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Comment Re:All your jobs are...belong to us! (Score 1) 127

I've noticed a lot of people do not seem to understand the dangers of AI.

People seem to think that their job is somehow special, that they can never be replaced by a machine.

Also there is another group of people who seem to think that it's not a big deal, that just like the industrial revolution, new jobs will pop up for people to migrate to.

Both are wrong.

As of yet, there is nothing inherently special about a human being that cannot be reproduced by machines. When you can mechanize a human in it's entirety, new jobs created will be filled by machines.

Think creativity is some kind of magical power exempt from being reproduced by AI? Think again. There are AI right now that can paint, create new music, write news articles etc. And their works are indistinguishable from those produced by their human counterparts.

AI can code, robots can build and support and repair robots.

Even jobs who people consider "safe" (doctors, lawyers, etc) will eventually disappear. Imagine an AI doctor, who can in a fraction of a second, know your ENTIRE medical history as well as all drugs you where ever prescribed in your life time and know all possible interactions between those drugs and is up to date on research on your particular ailment that was published 1 hour ago. No human doctor could compete. And these AI doctors will work 24/7,365 days a year. No sick days, no training, no family drama to worry about while at work.....

Do you think it's coincidence that the first widely available commercial application AI happens to be autonomous road vehicles? The transportation industry is the #1 industry in North America in terms of total number of people employed (truck drivers, taxi drivers, pizza delivery, etc.).

Why do you think some governments have started experimenting with or looking into basic universal income?

No point trying to predict the future. There are so many things playing out in so many different ways. Who knows what will be at the end.

Recent research article says autonomous vehicles will be one of the last. It requires a huge infrastructure investment. The first ones will be engineers, lawyers and doctors. All you need is an app that translates natural language to designs, code, legal documents, prescriptions etc. It could use the existing infrastructure but with data center backend enhancements.

Comment Play the game or don't (Score 3, Insightful) 432

Number one rule of not being bullied is to be part of a pack. Don't be singled out. Form a pack with your other colleagues.

So, either drum up the popular support and find a way to change the gaslighter. This option will take a lot of energy and it will take away from your work and life.

Or, leave and find somewhere else.

Comment Re:It sounds like a nightmare (Score 1) 209

They're constantly graded on every aspect of their performance, tightly micromanaged, and working in an extremely competitive environment. What I'm hearing is the business is designed to extract every possible erg of work from its employees and then spit them out when they're burnt out and no longer competitive. I would only work there if they paid enough to retire after five years.

I wish it was an good mix of *collaborative* and competitive environment.

What burns me out is working alone. And, everyone becomes uncollaborative when it's a competitive environment.

If it becomes too collaborative, I would think it becomes the class group project where one person does all the work and the rest slack.

Comment Re:durable intent (Score 1) 209

The goal is technology that would automate most of the firmâ(TM)s management. It would represent a culmination of Mr. Dalioâ(TM)s life work to build Bridgewater into an altar to radical opennessâ"and a place that can endure without him. At Bridgewater, most meetings are recorded, employees are expected to criticize one another continually, people are subject to frequent probes of their weaknesses, and personal performance is assessed on a host of data points, all under Mr. Dalioâ(TM)s gaze. Bridgewaterâ(TM)s new technology would enshrine his unorthodox management approach in a software system. It could dole out GPS-style directions for how staff members should spend every aspect of their days, down to whether an employee should make a particular phone call.

I think the Wall Street story (here gets you past the paywall once) is obsessing over the micromanagement side of the thing and missing the big picture. This is among the first examples of someone using AI to try to maintain strategic and organizational integrity of an organization after their death. While there's a good chance this just fails utterly (particularly with the obsession on micromanagement and dysfunctional business dynamics), it does lead to a potential problem or opportunity down the road when many of these things have been set up with conflicting interests. There have been many examples through history of powerful people trying to create an enduring legacy through creation and propagation of something throughout time. These endeavors often fail merely because successors have different interests and high levels of incompetency, leading eventually to dissolution of the thing. Here is a possibility to create something enduring, a machine capable of surviving long durations and implementing its creators' will long after their deaths. Here, the alleged goal is retention of a particular business culture, but who knows what else has been tossed in? There could be all sorts of covert purposes and priorities, some introduced by the patron and perhaps, some introduced by other parties? Then there's the matter of what happens in the distant future, if this approach turns out to be successful without a corresponding improvement in human longevity? Either it's the only one of its kind, and we have a build up of economic power not subject to the usual restrictions of human lifespan or we have multiple powerful parties in permanent conflict with each other. This need not be universally bad. For example, an AI could be set up to further environmentalism or poverty elimination goals just as easily as it could a particular business's interests.

