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Comment Re:These people. (Score 1) 300

If Russia is any indicator it is not prosperity but education and the availability of contraception. Russians are by and large very poor and yet despite basically free childcare and 18 months of subsidized income after birth they are approximately in line with the rest of much more prosperous Europe on not breeding to replacement.

Comment Re:Anything owned by someone is not uncancelable (Score 2) 321

I support free speech. You and I should be able to say whatever we want. But the listener also has the right to know who is talking. I believe anonymity and free speech are usually destructive when paired. In circumstances like they have in Russia where speech is criminalized, a little destruction is a good thing. But here, where speech is well protected, it's not protecting the speaker from the government and simply prevents the effective feedback of social pressures to the speaker. Which promotes the self-organization of extremist echo chambers. And it looks to me like those chambers are eating our society alive.

Comment Re:Dark Forest Theory (Score 1) 134

I said hundreds OR thousands, not hundreds OF thousands. You and I are making different assumptions about the amount of time required for some xenophobe to get our genetics, craft a super bug to wipe us out, and deliver it to earth's atmosphere. That aside, we also make different assumptions about implied directionality inherent in evolution. Ineffectiveness is just not the deterrent to long life and reproduction it used to be. I have read studies suggesting both the Victorian age and the Helenian age as the peak of human intelligence. And if you just mean knowledge, while we do know more than we did, there are signs all around us that the ineffectiveness counter is weakened for ideas too.

Comment Re:This has nothing to do with technology... (Score 3, Interesting) 54

They can't invest in their space program. The money will just get stolen. It's the trap Putin and his KGB buddies have created for themselves. Their historical method for funding themselves (I don't just mean personally, this is an institutional behavior) has been to siphon money from other programs behind the scenes. It's how they survived the fall of the communist party as a functioning organization. Unfortunately their playbook has been picked up as standard practice so now it's built into every layer of the system. It's so endemic and impossible to bypass that even when people get called out the system attacks the accuser rather than the crook. It's a sad place to be. I don't envy them.

Comment Re:That title is missing the important word hospit (Score 1) 294

Certainly, but the title is a attempting to manipulate you into being scared instead of allowing you to arrive there naturally through simple arithmetic as you did quite easily. A lot of people see that manipulation and stop right there and start rebelling. I think that this tendency to try to scare people into doing what we think they should instead allowing them to come up with their own conclusions has backfired.

Comment That title is missing the important word hospital (Score 1) 294

It should read
Almost a Third of Recovered COVID-19 HOSPITAL Patients Return To Hospital In Five Months, One In Eight Die
I know about a dozen people that have had it and only one of them was in the hospital so without that word this can easily mislead someone who isn't looking for that hook.

Comment Re:Everyone benefits (Score 1) 124

Perhaps it's more accurate to say we will benefit disproportionately due to a sort of IP hegemony, but that will still be salt in a wound to all the people who can't duplicate our success. The end result will be ugly.

Also, they left out Russia. Russia mostly doesn't use google or facebook. They use homegrown vk and yandex. So at the very least they aren't data points for us and at best they may be a third (though probably lesser) success story. It all depends on how well the Putin regime does keeping it's hands off it's own little tech boom.

Submission + - Few Countries Will Benefit From the AI Revolution (qz.com)

hackingbear writes: According to Chinese venture capitalist and former Google China president Kai-Fu Lee, the list of countries well-positioned to embrace a future powered by artificial intelligence is exceedingly short: United States and China. “The countries that are not in good shape are the countries that have perhaps a large population, but no AI, no technologies, no Google, no Tencent, no Baidu, no Alibaba, no Facebook, no Amazon,” Lee says. “These people will basically be data points to countries whose software is dominant in their country. If a country in Africa uses largely Facebook and Google, they will be providing their data to help Facebook and Google make more money, but their jobs will still be replaced nevertheless.” Originally, China’s low labor costs might have helped the country modernize, Lee says, but as AI-driven automation takes hold in manufacturing, other countries that want to follow China’s blueprint for economic growth probably wouldn’t be able to rely on cheap labor alone.

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