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Comment Re:Side effects (Score 2) 203

I sort of have the opposite problem, a super agressive immune system. Sounds good right? Not fucking really. Flus have hospitalized me multiple times nearly drowning me in phglem. Vaccines tend to make me feel lousy because the reaction is so strong but dear lord is it an improvement over the disease itself.

Needless to say, covid scared the shit out of me. Still havent had it yet. I think.

Comment Re:This ladies and gentlemen (Score 1) 224

It wasn't so much a vibe as that as court staff we'd see the evidence that gets excluded (which is mostly a strictly rules-of-evidence) thing, and once you've done enough trials you realise how misleading body language is.

For instance a Defendent who acts angrily on the dock is MORE likely to get convicted because the jury thinks 'Wow this angry dude sure seems like he's a mean person". However its actually the ones who act angrily on the dock who are more likely to be actually innocent because being falsely accused tends to enrage people. You also get phenomena like DNA evidence will often doom a defendent on a rape trial, but often all your actually proving is that the person had sex with them. Those DO tend to get excluded from the cases where the defence is that the sex was consentual, at least now days.

You also get awful stuff with psychiatric evidence. The "psychopathy" thing is really scientifically suspicious. Mainstream psychiatry doesnt really have that diagnosis, and its considered somewhat of a pop-sci thing Sociopathic personality disorder does exist. But you'll get forensic psychs say "I diagnose this person as a psychopath" and like, my dude that isnt a DSM diagnosis. He MIGHT be a sociopath. But so might your boss, and your boss probably doesnt have a vat of dead backpackers in his basement.

Sifting through this stuff really requires a lot of experience, and thats something most jurors dont have. I absolutely believe the 1 in 3 cases having a bad judgement thing. Its just a really hard thing to measure because you need an analytical way of working out which judgements where false, and if you had that, we'd probably be using it in appeals.

Comment Re:Such cautious, responsible reasearchers (Score 1) 48

"the ones moving gain-of-function research on human viruses to Wuhan" ..... and other fever dream paranoid conspiracy theories.

Can we please stop it with the schizophrenic lab leak and "gain of function" conspiracies. Those where pretty much ruled out as possibilities as early as 2021.

Comment Re:New York Really is Going Full Authoritarian (Score 1) 56

You really think a market where you can perform an infinite amount of research before making a prediction is more gambling than buying a package that has a completely random chance of containing something of value??

Yeah that is quite different from sites where the majority of betting is on sporting, which no amount of research will turn it from a bet into an investment. Like, if its not primarily that sort of thing, then sure.

Btw I'm refering to Kalshi which has sports betting as 80% of its "volume". Polymarket is around 40%

I'm sure someone will create a "prediction market" where what you say is true, however this lawsuit isn't about these , its about Kalshi which is primarily (based on useage) a sports betting site, and Polymarket where sports betting is around half its useage.

Comment Re:This ladies and gentlemen (Score 1) 224

Because the judge is there to arbitrate the law, not their own personal suspicion of truth. The job of judging truth belongs to the Jury, not the judge.

And its a terrible arangement, because the truth is not democratic, and judges rarely like it, but its not a system they designed.

I've seen a judge in tears as she dismissed a rapist we all knew was guilty, but the prosecution hinged the case on the testimony on a 12 year old girl, Ricky Lee, who suicided mid trial rendering her testimony legally inelligible. She simply had no choice. The law was the law. (About 3 months later the case went back to trial, this time with DNA evidence, and the creep got a very long sentence with aggravated circumstances because his stepdaughter had died of his actions). Fucking tragic man, but the judge had no say in the matter.

Its a thankless job.I hated working those cases.

Comment Re:This ladies and gentlemen (Score 4, Interesting) 224

Yeah. I worked in the courts for 3-4 years around '99-'03 and it was eye-opening how.... random... jury convictions really are. The judge I worked under estimated that around a third of those found guilty where probably innocent and a third found innocent probably did it, and that matched my gut feeling. You kind of get a feel for who gets convicted vs who is actually guilty. But none of that really stands up to scientific scrutiny, cos gut feelings..... What did seem clear is that what makes a difference is how well you scrub up in front of a jury and how expensive your lawyer is. Juries just have no experience or instinct for it.

You couldn't possibly want THAT to be the system that decides life and death, especially when the topic is something as emotionally charged as murder. Its enough to give one chills the thought that you end up on the wrong side of a vindictive cop or prosecutor, and that cop or prosecutor decides your going to die and fudges the evidence to put a rope around your neck, because thats probably a story thats as old as humans putting ropes around each others necks.

