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Comment Re: The cost of AI (Score 1) 361

Each new important technology tends to get commoditized and its cost per functionality decreases with both scale and innovation including supply chain innovation.
See "Simplicable Technology Commoditization Curve",
See "Wright's Law"

One random tiny but concrete meaninful example: E.g. in AI there is already a technique whereby energy-expensive-to-query large models can be replaced by much smaller distilled models. See what deepthink did based on expensive American LLM models.

Comment No longer a hypothetical future (Score 2) 361

Firstly, AI and automation actually net-replacing human labour this time has been predictable since the late 1980s, as AI started shaping up.
i.e. the observation that it really will be different this time since, in job category after job category, AIs and/or automated processes, which are continually being improved, sometimes in leaps and bounds, will inevitably cross a threshold of being probably more absolutely effective and definitely more cost-effective than a person. Economic activity in capitalist competition will then adjust to those economic facts.

Secondly, we now, in the current and next few years period definitely have:
a. the in-the-moment rise of fairly general Agentic AI, including reasoning, problem break-down etc. on top of a huge and comprehensive knowledge base and domain-specific knowledge bases
b. the last few years improvements in LLM systems for
      i. writing
      ii. information search and summarization tasks across wide but also deep knowledge domains
      iii. creative tasks
c. Humanoid robots emerging over the next few years with capability for:
        i. general flexible learning based on observing and practicing
      ii. cross-training so that the whole fleet of robots learns what each individual one learns.
d: Actually self-driving cars and trucks

You can no longer say this is some unlikely hypothetical sci-fi future scenario. The job displacement (coders, ironically enough), and in high-expertise jobs (lawyer, doctor, engineer) job devaluation, is already starting to happen, reflected in lower hiring plans not compensating for attrition at a minimum.
Factory and other manual labour jobs will be next, after c. and d. develop for a few more years. Many thought those manual jobs would be first, but turns out they are more challenging for computers than replacing white-collar work.

This is not hypothetical. Planning for the economic shake-up needs to start now. Hint. Repatriating factories is not the solution. Will you be happy that robots of your nationality are doing the work instead of those evil foreign robots? No.

Comment Re:Doing what? (Score 3, Insightful) 26

It is the new antivaxx. People who know a little more than the average non-techie person based ofc on mostly secondhand sources amp up the scare factor and get positive feedback in terms of clicks & attention and -- if they graduate to grifting -- ads. Yeah it is all a con stochastic parrots biggest bubble since tulips scorch the planet yadda. Meanwhile materials scientists using it to make better solar panels, plasma physicists using it to enable fusion, medical science unlocking the proteome for personal designer therapies.

People should spend their energy learning how the tools work, and how to use them well.

Comment Re:Who didn't immediately disable Pocket in Firefo (Score 5, Interesting) 62

If I had mod points I would upvote this. Please do yourself a favor and use LibreWolf. It is literally just Mozilla with the adware/telemetry ripped out, uBlock0 preinstalled and good privacy-preserving defaults while maintaining usability. In other words it is what people who donate money and code to Mozilla are trying to help create, namely, a non-commercial open source browser for users by users.

My only complaint is that they will not shut up and take my money

Comment American Robots FTW!! (Score 1) 282

(sarcasm tags implied.)

The only plausible outcome for the US of Trump destroying international trade and globalized supply chains with tariff barriers would be companies that want to sell to Americans building highly-robotized factories in the US that offer minimal jobs. It's frickin' 2025, people! Science-fiction times! Jobs are on a trajectory of going away all around the world. Trump is just hastening that process by destroying current manufacturing that still relies on cheap human labor.

Comment Probably just comms for power monitoring (Score 0) 90

and status monitoring, and possibly for a signal to limit the inverter output.

The decision to label these devices "rogue" communication devices says more about the xenophobic paranoia of the US agency reporting these as such than it does about the Chinese renewable energy industry.

Comment Real question: (Score 1) 61

If half the population was on UBI, would there still be enough demand (for other than food, clothing, and shelter I suppose) to support the capitalist economy producing goods and services that only half the population could possibly afford?

And if the capitalist consumer-driven economy is floundering on lack of demand, where will the taxation revenue to support the UBI come from?

How does that economic math work out?

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