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Comment Re:There are more people looking for work (Score -1) 25

I keep saying this, but the center cannot hold. We cannot keep this up. There will be violence and I get that a lot of people here are looking forward to being able to shoot people in Cold blood so they don't care...

Quit projecting what you think on others, actual hard data unequivocally points that it's mostly just you leftists who daydream of being able to shoot your political opponents. 25% of "very liberal" people disagree with the statement "political violence is never justified" as opposed to just 3% of "very conservative" people.

Comment Re:the AI agent... (Score -1) 77

the AI agent that criticized

forces it to choose between

It also regrets characterizing

No. Stop this.

It can't criticize, it can't choose, and it can't regret.

Stop anthropomorphizing these text extrusion tools.

Yes we know. Metaphors such as this are a perfectly normal part of language, used by normal humans. And no, getting your panties in a twist over them doesn't make you look smart, it just makes you look on the spectrum.

Comment Re:We will not learn (Score 0) 22

"PIK deals typically allow borrowers to pay interest in more debt rather than cash."

Reminds me of the economist I was listening to on the radio in 2006 who claimed we were in a new economic era where people would simply use the never ending increase in their home equity to finance their entire lives. Then 2007 arrived. That didn't end well.

I dunno if it new crops of the gullible coming online, or short memories of huge numbers of people, but we simply refuse to learn from our failures, just repeat them.

"PIK deals typically allow borrowers to pay interest in more debt rather than cash."

Reminds me of the economist I was listening to on the radio in 2006 who claimed we were in a new economic era where people would simply use the never ending increase in their home equity to finance their entire lives. Then 2007 arrived. That didn't end well.

I dunno if it new crops of the gullible coming online, or short memories of huge numbers of people, but we simply refuse to learn from our failures, just repeat them.

No, it's quite simple. It all comes down to the neoKeynesian economics that runs rampant. Print all the money you want, the increased spending will stimulate the economy! Wooohooo! Except noone thinks what happens to that deluge of money AFTER it spins through economy once or twice. Well let me tell you: it ends up with someone who does not live a hand to mouth lifestyle and who will be looking to invest it, i.e. take it to the stock market. And when you flood the stock market with newly printed money you basically create bubbles, I mean it HAS to go somewhere, are you going to just sit on cash and watch it get debased by the Fed? No, so you invest it, and the more cash flows in the more stupid (out of desperation) the investments become. Make no mistake, were it not AI, we'd be seeing bubble on something else, be it VR, latest GLP-1 agonist or space company. The valuation of US stock market more than doubled over last 10 years, did the actual value of produced goods double in that time too?

Comment Re: What would Computer Scientists of the '80s thi (Score -1) 160

I'm not so sure. A decision tree could do this, it would just need to traverse the syntax and make a decision at each token. I think what has changed is that the decision tree would not have been seen as impressive because we knew how they worked. A lot of people seem to think LLMs are magic so that makes it more impressive to them.

LOL, you really have no clue, do you :DDDD decision tree writing a working compiler, sure :DDDDDDD I wonder why none of AI researchers ever demonstrated anything like that, a decision tree writing a working C compiler, I mean it'd easily be a Nature paper :DDDDD But of course I bet YOU could easily do that over weekend if you just put your mind to it, you just have more important things on you, right? :DDDDDDDD

Even if all that did was "just transpile GCC code it was trained on into Rust" its hugely impressive, I mean just look at actual existing cutting edge transpilers, and the code they produce. Hint: they suck, and the code they make is usually unreadable even if it works.

The "let's rewrite everything into Rust for the hell of it" crowd I bet is already eyeing this thing. uutils people are doing exactly this scenario.

Also, how quick those goalposts move, eh? Seems only last year you were like "LLMs SUUUUUCK, they can't even figure out simple 10 line coding assignments reliably" today it's "LLMs SUUUUUUUCK a compiler they wrote from scratch generates less efficient code than a decades old project", wonder what your next year's goalposts will be?

Comment Re:Make that 50 years or longer (Score 0, Insightful) 156

Musk has been making bad predictions for decades now. Boots on Mars in 10 years, about 15 years ago now. Full self driving in 6 months, a decade ago. Starship was supposed to be flying regular missions by now, the new Roadster should have been delivered years ago (with booster rockets, according to Elon).

Please remind me: what was the original timeline on James Webb Space Telescope when NASA first announced it, and when was it *actually* put in space? Were you as frothy at the mouth about it as you are now?

Comment Re: Kind of weird (Score -1) 134

it is obvious if you understand the concept of driving instead of mimicking it statistically with some probability.

a simple difference that the "AI" proponents and "investors" can't seem to grasp and acknowledge.

