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Comment Re:People in superdense houses shouldn't... (Score 1) 25

Compared with the size of the Milky Way with a total mass of 1.5 times 10^12 solar masses, the size of Sagittarius A* is rather meager at 4 million solar masses. The Large Magellanic Cloud's center Black hole comes in at 600,000 solar masses, while the whole galaxy has about 1.5 times 10^11 solar masses. That means that the LMC's central Black hole is about 50% larger compared to the total size of the galaxy compared with Sag A*.

Comment Re: Let's see... (Score 1) 112

I don't know how old you are but many moons have passed since I discovered that government does many things with questionable utility. Minting cents, in a time when the value of the dollar is such that if someone drops one, they have to think about wether the labor involved in picking it up is worth the effort, in a time where children sooner treat them as missiles to hurl at their friends rather than as a precious commodity, and in a time where the utility of physical currency itself is of questionable value due its diminishing use... Well, it may be that minting cents are among those questionable things. We used to have half cents as well; were your customers aghast that you had to round to the nearest cent in order to make change?

Comment Re:Features also not possible with tomorrows tech (Score 2, Insightful) 40

You have to be stupid to think you have "freedom of speech" on anybody's private network or subreddit. It's the height of narcissism to think that's some "right" you have.

Reddit is run by individual armies of people who carefully cultivate specific communities. They have every right to restrict the content in their communities, and you have every right to create your own community if you don't like it. Complaining that you're upset because you broke somebody else's rules is childish.

Comment Re: Are we there yet (Score 1) 75

You would think so, but you'd be wrong. Social media is HUGE in the developing world, especially for anyone under 60-70. It's how they get all of their news; everyone has a phone, and even if there is not cell service most villages with electricity have a Wi-Fi access point and EVERYONE WhatsApp to text and make calls and post in local groups.

You know how you "recycle" your phone when you get a new one? Most of them go to South America, Africa, and Southeast Asia

Comment Re:Assumptions had changed. (Score 5, Insightful) 91

You got this one wrong, and if you had read through his reports on the methodology, you would know that. What you are referring to is something that is called "Fundamentals". And he broadly discusses how much weight should be given to fundamentals, and how much to day-to-day polling. In later years, 538 often had several models running in parallel, with different weighing to the factors. After each election, he also provided an in-depth analysis how the models had fared, where they failed, and how to adapt them to future tasks.

And you completely ignore his advice that you should not use the models to prematurely declare a "winner", because all the models are giving are probabilities. A 99% probability to win is not a win, and if you read a win there, you misread it. He did not predicted Marco Rubio to be the candidate. He just reported the chances of Marco Rubio to become the candidate. And at the begin of the election cycle, Marco Rubio had a pretty good lead. But as in sports, an early lead does not cement the final result. Otherwise we could stop each NFL game after the first touchdown.

It's a general problem with reporting on polling, and many people fall into this trap. Polling gives you probabilities, nothing more, and even they have their limits. Read a book about sampling, and sampling error, and how you have to account for that. Everyone who said that a polling "predicted a winner" ignores how polling works, and what polling actually provides.

Comment Re:Nate trying to call polling a "real business".. (Score 5, Informative) 91

Much opinion and not much knowledge in this comment.

Nate Silver was never a pollster. Nate Silver is a statistician. He started out with predictions about sport, especially league sports. The methods he learned there he used also for predictions of things like the Oscars or election results. He raised to fame when his predictions went against the common wisdom that Barack Obama was toast in his quest for re-election, because he noticed that election results in many states are correlated, that means, changes in polling results in one state are often mirrored in neighboring states. This has nothing to do with opinion, it's all about statistics.

His website is also the only one that in 2016 in the last update before the presidential election titled "Donald Trump is just a polling error away from the presidency". And that's how it went. The polling error for the average presidential election is about 3%, larger than the lead Hillary Clinton had in the last polling averages as published by 538, and so Nate Silver gave Donald Trump a 30% chance of winning the election, and a 30% chance is pretty good.

Whatever you think about Nate Silver, I know that your opinion is based on wrong information.

Comment The idea has its merits. (Score 1) 12

If you support several access routers at different locations with the same provider, it might make sense to have location dependent views. Providers often have the customer site identically configured with the same private IP address range for each customer. The admin URL alone is not sufficient to determine which credentials you need to log into the router, you would need a location too.

As always, it's a trade-off between convenience and security.

Comment Re:Glad to hear it's not intentional (Score 1) 78

I do volunteer "IT Stuff" for a community center near my home. This includes helping high school age kids through CompTIA A+ certification. There's even a grant to pay for exams for a few kids every year, which is honestly a big deal since the exams themselves are very expensive. I also do a Help Clinic a couple times a month that is primarily geared toward cleaning off malware, doing data transfers and counseling people interested in buying something new.

HP has absolutely staggering mindshare in relation to anything involving printers. It's selling $150+ single tank inkjets RIGHT NOW, as if that is a good idea and a quality product from some actually reputable manufacturer. There are a very small number of low-cost HP color laser printers that are actually kind of a good deal as used/refurb products, but I beg and plead that people consider the humble Brother monochrome laser models for their home printing needs. Almost no one listens, even though an equal number of people will concede that any positive experience they've had with an HP printer was either 30 years ago or involved the dishwasher sized printers they have in their office.

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