolous claims. They lobbied city, county, state, and federal governments to do everything they could to block Google, threatening to withdraw from markets even before Google started building out, potentially leaving people without any high-speed internet for years as a way to threaten government officials who wanted to keep their jobs with losing them due to angry constituents.

Comment Re:I thought the housing crisis was about greed (Score 1) 120

Ironically factory towns would actually be better.

In a factory town, the housing is a recruitment incentive and benefit (that ironically keeps you trapped because the non-factory town alternative is so much more expensive). But at least then the objective is to keep the housing affordable and accessible to employees of the company, and the ecosystem that keeps them happy. Whereas it seems like everywhere else in the US (and in highly desirable places internationally) people have decided that a place to live is an asset, and that the price must always go up.

Compare the limitations on use between say, a 20-40 acre parcel of land in a rural area, and the limitations on use for a 5000 ft parcel. Then go further and take a look at municipalities that are barely a step removed from having an HOA looking over your shoulder about everything you do with regards to your house.

Leaving aside the history of zoning as a method of excluding "undesirable" residents, zoning is an artificial, and inefficient (because code is a function of rulemaking, not of economics, and rooted in assumptions that may no longer be true) way of regulating land use.

For example, there's a lot of zoning and code regulation around needing adequate parking for residential developments which assumes some average number of cars which is pretty much always just incredibly wrong. In high cost of living areas without transit, the regulations understate the amount of parking needed because each unit has multiple residents (you need one or more roommates to get by, and everybody needs a car.) In high density areas designed to be walkable with a high density form of transit nearby, the regulations overstate the amount of parking needed per unit of housing.

The funny thing is... if you mix commercial and residential, often times you can balance the use of parking spots. During the day - the spots are used by commercial users. In the evening, those users leave, and the commuters who live in the mixed use development can then use those spots. Think about all the commercial/industrial parks - full during the day, and then empty (with the exception of box trucks in the evening) at night. Most of these companies are not going to be running second and third shifts, so those spaces are just unused 2/3rds of the day (so why all the Waymos decide to chill in my neighborhood instead of finding an empty stretch of street next to the storage yard a few streets over is just strange.)

I'm not going to go around telling people that capitalism is an unbridled good, but I will say that efforts to regulate how much money people make often backfire in unexpected ways. Consider if a single company owned the land, built housing, retail, commercial, industrial space, and also built high density transit and shopping plazas. They could afford to partially subsidize the transit during the early years while filling out the various developments, until they reach a level of density that makes it self-funding.

While they never fully realized the original premise, Disney's Reedy Creek improvement district could be considered an example of this type of development:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

Comment Re:Nevermind... (Score 1) 54

I've seen cameras installed in gyms to monitor the exercise floor. There's no reason they wouldn't be, and multiple reasons to have them, including showing customers misusing equipment, harassing other customers, or starting fights. They're not installed in the locker rooms, but the main floor is perfectly fine.

They're also perfectly within their rights to ban customer recording devices, including smart glasses.

Comment Re:On the verge of bankruptcy (Score 5, Insightful) 42

Grumman and McDonnell Douglas were saved from bankruptcy by mergers. It is very likely that other companies like Martin Marietta would have gone bankrupt post-Cold War save for mergers. Five major defense contractors were left out of around 50 previous major contractors. OpenAI may not go bankrupt, but that doesn't mean its independent future is secure.

OpenAI is already facing serious headwinds. Its 2025 revenue was only $13 billion, but it expects 2030 revenue to be around $280 billion. Two years ago, it expected to invest $1.3 trillion in data centers, hardware, and model training, but a few weeks ago, that was cut to $600 million. It's losing money on most of its subscriptions, even the $200 Pro level. Its early technology edge is fading, with Anthropic and Google competing for the top spot. It had to push out ChatGPT 5.2 earlier than planned, and that wasn't much of an upgrade over 5.1. They're still by far the most popular AI brand, but that doesn't mean permanent success.

Comment Re:Fuck this administration (Score 1) 393

Actually... the electoral college (and number of representatives in the house) is based on census, and the census is based on all residents, US citizens and otherwise.

https://govfacts.org/elections...

"A 2020 analysis by the Pew Research Center, based on population projections, estimated that if undocumented immigrants were excluded from the 2020 apportionment count, three states would each lose a congressional seat they were otherwise expected to have.

California would have lost two seats instead of one, while Florida and Texas would have seen their gains reduced by one seat each. Conversely, three other statesâ"Alabama, Minnesota, and Ohioâ"would each have held on to a seat they were otherwise projected to lose.

A similar analysis by the Congressional Research Service (CRS), using 2013 population estimates, projected that a citizen-only count would cause a shift of seven seats among 11 states.

Under this scenario, California would lose four seats, while Texas, Florida, and New York would each lose one. These losses would be offset by single-seat gains for Louisiana, Missouri, Montana, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, and Virginia."

So states with large numbers of non-voting residents (as in non-citizens) can give the voting residents (as in the citizens) of those states, outsized power when voting (assuming everyone turns out to vote - which is a different issue.)

Not quite the illegal voter / replacement theory that right wing meme artists want to push, but it can impact the census, and thus, every ten years, the way that seats and electoral college votes are distributed.

From this perspective, if Trump wants to depopulate House seats and electoral college votes in blue states, it is absolutely to his advantage to drive people out of those states and into red ones. Next best thing after that is to keep people from migrating into blue states to begin with.

Comment Re:So let me get this straight. (Score 1) 62

Consumers won't be able to afford it.

Governments and businesses will likely sign long term contracts with service organizations, if the past is any indication.

We'll all be interacting with these systems in one way or another. Possibly not directly, but at one or two levels removed. The technology keeps changing so I can be confident that what we think of as the primary methods of using these systems is probably not what will be the dominant form in a few years.

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