I dont think *anybody* should feel safe living in a world where your government is allowed to kill you. Its the literal opposite of free.

Comment Re:Since the US Supreme Court often caves (Score 3, Informative) 175

The thing is, in MOST well run countries, you can pressure the government all you like, it doesn't make one knob of goatshit difference to the courts who do NOT answer to the government. Even if the EU heads of states wanted to give trump what he wants, the EU courts are neither obliged, or even allowed, to take that into consideration.

Trump has no power over the matter, because the people he's trying to bully have no power over the situation either.

Comment Re:Restricting access to the masses (Score 1) 18

America was *never* classless. Its always been a heirachy of the powerful few controlling the powerless many.

And it will remain that way until people realise that actually they aren't powerless at all, when acting together.

As the old Anarchist saying goes, "Suppose they gave a War and nobody came?"

Comment Re:As if we didn't have enough clutter (Score 1) 17

Same stupid shit that happened with Netflix. Once upon a time Netflix was constantly putting out interesting new shows and I'd lways find something interesting, Now it feels like a ghost town. Well, a ghost town with a bunch of worthless mobile phone games its constantly trying to harass me to play, at least till I managed to clean some of that mess up with a grease monkey script.

Im sure the AI shit is coming....

Comment Re:On premise (Score 1) 104

The ALP is doing fine. Albo is still topping the prefered PM ranks , surprisingly considering how far into government the ALP is, and theres no real dissention in the ranks. Its the LNP, the torries, that have fallen to pieces. Brutally so.

However if they want to keep Hanson out, and we'd do well to remember that there are LESS constitutional and procedural safeguards in Australia (we may live to regret the lack of a bill of rights. "Trust us bro" only goes so far) than the yanks do.

Comment Re:On premise (Score 5, Insightful) 104

The Republicans absolutely need to be sat in the naughty-boy corner for a bunch of election cycles till they flush the whackos that have commandeered the party. But its not enough

Part of the problem is that the Democrats also need to think long and hard about who they serve. Trump should have been *impossible*. In a healthy country nobody would have voted for a raging whackadoodle like him.

But ever since the last financial crisis, theres been a malaise about the economy. Its part "vibes" and part people noticing that their pay isnt really going up, but the cost of everything sure as fuck is.

Theres two whole generations of adults, Gen. Y and Gen Z who can't afford to buy into the home owning dream. And no home ownership means no middle class. Cos "I own my house" and/or "This mortgage isnt crushing my life" are pretty much core attributes for any middle class person. Meanwhile the boomers that didnt luck into a life situation where they've built up a fortress of savings are now past their work lives and facing brutal medical costs , and theres a Gen X who feel stuck between the boomers owning all the stuff, and their kids thinking were part of the problem (and some of us are). And a burning sense that the world of financial stability has left the shores and moved to china.

Then you throw in a pandemic that utterly upended everyones lives and left the economy a lot more precarious, and an AI boom where insane fucking wall street and silicon valley assholes are running ads saying "FIRE YOUR STAFF AND REPLACE THEM WITH CLANKERS" and yeah. People are angry and feeling like that the status quo has utterly betrayed them. Every time people try and complain that shits not working out they get told "But the stock market is booming!". Well sure, great vibes for thee but bad times for me. Not conductive to happy campers

And its when there is so much burning unhappiness that the bad actors can win. Trump promised to fix the problems, he actually named the devils, cost of living, manufacturing moving offshore, the housing market being out of reach, etc. And people went "Fuck it, this guy is an asshole, but maybe he's OUR asshole".

Turns out he was also a liar and all those problems have now been turned up to 11. But we're talking here about how he got in, not what he did while in.

The Democrats NEED to address the STRUCTURAL roots of whats going on. Put muzzles and leashes on the fucking AI bros, pour serious money into whatever needs to be done to make the home ownership dream real again, go on an absolute crusade to root out corruption in government (and the supreme court), and actually start putting motherfuckers in jail for it. Then get some constitutional ammendments to ensure that the executive will never ever ever be capable of corrupting democracy, justice, the public service, and the rule of law ever again.

But most of all, the democrats need to chase the wall street backers out of the party with pitchforks. The Democrats have the potential to be the party of power for a generation to come, the kids will back that, and if real positive change is made, not promises, but hard work progress and ACTION, but this can never happen while they are being subverted by lobbyists and big money interests. It NEEDS to be a party OF the people FOR the people and BY the people. /rant

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