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Comment Re: Climate change accelerates evolution (Score 1) 31

Jkechel you have no idea what you're talking about. If people keep pushing greenhouse gas theory, which is predicted to have a maximum effect if less than 2 degrees by 2100, it's blood that will be on your hands. Regreening, restorative ag practices,etc have way bigger impacts in a shorter time frame, and active destruction of habitat and pollution are killing us way faster than any greenhouse gas model concerns.

If you are really worried about climate change you would focus on the worst issues. You've been brainwashed by with marketing materials. If you have arterial bleeding, you don't ignore it and make an appointment to check out a funny looking mole.

flag me as a troll to your hearts content, but I'm guessing I'm the only one here with papers in peer-reviewed journals.

As I've demonstrated with peer-reviewed research from Nature and extensive real-world examples of greenhouse gas-induced agricultural disruptions in other replys, your climate denial raises serious questions. Are you receiving funding from fossil fuel industries? If so, you should recognize that such funding directly finances Russian war efforts and enriches authoritarian oil regimes in the Middle East.

Comment Re:Great! (Score 1) 148

There is a Nature article on this topic from just 2 days ago: https://www.nature.com/article...

It's also in the eyes of the beholder to decide what accounts as 'global crop failure'. I'd say only a 10% drop would be very disruptive to our world as we know it, while 20-30% are easily enough to force us into global wars.
Above article calculates a 94.6% chance of that failure for wheat until 2050 - that is in 25 years from now.

Additionally there are plenty of crop failures already:

Climate-Related Agricultural Disasters 2022-2025:

Major Drought Events

2022 | Europe | €25-30 billion | European Mega-Drought
Worst drought in 500+ years reduced soil moisture to second-lowest level in 50 years, causing 16% corn and 15% sunflower yield losses.

2022 | China | $7.6 billion | Yangtze Basin Heat-Drought
Record-breaking 70+ days above 40C affected 2.2 million hectares across nine provinces, severely damaging late rice crops.

2020-2023 | Horn of Africa | $1.5 billion livestock losses | Multi-Season Drought
Five consecutive failed rainy seasons created driest conditions in 40+ years, killing 9.5 million livestock and affecting 43,000 human deaths.

2022-2023 | Argentina | $14 billion | Worst Drought in 60+ Years
Eight heatwaves and La Niña effects caused 43% soybean production collapse from 43.9 to 25 million tons.

Devastating Floods

2022 | Pakistan | $12.94 billion | Century Flood
Monsoon rainfall 726% above normal in Sindh destroyed 80% rice crop, 88% cotton, and 61% sugarcane production.

2022-2024 | Australia | $650M-1B AUD | Repeated Flooding
Multiple flood events destroyed 85% Queensland soybean crop and reduced cattle herds by 475,000 animals.

Wildfire Destruction

2023 | Canada | Not specified | Record Wildfire Season
15 million hectares burned (largest in Canadian history) with smoke reducing photosynthesis during critical May-June growing period.

2022 | Europe | €13-21 billion annual | Second-Worst Fire Year
900,000 hectares burned in EU, including 365,000 hectares in protected agricultural areas.

2024 | USA | $16.59 billion | Combined Drought-Heat-Fire
Wildfire component caused $1.8 billion in direct agricultural damage alongside drought and heat losses.

Pest Outbreaks

2016-2024 | Global (78 countries) | $9.4 billion annually in Africa | Fall Armyworm Expansion
Spread from 6 African countries to 78 worldwide, causing massive corn and crop losses across sub-Saharan Africa.

2022 | South Africa | Not specified | Largest Locust Outbreak in 25 Years
Destroyed 5 million hectares of pastureland following six-year drought that created ideal breeding conditions.

2020-2023 | Horn of Africa | 2.3M tons grain saved | Desert Locust Crisis
Required treatment of 2.3 million hectares to prevent losses equivalent to feeding 15+ million people annually.