In a lot of complex systems, the influence of the inputs and outputs are not linear and uncorrelated.

AI setup for environmentalism and poverty elimination might influence other systems and those influences might be huge in the wrong sectors. It might attribute environmentalism and poverty elimination with population reduction, war etc.

Just like the stock market, there is no real way to predict what will be successful and what will fail. As humans, we always have our 20/20 hindsight bias. As an exercise in proving this, just read slashdot predictions from five to ten years ago. It's almost painful how inane most predictions were.

In short, if it sounds like a good idea try it. It will either succeed or fail, and even if it succeeds it will rarely succeed in the way it was intended to.

Point is someone is doing something. Let's wait and see how it goes. We don't have to convince ourselves that this is good or bad.

Comment Re:There is no bad code. (Score 3, Insightful) 163

Testing on another planet is not that easy, though.

Yes, test it all in production.

Since testing is sooooooooo hard.

Landing is the most complicated part and Beagle and others have failed exactly here. There should be x100 or even more code for unit and integration testing than the actual code itself for the landing code. And, those tests should run through every permutation possible of every possible failure point or bad sensor readings.

There is no way it thinks it has landed with that many sensor inputs. It is simply code that is not put through a good enough testing system.

Comment Re:Buzzword du jour (Score 1) 111

I am so sick of hearing about "Artificial Intelligence". There's nothing intelligent about it. It's just fancy pattern-matching, because that's all we can do at this point. It's better pattern-matching than we've been able to do before, but it's pure hype to call it "AI".

IDK if this uses it or not, but in the past few years the advent of deep learning has changed what AI means.

It's still better pattern matching but it's better than human now with deep learning.

Comment Re: Microsoft... (Score 1) 292

I have a 2015 F-150 Lariat. The rest of the truck is awesome. Truly I really love the rest of the truck. Engineering masterpiece and so many details right plus great gas mileage. I would give it 5 out of 5 stars....except the &$-)1#^!! My Ford Touch! I hate it! I am not a person to get too upset over things, but I had to pay $1,500 extra for something that doesn't work well and never will because Ford and MSFT stopped development on it. Also according to Ford there is no upgrade path except to buy a new truck some year in the future. When I turn my truck on it automatically connects via Bluetooth and plays something random....it grabs anything up on iCloud. I've had rap music, kid pop, French language lessons, metal, ....it's always a surprise. The navigation system is comical and pathetic circa late 1990's or early 2000's tech. I will just stop writing right here on this because I am already getting mad thinking about it.

I will never buy another Ford (or other make) without fully testing the infotainment system. Mobile device integration is too important in this day and age. It has to fully support Apple CarPlay and/or Andriod Auto or won't be considered.

I really dislike Ford for also not taking care of recent customers. $1,500 for something flawed and dead ended while my iPhone is half the cost and infinitely better plus getting updated all the time.

Buyer beware! Test it yourself fully before buying. Don't get a Ford until Apple Car Play comes standard (and not by a software update which may never come).

-Andy

Why don't you remove it and put a third party infotainment system in there? The only way it is connected to the vehicle is for the random bell dings it does for low fuel. I'm sure third party would support that and back camera.

Have you used other company's offerings? The Mercedes Benz I tried was super terrible. The GPS was more interested in telling me if there was a Subway restaurant in the every exit I drove through than actually doing proper navigation.

Comment Re:Ethical training... (Score 1) 121

- "Ethical training" of people in A.I. fields, particularly as the technology is used to control more real-world objects that could lead to concerns about safety and security.

Doctors & lawyers receive ethical training, yet we still have a lot of unethical doctors & lawyers. If we created a "sentient" A.I., what's to say that it wouldn't find some way to get around its ethical programming by the people ethically trained to create it? Don't forget about Microsoft's recent venture.

Ethical training of people in A.I.

Not ethical training of A.I.

