This is kind of like saying that car wrecks wouldn't happen if we had training and standards that excluded 95% of drivers
More like 99.99%. Maybe need some more nines in there. Large C codebases without regular critical CVEs are basically nonexistent.
Sam et al warn us to take actions that will save them from bankruptcy
What bankruptcy-prevention actions are they asking for?
15-25 kWh drawn by the utility is quite a bit! I hope they're paying him well for that.
Monopolist wants the competition to slow down while they speed up in secret.
They're bringing outside scrutiny into their processes; that's going to slow them down, too.
A few days ago there was a story about how an AI store was failing horribly. It can't do that, but at the same time will destroy us?
Not "at the same time". You're conflating what AI can do now with what it will likely be able to do in a year or five, or 20.
Amodei and others are worried about what AI that doesn't yet exist may do, not about what current-generation AI can do. AI is getting better, very quickly, and unless there's some blocking obstacle that no one has been able to identify will at some point become far, far smarter than humans, individually or collectively. So before that happens, we need to figure out how to make sure that superintelligent AI wants to help us, and wants to do it in the right way.
This is a multi-decade process to be sure. Even just getting to 90% might be enough, if we can ramp CO2 sequestration (another decades long effort).
If you have data on the MWh/KWh A/C reductions shave off peak that would be interesting. The Casio site shows explicitly batteries contributing 30% of the grid supply in the evenings. I don't believe you can get there with A/C reductions.
Both help, but my understanding is batteries are far larger in their capacity.
the CASIO site clearly shows batteries providing 30% of grid supply in the evenings just yesterday.
Batteries allow the time shift of midday solar energy surplus to when there's a deficit in the evenings. CA has cut gas peaker usage in the evenings by over 50% in just 5 years.
The rebates on the batteries you earn over time, and to do so you must export some of your stored battery power back to the grid during peak hours.
Is this actually a substantial amount of energy? I'm in Utah (Rocky Mountain Power) and RMP also pays me to use my batteries... but the amount of energy they draw is tiny. 8-10 times per week they draw on my batteries, but it's like 4 kW peak draw (my batteries can sustain 20 kW), and generally for less than 30 seconds, so in any given week I'm only contributing like 0.2 kWh. As I understand it, this is because RMP uses my batteries not really to "serve loads", per se, but just as grid stabilization; brief backfill to keep the voltage from sagging.
Obviously my batteries do serve *my* loads, which reduces the load on the grid, but that's not what RMP pays me for.
Does CA make heavier use of residential batteries to feed the grid?
TL;DR Trump Lackey / Doesn't Read
Yep, curtailment is just future battery storage.
It would be stupid to build a bazillion GWh of storage without the generation to fill it. Both are happening at increasing speed.
Weekly? pretty sure that would make the news.
As for smart thermostats vs batteries - batteries are explicitly listed in the graphs providing 30 percent of evening peak power just yesterday. https://www.gridstatus.io/live...
Smart thermostats definitely help but you'd need millions of houses pre-chilling down to the mid 60s before seeing demand reduction similar to batteries contributions. Most people aren't going to do that.
CA has cut gas usage during the duck curve in half in just 5 years.
With the advent of sodium ion batteries for grid scale storage, capacity won't likely be an issue for more than a decade.
More energy hits the earth as solar in an hour than the human race uses, in all forms, in a year (at least before hyperscale data centers anyway).
An 8000:1 surplus. And that's *just* solar.
Most of his donations were to Democrats, so he has no chance for that. https://time.com/6241262/sam-b...
And JD Vance called him Hitler. Trump accepts changes of heart as long as they include sufficient groveling and self-humiliation. SBF's problem is he doesn't currently have any money, and doesn't have a lot of friends to put up cash for him either. If SCOTUS will overturn his fine on a technicality and he can get some or all of that money back, then he'll have the cash to buy a pardon. Obviously he needs to get it done in the next 2 years, four months.
While money doesn't buy love, it puts you in a great bargaining position.