Plant Disease Epidemics

2024 | Europe | €2.9 billion annually | Potato Late Blight Crisis
New fungicide-resistant strains emerged as "greatest threat to European potato production in years."

2005-2023 | Florida, USA | 80% production decline | Citrus Greening (HLB)
Reduced citrus production from 240 million boxes (2003-04) to 16.1 million boxes (2022-23).

2012-ongoing | Mexico | 50% production loss | Coffee Leaf Rust
Temperature increases above 1,200m elevation enabled disease expansion into previously unaffected highland areas.

Heat Wave Impacts

2022 | India | $159 billion economy-wide | Wheat Production Crisis
Early season heatwaves reduced wheat yields by 10-15% and forced India to ban wheat exports.

2024 | India | 3.2 million hectares affected | Multiple Climate Stressors
109 districts classified as very high climate risk, with projected 20% rice, 19% wheat, and 18% corn yield losses by 2050.

Combined Weather Disasters

2023 | USA | $21+ billion | Severe Weather Complex
Major disasters and severe weather caused over $21 billion in crop losses, with $9.9 billion remaining uninsured.

2024 | USA | Not specified | Hurricane-Heat-Drought Triple
Hurricanes, heat, and drought created compound stress across major agricultural regions during critical growing seasons.

Comment Re:Great! (Score 2) 148

Yet deaths as a result of climate/weather events are the lowest they've been in recorded history. The climate preachers have been telling us that we're just 3-5 years from complete disaster for the past fifty. So you'll have to forgive me if I don't take your alarmism seriously.

No, no scientist ever told you we were 3-5 years from complete disaster.

Media did, and media does.

Scientists told 50 years ago that we will have 1.5 degree warming today, just as we have. They also tell that the inpredictability of wheather and biological sudden changes (mutations) will rise significantly. The 'alarmism' is, because all this was already set about 50 years ago. What we did the last 50 years will have impacts for the next 50+, and without 'alarmism' and disrupting changes, this will be way worse for future many many generations.

Or maybe you did just get wrong what '3-5 years from complete disaster' means. It does not mean that the disaster then happens, but that the future disaster then will be inevitable.

Comment The meaning of Three Years Left To Limit Warming (Score 1) 148

is:

3 years left to become a world with net zero CO2 and CO2 equivalent emissions.

3 years to zero Oil, Gas and Coal usage

3 years to zero meat consumption

3 years to zero concrete

When reducing CO2 from fossil carbon usage (that is Oil, Gas and Coal) to net zero only, we may continue with meat and concrete for many many more years.

Realism? Lost on any of above net zero conditions alone.

The Question is more: Do you want to be part of the cause? Do you want to have blood on your hands for billion of deaths? Do you want to send your children into global war? It's coming to you!

Comment Re:Great! (Score 1) 148

Many tipping points (Arctic ice loss, permafrost thaw, Amazon dieback) are much closer than your timeline suggests.

I gave a timeline? I merely said we have time to act deliberately and implement known working solutions than go all in on what is popular today.

You did, you said we would have enough time to act without disrupting changes. I disagree with that.

Yes, we need to stop emissions now, but framing this as something that mainly affects future generations is dangerously misleading. Climate impacts are accelerating, not gradually unfolding.

Of course the impacts are unfolding today. That means we will have to adapt than just focus on mitigating future warming. If the concern is rising sea levels then we will have to build seawalls, abandon some low lying areas near shores, etc. With wildfires we may have to clear out dried plant matter by mechanical means or with small controlled burns, clear out fire breaks to reduce risks to people and property, etc. Some of that may not be considered "green" to some people but it's better to clear out some trees near homes so people don't die than wait for the inevitable. We can create more wooded area elsewhere to make up for the losses, and then some.

We _could_, but we didn't and we are not doing it today. So when do u think that should be done? How long do u think it takes until newly planted trees reduce CO2? (Answer: first 1-3 years only very little, 3-20 years a bit more, 20-100+ years what we clear up now.)

