sounds like the plots of a cheap SF movie.

Investors are chasing a company that achieves some kind of AI singularity. Let's set aside the fact that there's no reason to believe there is anything but diminishing marginal returns by making marginal refinements to current frontier models. Let's imagine someone hits the jackpot and gets, not even AGI, but a system that's as far ahead of today's frontier model are ahead of 2020's GPT 2.0 in performance.

Globally AI revenues are 150 billion, against a cumulative burn rate of 450 billion. A model that is a generation ahead of others would almost certainly capture the lion's share of that revenue.

If AGI magically appears as a Sam Altman has promised investors it will, a hundred million is way too low. Add, maybe, another zero to the revenues.

Conservatively, a safer assumption is that frontier models will get marginally better based on refinements in training and reinforcement and the other bits and bobs that go into these systems. The nobody is winning the lion's share of anything, at least overnight. But you have to define "safe". By "safe" I mean unlikely to lose money. But some investors are clearly defining "safe" as "having the greatest chance of owning a piece of the biggest thing ever."

I'm not following this super-closely, but if Anthropic is pursuing adding multi-step model based reasoning to their system, that could be the basis of a generational leap in capability. But if that is an approach that looks like it has a chance of working, then their competitors are no doubt pursuing the same thing. In that case you'd expect the revenue pie to grow as the scope of model utilty increases, but that growth to be split among several competitors. This could credibly result in a revenue stream for some of them that is as big as the entire industry's revenue stream today. But there's going to be hell to pay on the data center impacts end of things.

Time to turn in your geek card. A "watt" is a unit of *power*. People pay for *energy*. Energy = power X time.

Electricity is often sold in energy units called kWh (which is 3.6 megajoules). At a retail price of 20 cents/kWh, five dollars of electric ital energy is 25 kWh.

With a power consumption rate of 1000 kW, that amount of energy is used in 90 seconds. Presumably, the 1MW peak power rate was only used briefly, just like a car with a 300hp peak power engine usually cruises around only generating a couple of dozen hp.

They shouldn't be trying such a desperate solution without trying chlorox and ivermectin first.

Just don't leave the country after you participate.

For that matter, you may suffer remote retaliation even if you stay home. I would leave this to the military or other government branch.

Also there is the question of legality, government operation or not. It sounds to me like vigilante justice. And countries who like their anti-American cybercriminals will certainly treat it as illegal. (Hence the advice not to leave the country.)

We certainly need a way to stop cybercrime, international or otherwise. But this doesn't strike me as a good way to go about it.

Finally a prediction: in the not too distant future, one or more offshoots from this will turn into unmanageable domestic criminal organizations.

I'm not familiar with that game, but this story does remind me of Missile Command.

Look, you didn't get the memo. Stay on message. It's the democrat governor.

Even Batman's job is threatened by AI.

It's just ET trying to phone home. Probably dialed the wrong number.

You're overthinking this.

The top of the blame flowchart starts with: "If state has democrat governor: blame democrat governor; Goto end."

"Blame the environmentalists" is several layers down in the other branches of the flowchart.

Firmware in most consumer routers is based on Linux, with the router vendor adding some UI and chip-vendor drivers to the open source baseline. Not written from scratch. And thus just as good or bad as routers whose hardware was assembled elsewhere.
China can't manufacture the high end chips yet, but they do have their own supply chain for midrange SOCs and memory. Gigadevices cloned some European SOCs. They work. Chinese contract manufacturers build to the quality level the customer pays for. You want cheap junk, they're happy. You want good, they can. And their native design capabilities are catching up. The US, in contrast, is now mainly an exporter of raw materials -- wood, scrap metal, animal feed. Plus weapons to allies and airplanes, though Boeing's reputation ain't what it used to be.

Ideology vetos reality, news at 11.

A lot of people behave pretty ghastly when it comes to money.

This makes me think of the Vorlon's living ships.

That was my first thought too. (Assuming the article is correct - all kinds of stuff gets published that doesn't hold up in the longer run.)

Remember that time is also big. Suppose that there have been 1000 interstellar civilizations in our galaxy during the past 5 billion years, and that each one lasted a million years before collapsing. How many would be active right now?

Frankly, I don't consider it a paradox at all. We've explored approximately 0% of our galaxy and found nothing. That doesn't tell us much.