Comment Re:Good for India (Score 1) 813

The problem is that these sorts of companies don't really lift anyone out of poverty over there. They don't have the same labor standards, they exploit their workers while paying the minimum they can get away with. Many "IT workers" moved from the farm to live in city slums while destroying the environment doing so.

Sure people over there need to eat there too but they're barely eating and corporate colonization is not a good solution. This is akin to saying "hey, don't worry about us outsourcing the cotton picking, those Africans need to eat too, they were dying in Africa to snake bites and lions, as slaves they get steady meals and a house to live in"

India has one of the largest growing middle class and is seeing economic growth in all economic strata. Link

Comment Re:Good for India (Score 1) 813

Probably because it is a country's duty to first support its own citizens. Otherwise, what is a country?

Then in that regard, it's the company or department's duty to minimize costs and maximize returns.

Also the country is to support all the citizens, not just some. The lower IT cost will be enjoyed by students with lower tuition bills or more infrastructure with the saved funds.

When China produces cheap iPhones and laptops, we all buy it without regard to the cost to the American manufacturing worker. All of a sudden, when India produces products that affects us, we all start complaining.

Comment Re:H-1B abuse and Trump (Score -1, Flamebait) 813

H-1B abuse like this is one of many reasons why some people feel that their only choice is to vote for Trump's insanity. Desperate people do desperate things.

Trump is not against H1B, he's just against the non-white immigrants who use H1B. Right now most of it is India.

I think Trump would be OK with H1B abuse if it was done by Russia and Eastern Europe countries.

Instead of training an Indian replacement, you'd be training a Russian or Czech replacement.

Comment Re:I kid. (Score 1) 162

I'm 58, last three years have be learning and developing in NodeJS, CouchDB, JQuery, Lodash, Async, etc. Right now am prototyping an architecture using Swagger and a127.

There are exceptions to every categorization. If you dismiss somebody as unable to learn because they are older, then you are prejudging them. That's age discrimination.

I always think it's a young developer's thing to name drop technologies they are learning.

The great older developers are past that phase and actually have created or worked on creating or improving the modern software technologies, not just merely learning them.

Comment Re:This suggests the *current* expected max age (Score 1) 290

From the article, this is not an estimate of upper max based on species capability, biological understanding of the aging process, or knowledge and subsequent realistic & accepted explanation of the limitations. They just graphed the current max age on a year by year basis and noticed that the last 20 years or so, there seems to be a plateau. At least in the countries that keep good track of age of citizens over the last 150 years or so.

Even with poor or missing data, we can see that if we used this same technique in say, 1700, the expected max age would look a bit different. At one time, our expected max age was 30!

Using a study like this to claim knowledge about the limits of age is like using a crime statistics study in the us to prove that certain minority groups are *genetically* prone to be criminals, and about exactly as useful.

As mankind progresses and continues to innovate in the fields of medicine, biology, sociology, psychology, and technology, we'll keep pushing this limit, perhaps in fits and starts, but it'll continue to advance. That is, unless there's some difficult-to-impossible ACTUAL limitation that we hit. A study of statistics like this might hint at *a* current barrier, but this doesn't identify, describe, or explain it. It certainly can't claim it's the *final* barrier.

The study is saying we have billions of data points and out of the billions of data points, there must be some people who by sheer chance avoided accidents, infectious diseases and diseases like cancer that occur by chance. If the best we can do is 120 years now, then it probably is the humanity's limit to age.

If we have innovations like brain transplant or brain copying then there is no limit. Or with gene therapy or something like we can extend it. But, we can't extend it further living healthy or avoiding disease.

Comment Re:Anything important will be preserved (Score 2) 348

The vast majority of things that are worth knowing will always be remembered and preserved. If the few that forgotten become necessary, they will be reinvented.

The world will continue spinning. No need for alarm.

The best way to preserved knowledge is to disseminate it widely. Or, to paraphrase Linus Torvalds, someone somewhere will mirror all the really important stuff.

Things will only be reinvented if there is a financial incentive to do it. If a complex mathematical proof is lost, who is going to recreate it? There is neither glory or money in it.

The linux kernel is used by billions of devices. An important theorem which would only be useful decades down the road might not be preserved. I've seen very useful math textbooks written by professors go out of print and then the only copies are poor xerox copies floating around with grad students. Scanning and put it somewhere also fails since it keeps disappearing as accounts are removed after the student moves on.

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