Waiting another 10 years for nuclear power while continuing to burn coal is a recipe for disaster.

I didn't say anything about nuclear power. But now that you mention it that sounds like an excellent idea. It's not like we need to burn coal in the meantime. We can put up windmills, build some mini- and micro-dams for flood/drought mitigation and hydroelectric power. I'm not a fan of rooftop solar as a solution due to it's high cost but if it makes people feel better then I'm not going to stop them. I'll be opposed to government subsidies for rooftop solar but not any kind of law or regulation to stop people. Just switching from coal to natural gas would help plenty in reducing CO2 emissions, and certainly in reducing air pollution. To make that happen though we need people to stop opposing the construction of pipelines. The longer people hold up these pipelines the longer we keep burning coal to keep the lights and heat on in the cold dark winter.

Dark winters are a very minor problem compared to the unsecure and chaotic weather we are heading to. Industries relying on it would quickly implement energy storages themselfe, people would use fewer electricity in that short period if it costs like 10x for that 3 days each winter. People are very creative when it comes to saving money.

We don't have that luxury of time.

I don't know if I'd call it a luxury but we do have time.

We have time till the harder impacts hit us, but we don't have time to prevent them. What we do today impacts the world for thousands of years.

We're talking 10-15 years until resource wars over water and arable land, mass climate migration that makes current refugee crises look trivial, and supply chain breakdowns that will devastate the global economy.

10 to 15 years? It takes only 8 years to build a nuclear power plant, that is if we don't have Greenpeace tossing wrenches in the gears. 10 years is enough time to do a lot of things. We just need people to STFU and put their nose to the wheel and work on solutions than get in the way of people that are working. We need pipelines. We need hydroelectric dams. We need power lines. We need mines for rare earth metals, lithium, and so much else. Instead we have people standing in the way because they claim this is damaging the environment and a distraction from more immediate options.

These 8 years, until your nuclear reduces carbon dioxyde are quite critical. The impacts are later, but the cause is now (or yesterday).

The solutions exist NOW - renewables are already cheaper than fossil fuels in most markets.

Do you know how long I've been hearing that? Ever since I could read, and I'm no spring chicken. If what you have is cheaper then make it happen than stand in the way of any parallel efforts to get solutions, like those dams and pipelines I mentioned. If you are wrong on the timeline then we saved the world. If you are right then you saved the world by acting than talking. I'm seeing a lot of talk about how renewable energy will save us but not enough action. Renewable energy isn't keeping up with growth in demand so you and your friends can work on those solar panels while the rest are building more traditional solutions.

That's wrong. Renewables are growing by far the fastest, and the relation of renewables used to fossil grew. It is way easier to build, way more resilient as it is decentralised and can be done: https://www.abc.net.au/news/sc...

Every year we delay while waiting for the 'perfect' nuclear solution means more locked-in warming, more irreversible tipping points crossed, and exponentially higher costs later. This isn't about choosing the ideal solution anymore - it's about deploying what works immediately before the window for manageable adaptation closes entirely.

Nobody is waiting for the "perfect" nuclear solution. Third generation nuclear is just fine right now and there's plenty of people willing to build them with alacrity. The only thing slowing them down are the morons that have been screaming we don't have the time to build nuclear power plants for the last 2 or 4 decades.

Did u calculate how many nuclear reactors you would need? I did that for germany only, and with classical 'big' reactors that accumulates to about 200 reactors for germany alone. If you now use these newer, smaller gen3 reactors, that might be a thousand.

So if it is like 100 times more secure, the 100 fold number just comes down to the same risk.

Within the next 5 years, we'll see global crop failures - whether from pests gaining evolutionary advantages in warmer climates, extreme flooding destroying entire harvests, or unprecedented droughts. Most likely all three simultaneously, plus factors we haven't even considered yet.

I grew up on a farm, I know farmers have considerable ability to adapt to variations in weather from year to year. We will do fine.

That's a very optimistic way to see that. You might be right, but you might be wrong. So if you have any sense for risk-management, why do you propose the risky way for thousands of years?

