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Comment Re: Bet against Elon if you like (Score 1) 133

It's not great, but I don't think that's the least practical part of it. Reasonable people have done the math and you can almost make it work just by making the radiators the same size as, and putting them on the back of, the solar panels. Starlink satellites already generate and dissipate a kilowatt plus.

The impractical part is that the whole thing is going to deorbit and burn up after five years. Sure, maybe you don't want the five year old GPUs, but replacing the panels and radiators every five years is going to be more expensive than building twice as much on the ground.

Comment Re: Bet against Elon if you like (Score 1) 133

Size is not free. Besides having to get the thing up there, which might come down to merely very expensive, there's drag in low Earth orbit, and the bigger the surface area of your satellite the more propulsion you need to keep it up there. The life of Starlink satellites is primarily limited by their propellant.

Even if you ignore launch costs entirely, is it cheaper to put your datacentre in space and replace it and your power plant every few years, or put it in a nice desert or on a floating island somewhere instead? Oh, and you have to engineer it to be completely maintenance free for the first option too.

Comment Re: So basically... (Score 2) 133

What's the downside? SpaceX stock got pumped for their IPO. The money is made. As long as the hype keeps going they can raise more any time they want, or Elon could sell some of his shares. If it turns out to be unworkable, SpaceX (and subsidiaries) are back where they started.

There aren't really any unsolved engineering problems. SpaceX can absolutely put a rack of nvidia GPUs into low orbit. We could have done that in the 70s. The argument is whether it's economical or not.

Which is cheaper, putting a thousand square metres of solar panels, a rack of GPUs, a vacuum cooling system and propulsion in low orbit and incinerating and replacing it all every few years, or the panels, GPUs and a convective radiator that is ~50x more efficient on the ground and runs for twenty plus?

Comment Re:The US needs to get on board too (Score 1) 84

I didn't say they didn't. Those missiles were very effective. Much more effective than ten times as many drones would have been.

Both missiles and drones are of limited use when you're not willing to send infantry to take and hold territory. Cheap light drones much more so than Tomahawks and GBU-57s.

Comment Re:The US needs to get on board too (Score 1) 84

The US didn't fail in the Iran war due to a lack of offensive air power, and its offensive air power definitely wouldn't have been improved by packing the Bush, Lincoln and the Burkes with cheap drones. It failed because it was a half assed effort organized by clowns who apparently don't know any military history and decdied to disregard all their advisors who do.

You can theoretically win a war with air strikes alone but it depends entirely on your enemy. If they fail to surrender then you lose, and there's a strong incentive to dig in when some foreign invader starts dropping bombs on you. That's why no real war has ever been won that way.

Using projected military power in general has always been hazardous. It's expensive, unpopular, and depends on either a quick victory or local allies, preferably both, or it will fail. "Local allies" are part of the soft power that Hegseth is so disdainful of, and the US has lately been lighting on fire just to watch the pretty flames.

Comment Re:Electricity is not free (Score 1) 204

Datacentres are coveted by lots of local governments. Lots of construction jobs, high paying jobs in operation and maintenance, no on-site pollution. It's like tourism without the tourists.

The locality in this story, along with the state of Virginia, offer a lot of incentives for datacentres to site there, which is why they have so many. Meanwhile, the electricity price today is just slightly higher than it was in 2000, corrected for inflation, and lower than it was in 2010.

Also, turning off the lights in empty rooms is something we learned to do as soon as we were tall enough to reach a light switch. The fact that adults have to be told to do this suggests electricity is still too cheap in Henrico County.

Comment Nice, but... (Score 5, Insightful) 66

... sadly for the Americans, the rest of the world now knows they can't count on a US based provider for this kind of thing any more.

It was uncomfortable enough relying so heavily on American software back when it couldn't be switched off remotely on the say so of an idiot. Today it's an intolerable risk.

Comment Re:The US needs to get on board too (Score 1) 84

This isn't a new thing. Soviet doctrine for dealing with carriers was to fire as many missiles as they could at them to overwhelm their defences.

The US focus on expensive, highly capable weapons isn't baseless. The US military is designed to project power, and projecting power is expensive. If you're going to ship equipment halfway around the world and support it there, it might as well be the best you can make. That is very different from Ukraine or South Korea where they are, or expect to, fight in their literal back yards.

Expensive invading armies have always been vulnerable to the defending swarm, from hoplites and knights to empires getting their asses kicked in Afghanistan, Vietnam or Iran.

Comment Re:Human brain (Score 1) 111

No, the grandmaster is doing many, many more calculations, just in parallel instead of serial. The human is also not blindly searching a tree of possible moves but spending a lot of computation on figuring out which are promising branches to prioritize. Modern chess programs are so good because they do the same thing.

A human can learn with 20 hours of driving school

No, they can't. We don't generally let humans even attempt driving for something like 16 years. They're also pretty shit at it until they have a decade or so of pretty frequent practice.

Comment Re:The US needs to get on board too (Score 2) 84

Middle-range strike drones are much cheaper than JDAMs (smaller payload, but you don't care about that against trucks), longer range, and let you operate in fully contested airspace or even when the enemy has air superiority.

Aerial bombs are for entirely different purposes; they're for destroying fortified positions. Whether the aircraft should be manned or not is an entirely separate question, but one thing is unambiguous, it needs to be big enough to carry said bomb (aerial bombs are very heavy).

But again, complete overkill for a transport vehicle.

Comment Re:Makes sense (Score 2) 84

Re, the terrain of Donbas: compare, at the same zoom level:

Donbas

To a stereotypically flat place in the US, like, say:

Kansas

Unless you mean the "Smoky Hills" of Kansas:

Smoky Hills

Though their relief is only about 2/3rds that of that in Donbas. Donbas's relief is more like that of the Piedmont Province (the area west of the Appalachians), the dissected till-plains of southern Iowa / northern Missouri, the Tennessee / Kentucky western highland rim, or the low glaciated plateaus of the northeastern US (NE. Pennsylvania to southern NY).

It's not as forested as it used to be, but still has sizable patches left, such as along the Siversky Donetsk, mainly pine. Maybe the area east of the Appalachians would be a good reference for the mix of farmland with residual forest patches (well more than midwest states like e.g. Kansas). Defensive lines are commonly built in the forested areas, for greater cover.

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