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Comment Re:Welcome to the Trump future... (Score 4, Insightful) 458

More precisely, the Republicans in Congress will repeal the ACA. Their plan is to replace it with something else that keeps the provisions they like, such as coverage for prior conditions and keeping sproggs on their parents' plan until age 26.

The problem for them will be that insurance companies are not going to support keeping those provisions as an unfunded mandate. That means Congress will have to cover the bill. Problem there is that Congress would have raise taxes which they pledged to that moron Grover Norquist they would never do.

A bigger problem will be that insurance companies are in it for themselves, covering people is only something they must do to stay in business. Government pulling back from the ACA means they have their privates hanging out there and so will pull back their plans. Congress figures they have 2-3 years to replace the ACA after they vote to repeal it, but the insurance companies probably won't wait and will start canceling policies early.

The only fix is to find money elsewhere in the budget to keep the wheels on. That will be difficult since they also wish to increase defense spending AND supply the jack needed for a large public infrastructure program, which the U.S. does need. They claim they will find the money elsewhere. But they've already cut discretionary spending quite a bit. Going after mandatory spending means mixing it up with the blue hairs and AARP and would take years.

Congress figures that relaxing regulations and fixing the tax code will increase GDP to such an extent that tax receipts will go up. Yet their plans will decrease tax receipts. During the Kennedy administration when taxes were relatively high, cutting taxes would get a big bang for the buck. Now it will only supply a whimper. Decrease regulations is all wonderful except that ignoring regulation and not properly regulating led to the last recession. And companies are not complaining about regulation except polluting companies. Relaxing regs on them means increased costs for the resulting pollution.

If the Republicans are correct and 95% of climate scientists are in on the global warming scam, then a bit more pollution won't matter. However, if they are wrong, then there will be increasing costs (regardless of deregulation) for droughts, stronger storms, etc.

And then there is the Black Swans out there. One really big national disaster, say a big California earthquake, means their budget projections will be very wrong very fast.

Comment Re:We knew this going in (Score 2) 573

I beg to differ on Taiwan. My own belief is that Trump simply stepped in a pile of shit without malice of forethought or any forethought at all. When the shit hit the fan, his people realized he looked like a bull in a China shop (I should be shot for that reference). His people rummaged about, finally pulling out the Dole connection to make it look like he intentionally went to find the pile, walked up to it, and purposely stepped in it.

I don't believe his campaign intentionally did anything except as a shoot from hip sort of action. He saw what got their crowds excited, and like a true reality host, he just gave them more of that. He has the attention span of gnat, whatever he sees last is what he believes.

I don't think people elected him to solve certain problems. They projected on to him the anger they'd been taught is okay, then back-assward argued he'd fix "their problems". He will fix nothing because he has no firm policies nor any idea how to implement them. Think of him as blank slate that gets written to every day but erased again at night.

I don't think it bad that he kicked China in the shins over Taiwan, but I cannot believe it was thought out ahead of time.

Comment Re:Is malware like this proof of economic stagnati (Score 1) 204

I don't think the economy is broken, well, it might be but even if it were 100% healthy, we'd still have these people. Mostly, they are people who do not fit into companies working for someone else. They are freelancers. They do not have what it takes to start their own legitimate company. In the past, we'd call them pickpockets or snake oil salesmen or in some cases, politicians. The intertubes are just vehicles for them. If they weren't doing it there, they'd find some other form of criminal vice. Their lives are built around leeching. The medium is secondary.

Comment Re:Maybe, I should sue KDE? (Score 1) 121

NYT pulls a similar trick with one month trial and then instead of offering to continue, it will merrily continue to charge you. I don't mind paying for reporting, I do mind being tricked into it.

Macy's tried a similar gambit awhile back on me with their silly credit card. Somehow signing a purchase using my normal credit card got me a new Macy's credit card. I cut it up and mailed back the pieces explaining why I didn't want their sad little card. They sent me coupons for x % percent off and cash back. I cut those up and sent them back explaining why. They sent some more. I did the same. They finally got off the train and left me alone. I've never been back since.

Comment Re:whew. (Score 1) 83

Well, in my opinion, Trump is an ignorant git. He probably thought he was calling mainland China.

However, the fact that China gets their bloomers in a twist over a phone call to an island they do not yet own shows just how far the West has slid to accommodate China and its alleged leaders. Last we heard, their alleged leaders weren't elected, they lead nothing except their own dreams of conquest. To have a free island of free Chinese shows them up for the bullies they are, and their Party-Government as illegitimate.

Comment Re:He's right. (and has been for hundreds of years (Score 2) 468

Yes, but the farmers that got automated out mostly just went poor, they were not the ones that got the new whizzy jobs building washing machines, it being too far out of their comfort zone. People don't automatically find other ways to spend their time profitably when their job gets automated away.

Suppose long haul trucking gets automated away as seems likely to happen. There's very little chance those drivers are going become programmers. The truck stop waitresses won't either.

Another effect is that in the past when jobs got automated away, there were still many low skilled jobs for the majority of the people. That's not happening with the middle tier jobs that are going bye-bye. That and the scale of automation is much greater today than in the past.

Put quickly, just because that tree over your house hasn't yet punched a hole in your roof is no guarantee it won't tomorrow.

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