Farmers need stability to plan crops, invest in equipment, and maintain soil health.

It is common practice to rotate crops to maintain soil health so a farmer will have the equipment and knowledge to plant at least three crops and have the ability to adjust their rotation to market demand, weather, and more. They also rotate equipment because anything mechanical will experience wear and failures. That gives them an opportunity to make a shift to a different crop if they must without any real hit to their costs or operation. We will do fine on food supplies.

your word in God's hands

Our food systems are built on predictability. When that breaks down, everything breaks down. We're not talking about gradual changes farmers can adjust to over decades - we're talking about whiplash between extremes that make farming as we know it impossible.

If that happens then I'm holding people like you responsible for holding up projects like pipelines, dams, power lines, and... I'm forgetting something... oh, right, you mentioned nuclear power, for decades while CO2 emissions have been rising. We'd be in a much better position now if it weren't for people like you demanding the short term and very expensive solutions while holding up what we know would work to lower CO2 emissions and energy costs.

I'm not holding anything. We should had done all of this 20 years ago. Fossil interests are the biggest brake on alternative energy for the last 40 years. The major problem is, that ppl still say 'we have time' cause the impacts are not visible. But due to the delay of 100 years from what we do today till the impacts makes it obviously too abstract for common sense. Science predicted global warming 50 years ago very exactly to what we have today. And the predictions only got better with computers and it's predictions are very clear.

Comment Re:Great! (Score 5, Insightful) 148

I have to disagree with your characterization of climate change as a 'slow catastrophe.' We're already seeing severe impacts TODAY - not in 20 or 50 years. Record-breaking heatwaves, unprecedented wildfires, catastrophic flooding, and coral reef die-offs are happening right now.

More importantly, your timescale misses the crucial point: in geological terms, what we've done in the last 200 years IS like a meteorite impact. We've released carbon that took millions of years to sequester in just two centuries. That's not 'slow' - it's shockingly abrupt.

The rate of CO2 increase is roughly 100 times faster than natural climate variations. We're conducting an uncontrolled experiment with our planet's climate system at breakneck speed. Many tipping points (Arctic ice loss, permafrost thaw, Amazon dieback) are much closer than your timeline suggests.

Yes, we need to stop emissions now, but framing this as something that mainly affects future generations is dangerously misleading. Climate impacts are accelerating, not gradually unfolding.

Waiting another 10 years for nuclear power while continuing to burn coal is a recipe for disaster. We don't have that luxury of time. By then, cascading climate impacts will already be triggering economic collapse and climate-driven conflicts. We're talking 10-15 years until resource wars over water and arable land, mass climate migration that makes current refugee crises look trivial, and supply chain breakdowns that will devastate the global economy.

The solutions exist NOW - renewables are already cheaper than fossil fuels in most markets. Every year we delay while waiting for the 'perfect' nuclear solution means more locked-in warming, more irreversible tipping points crossed, and exponentially higher costs later. This isn't about choosing the ideal solution anymore - it's about deploying what works immediately before the window for manageable adaptation closes entirely.

And we don't even have 10-15 years before major disruptions hit. Within the next 5 years, we'll see global crop failures - whether from pests gaining evolutionary advantages in warmer climates, extreme flooding destroying entire harvests, or unprecedented droughts. Most likely all three simultaneously, plus factors we haven't even considered yet.

Weather patterns are becoming chaotic and unpredictable. Agriculture simply cannot adapt to fundamentally different growing conditions every 3 months. Farmers need stability to plan crops, invest in equipment, and maintain soil health. When spring arrives weeks early, followed by late freezes, then drought, then flooding - that's not something you can just 'adapt' to. It's agricultural collapse in real-time.

Our food systems are built on predictability. When that breaks down, everything breaks down. We're not talking about gradual changes farmers can adjust to over decades - we're talking about whiplash between extremes that make farming as we know it impossible.

