Then: lay off the entry level engineers first because we have senior people who know everything.

Now: Oh No! Our senior people retired, died, etc and we dont have any junior people to replace them and we cant find senior people who understand the art behind our niche process/equipment! We are soon out of business!

Most would be shocked how much of this exists right now in the basic materials industry.

I think AI will replace a lot of coding roles, and we will write programs via UML. Trouble is, AI may not be able to troubleshoot and debug those programs or integrate them with other applications, and if we dont produce people who know how to code then we will flop.

Will be hiring coders to come in and fix the absolute mess of code that Ai is spitting out.

Companies don't need programmers to create code. They need programmers to maintain code. From the anecdotes I've read about LLM code generation, it's all either mindless boilerplate, the kind of thing that anybody could type up in half an hour that's too simple to even have errors; or, for more complicated things, bad, unmaintainable code. The LLM won't really buy you any time writing boilerplate, because it all has to be well-specified beforehand and checked afterwards anyway. And if you use it to write things more complicated than boilerplate, it will make spaghetti out of it. And it can't then fix the spaghetti, because every time you turn it loose on an existing codebase, it just makes more spaghetti. Sooner or later, the spaghetti assumes critical mass, and you can't fix one thing without breaking three others.

It's basically just a machine for automating the taking on of technical debt.

I voted for him three times, so take this for what it is worth to you. My opinions may help you to understand my thinking. My expectations were low first term, and he exceeded them in some areas, met them in some areas, and disappointed in some areas. So when he won again in round 3, I my expectations were slightly higher, because I think his biggest failure in term 1 was proper staffing. Turns out most of his staff were Washington insiders who were just as eager to fuck his agenda over as would have been had he literally just kept Obama's staff.

This term has been so far, an "absolute 1000% exceed my expectations" and I am SO GLAD I voted for him and he won. Lets address a few things:

1. Staffing. I think Elon is a master organizer and the innovator of our time. Steve Jobs once said there comes a product every one in a while that changes everything, and he cited 3 products he worked on that were such products: the iPod, the Mac, and the iPhone. He said that he was lucky enough to be involved in 3. Elon, it seems so far has 5: The electric drive train, FSD, the reusable rocket, Starlink, and lastly, X. Robert F. Kennedy, who's probably the most mis-quoted or out of context quoted single person in history other than Trump himself is for all his shortcomings, probably the most passionate person in America to be concerned with people's health. I could go on and on about Tom Homan and Tulsi Gabbard, but I really think Trump has this time around an excellent team. Exceeded my expectations.

2. Presidential overreach? Clearly, from my point of view, the "checks and balances" isn't working. Look at the absolutely embarrassing state of our government! We were funding Israel AND HAMAS. Our tax dollars were out of control, and giving Congress "The Power of the Purse" was clearly the greatest mistake of our founding fathers since they convoluted the second amendment with a justification sentence. ANYONE who think Trump is overreaching by fixing the spending of the US with the DOGE team, etc. is clearly an enemy of the people of the United States. The Government spent WAY too much and that much is OBVIOUS. If you think Trump wasn't authorized to fix it on behalf of the millions of voters who overwhelmingly voted for him, then the authorizations should be fixed and lets be honest, Congress is so far corrupted that we can't rely on them to fix it at all. Even if Americans had clear and proper media explaining the shit congress has been up to, we wouldn't trust new candidates not to get immediately corrupted once they got elected, never mind the fact that most people just vote for a party, even though that party candidate is corrupt. We now know why the media was so complicit in government corruption, they got the lions share of bribes coming from USAID!

So yes, I really am happy Trump won, and I don't think the DOGE team is cutting enough or going fast enough for my liking. Quite frankly, I would be happier if Pam Bondi was out arresting all those responsible for this spending from Joe Biden, with his billion for Ukraine on condition they fire a prosecutor, all the way down to all the treasury employees who never denied a payment even though fraud was obvious. They betrayed the American people, and committed crimes. They should all be tried and hanged as far as im concerned. Overreach? Hardly.

China is cheaper because of CCP directly and indirectly subsidizes EV production.

...seems like 3-4 years now, while we continue to laugh at the attempts to go for 30 minutes unsupervised.

I don't denigrate ML, I've filled in some probability tables with massive data summarizations myself, and it helped automate my own job. But I've been replaced by two people, nonetheless. Better tools often get you into more complexity and you have to navigate that to prevent the great tool from making greater mistakes.

Backhoes really helped speed construction, but not unsupervised.

Lets see the AI bots diagnose and fix code issues at 3am when your corporate site is down and no human knows how the code works. I am sure the robots are not going to comment the code any better than their human overlords do.

If we humans don't have jobs. We don't make money, we don't buy stuff. The companies that are all AI Driven don't have customers, so they cannot operate for free.

Now do humans basically get (more) token jobs, where we are kept busy? Or will we just basically live in a post capitalist utopia where everything we need and want is provided to us,

But 2027 is much too close for such social changes, especially with such a strong regressive attitude towards changes we are facing today. With the little people who have little power in this world being blamed for all of our problems. Saying everyone will be able to live with whatever they want without working for it, will not be tolerated for quite a while. Probably not within my life span.

Er no.

Companies only want minimum competence to do the job and that's exactly what they get typically or sadly, worse because they assumed boot camp is enough to gain competence. Source: I worked in IT for 40 years, much of that in a management capacity. I saw way too many incompetent H1-B workers who went to boot camp, far more than among the group of university trained US programmers. It's the reason we fired entire Indian based contractor companies.

We need indentured servants, err..H1-B because American workers are ghosting us. Someone familiar to me has literally dropped close to 800 resumes and got 3 interviews, and no jobs. We need to crack down on the ghost job listings by these "sad" employers. And if a recruiter is not getting back to an applicant, that recruiter should be fired. We have no standards in the job application market anymore.

Such behavior from applicant's point of view is illogical - you spend time and effort interviewing to not follow up on this. More so, you have to take time off work for in-person interviews, so this isn't zero-cost endeavor. Yes, spite is one possible explanation, but would that be widespread?

Here is what I think is happening. This is manufactured story, where media is colluding with big tech to justify H1B visa increases. If they can discredit US applicants (i.e., push the narrative that they don't show up even when hired) then you can hire more cheap migrants. More so, it is trivially easy to organize no-shows by maliciously sending acceptance letters to a wrong address or wrong email.