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Comment He hacked capitalism (Score 3, Insightful) 251

The whole point of stock markets and such is that you have hard core rational investors ensuring valuations are accurate.

But Musk figured out that you don't need solid fundamentals, all you need is a hyper-loyal core following of retail investors who support you regardless of fundamentals. So you just bullshit just enough to keep them happy, without crossing too far into fraud, and the retail investors stay on board.

The retail investors create a floor for the price and their crowing about their winnings creates a bubble. The institutional investors then see what's happening and hop along for the ride.

The result is the two most overvalued companies in history (Tesla and SpaceX). In theory, the whole pile eventually comes crashing down, but just like any bubble the fund managers who buy are unlikely to be the fund managers left holding the bag.

Comment Re:Left vs right hand (Score 1) 155

I recall that this was discovered a long time ago when sales and marketing people realised that people would tend to turn right after they enter a store. I also seem to recall that this didn't hold true for left-handed people.

It would be interesting to see data from countries that are left-hand traffic. Streams of people in left-hand traffic countries tend to walk on the left side, and tend to move to the left if someone is walking towards them - which tends to be fun when walking about a right-hand traffic country! Though given these results were also tested in Japan, which is left-hand traffic, I'd expect there isn't a difference.

Would make sense, if you're right handed and turn to the right you're leading with your dominant eye (and hand) so better able to handle threats that emerge.

Similar if you choose to pass someone on the left, you present them with your stronger (right) side.

But this study supposedly found no correlation to handedness, so either something else is going on or maybe a sample size issue.

Comment Re:Oh look. (Score 1) 316

Sorry, let me clarify - the modern conceit of applying that term to the Arab (Jordanian, Syrian and Lebanese) and Egyptian people who left instead of becoming Israelis, was invented by Arafat (an Egyptian). The word Palestine was derived from Philistine, referring to the child-sacrificing enemies of the Jewish people who were famously defeated by David and ended up founding Carthage. Those people no longer exist.

It is thought that Rome renamed the region as an insult to the Jews who were driven from their land after they revolted in the first 70's. Arafat resurrected the term in order to unite the ethnically diverse "refugees" - which I put in quotes because they are not refugees, they chose to leave instead of becoming citizens because that's how much they hate the Jews.

Drop the bigotry. They left because their land was being given away by Western superpowers to a bunch of foreigners. They did exactly what any group of people would do. And they had a far better claim to that land than Jews who hadn't lived there for centuries, especially considering those Palestinians were actually descended from the ancient Israelites.

On the other hand the ethnic cleansing in the West Bank being carried out by Israeli Settlers, with the support of the Israeli government, is not typical or excusable.

Comment Re:Not really (Score 1) 316

The main difference is that these things move. That adds to the level of danger, but not to the immorality. Landmines have done the autonomous killing for about 800 years now, apparently.

The main difference is that this technology will be harder to contain. A terrorist burying a landmine in a park is plausible, but not the most practical attack.

A terrorist letting out a few of these things in a park... that is terrifying.

Comment Re:Oh look. (Score 2, Insightful) 316

70+ years of "Palestinians" (a term invented by the Egyptian Yasser Arafat) refusing to accept the existence of Israel and trying to exterminate the Jews. The dead-enders who refused to become Israeli citizens (as very many of their fellows did) and tried to eradicate Israel the day it was formed. And then again. And then again. And then again...

What a shock that the "Palestinians" were unwilling to allow a different ethnoreligious group to move into their homeland, and give them the choice of being second class citizens or expelled from their territory entirely.

Who could imagine that they would have reacted exactly the same as literally every other group of people on the planet?!?

Comment Re:Question (Score 1) 61

Are you talking solely internal thought processes that are never externalized in any way?

Exactly yes. You don't need a license to "copy" something to your mind.

You technically do need a license to copy something to a disk or to RAM. A number of cases around hacking/cracking have hinged even on the nuance that the hacker, by violating the "terms and conditions", no longer had a software license to make the "copy" of the software that was loaded from disk to RAM for example, and it was therefore copyright infringement.

In any case, yes, you are of course also correct that although you are free to remember anything, what you produce from that memory *may* be an infringing copy or infringing derivative work that requires a license.

But the difference of course, is that the LLM itself is already an infringing derivative work before it even produces anything. Your mind isn't.

And everything the LLM produces is basically just taking that collection of derivative works, and rolling dice on it to generate output. The output is a strictly a function of the input. On some level, it can't "not produce" derivative works. The best it does is slice and dice so many of them together that we can't tell.

I suppose that might be what the total sum of what human creativity is too, and some people genuinely believe that. It appears to be a surprisingly capable facsimile in some respects. But most people think there is more to the spark of human experience of creativity than *just* that, at least for now.

Comment Re:Question (Score 0) 61

"It is no more "theft" than you are."

Yes. It is. Quite different in fact.

You see, Rei, ... suppose we assume you are "correct" that the LLM is doing the same thing as the human brain here. (This is a point I don't necessarily concede, but don't really need to actually engage with that here.) It just doesn't matter, they are legally distinct situations.

No amount of argument that "its doing the same thing as you are" changes that fact. What happens in a machine is covered by copyright law. What happens in a human mind is not.

It doesn't actually matter if the two are doing the same thing.

One is copyright infringement aka "theft", and one isn't.

You can potentially make the argument that there is no ethical difference if you like, but legally, they are worlds apart. Don't confuse ethics with law.

Even if they are doing the same thing, perhaps collectively society wants to carve out exclusions for copyright law to enshrine human beings right to see and remember things without requiring a license to do while continuing to want to require machines to require licensing to perpetuate the socio/economic contract that copyright is supposed to reflect.

That is not hypocrisy.

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