Comment Re: Climate change accelerates evolution (Score 2) 31

The only causes of 'Climate change' that are proveably man-made and rectifiable are deforestation and desertification caused by poor ag practices, poor land management, water fuckery.

That's just fake information and lies. If you really believe that, google it and _read_ a few sites if you don't wanna have blood on your hands by actively spreading fud.

Comment Re:Climate change accelerates evolution (Score 2) 31

There is plenty of proof. Claiming there is no proof is like claiming there is no gravity. Simple trolling, no one in the world that does not actively prevent himself from trying to understand that is able to claim the opposite.

Just google 'human made climate change' or ask any AI to research and find proofs for human made climate change and then _read_ it. Just test yourself, or are you afraid you could change your mind?

Comment Climate change accelerates evolution (Score 1, Informative) 31

Climate change accelerates evolutionary pressure, leading to faster mutation rates in pathogens and parasites. We're already seeing this with drug-resistant bacteria thriving in warmer conditions and new disease vectors expanding their range. The agricultural sector will face mounting challenges as parasitic species adapt more rapidly to changing environments, potentially causing widespread crop failures. Combined with weakened ecosystem resilience, this creates a perfect storm for more frequent and severe pandemics.

Comment Re:8Hz (Score 2) 52

Actually, GHz is only the internal clock rate. Typical hardware achieves about 12-300 tokens/second depending on the GPU and model size - so we're talking Hz range, not even kHz. An RTX 4090 with 2.5 GHz clocks does roughly 20 tokens/second on 7B models, while an H100 manages around 250 tokens/second on larger models.

If models get bigger, that rate might shrink, while at the same time hardware gets faster, but altogether the effective "inference frequency" stays remarkably close to those 8Hz.

Comment Music as neural entrainment? (Score 2) 52

Interesting that phone buzzes seem to help me concentrate - maybe that's the 'sync' you're talking about? I've noticed simple monotone music with a clear beat helps me get into flow state. Could external rhythms actually help entrain these theta waves? Seems like our brains might naturally lock onto consistent beats to boost that midfrontal synchronization.

Comment Don't trust anyone: Math teaches you how to verify (Score 2) 169

People should not only gather claims from different sources (ideally from sources in different languages and cultures), but also verify for themselves using scientific methods whether something can be true.

I think math education in school is exactly where you learn this: There are formulas and rules with which you can calculate something yourself. Then you don't need any news or opinion or answer from anyone - you can calculate it yourself and rely on it 100%. In doing so, you learn three things:

1) conducting scientific derivations correctly yourself,
2) trusting these derivations and thus being able to directly classify news articles as right or wrong, and
3) consequently learning which news articles or posters or sites are talking bullshit and which are not.

This works particularly well with climate change. But those who weren't good at math simply can't do this verification themselves and thus have to trust the many opinions without any possibility to check or conclude for themselves. Probably more than 90% of all climate change deniers weren't particularly good at mathematics in school.

The real problem isn't just that people get news from different sources - it's that most people lack the scientific literacy to independently verify what they're being told. When you can run the numbers yourself, you're no longer at the mercy of conflicting narratives.

Comment AI music sounds like a good idea (Score -1) 134

I've never cared much about who creates the music I listen to - I just care whether I like it. Being able to generate music I enjoy locally, offline, and for free sounds great to me. I'm curious when it'll be good enough to actually meet my standards.

Yes, it disrupts the music industry, but that's how progress works. We don't use horses for transport or take clothes to the washhouse anymore either.

Comment Re:Nuclear is waaaay toooo late (Score 1) 112

If you want me to believe that building a nuclear power plant means nuclear bombs just kind of appear then inform me how that process works.

By giving access to nuclear power all over the world, to any country, you also enable those countries to develop the neccessary skills to produce and maintain radioactive stuff. The rest i leave to your imagination.

But you just ignored the important points of this discussion, so i guess you try to actively ignore the common sense and public knowledge just to "feel good" while having blood on your hands..

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