And you can. LOL. Okay, it'll be fun. Give me an operational definition of this mythical "understanding driver" you speak of - i.e. design an experiment in which you have a black box driving a car, and that will allow you to discriminate between driver with "understanding" and one without. Keep in mind that you still have to sort *bad* human drivers to the "understanding" side.

The truth is we have no clue what human brains do, what exactly this "understanding" is (it definitely isn't the inability to make mistakes), and whether it's so different from the models of reality encoded in the deeper layers of the neural nets.

Comment Re:Liar (Score -1) 245

More lies from a pathological liar. I'm amazed anyone listens to a word he says anymore, except to know when to buy or sell certain stocks.

Ok, MDS strikes hard. I mean, fuck's sake, guy is musing plans and visions on a podcast, and you're frothing at mouth as if he was making false testimony under oath before God Almighty.

Comment Re:Cooling (Score -1) 245

Space is cold, duh. Cold+heat = room temperature. Math checks out.

Yes, cold+heat=room temperature. At least at this distance from Sun. You know, this kinda is how Earth works. Put a thermally inert object in this orbital neighbourhood, be it a planet or a datacenter, and the irradiation you get from Sun pretty much cancels out to an average of "close to room temperature" with heat you're passively radiating out. You'd really have to try hard to change it. And you know, those GPUs do not violate conservation of energy, no matter how many are there on board you're still not getting a single watt more of thermal energy than the Sun gives you. All you have to do is run some closed coolant loop to distribute the heat away from hotspots.

Oh, wait, you were trying to be sarcastic. Nevermind then.

Comment Re:Completely Predictable (Score 0) 49

Part of the reason (not all) that Starship will require so much fuel is because of its size and payload capability

I'd say more so it's construction from steel. Size doesn't really play a large role, and empty space is quite cheap to launch.

I only say this because the details matter. It's not as if swapping Methane for Hydrogen lends itself to an Apples-to-Apples comparison. It's more complicated than that.

Absolutely- it's not apples-to-apples. However, the efficiency increase would be enough to turn an Earth-to-Moon Starship mission from "Every trip is an appreciable fraction of the logistical difficulty of building the fucking ISS" to, "alright- that's not bad."

LOL, what? I don't know what measure of "logistics" are you using, but the only sensible measure is USD, and Starship costs 100M to launch as expendable, meanwhile Space Shuttle was half a billion per launch. It's already "two space shuttle launches' worth" not "appreciable fraction of building the fucking ISS". And that's what's already happening, before reusability AND economics of scale have kicked in. And don't even get me started on the abject failure that Artemis is.

And just because most of Space Shuttle's "logistics" took place in hangar rather than on launchpad and in orbit doesn't make them any less wasteful.

Comment Re:Must be nice ... (Score -1) 202

If you call your Qatari friends, and ask them to invest in xAI at a given valuation, with the promise that - you'll back that valuation by having both Tesla and SpaceX acquire shares in xAI at the same price a week later; - you'll have SpaceX fully acquire xAI another two weeks later at a 10% markup; - you'll take the entire shebang public at again a 25-50% markup in half a year or so.

Do you think that your Qatari friends are actually investing in your fledgling AI startup? Or in something else entirely?

It's all a circlejerk, and in the case of the Muskonomy, more oftent than not, just outright masturbation.

And the purpose of that dastardly conspiration is a feeble attempt to gain your approval, except of course you have seen right through it. But I mean, he tried, can't blame him, I mean obviously you're that important.

Comment Re:LOL (Score -1) 153

But less than four months later ...

Imagine having $100 in your wallet. Four months later you go into a store to buy something and you are told that your money is only worth $50 now. That is why cryptocurrency is useless bullshit.

You obviously never lived under a socialist government if you can't imagine that. Be thankful.

Comment Re: Unemployment (Score -1) 190

One of the biggest problems with existing programs is fraud (ie people making claims who shouldnt). Because such fraud happens there is then a lot of money spent on enforcement, as well as entitlement checks for anyone applying. With a UBI scheme everyone gets it by default, so there is much less fraud and no entitlement checks. Everyone simply gets it wether they're employed or not. It also means that actually working is beneficial, because someone working will always be better off than someone relying solely on their UBI. Contrast that with the current system where someone on low paid work might actually be worse off, or could be claiming welfare anyway to top up their low salary (more complexity).

I just gotta love the leftist hypocrisy on show here. In any other context, government inefficiency and fraud is "just a right-winger talking point" "Fox News propaganda", "minuscule and insignificant" etc etc. When talking UBI, however, suddenly you're not only willing to acknowledge govt waste, but also to pretend it's gargantuan enough that we'll be able to basically extend unemployment benefits from about 1% of people who are getting it now to *literally everyone*, so lets see oh yeah, "only" two orders of magnitude - and still come ahead only by trimming govt fat.

So which is it? Or no, actually, the only question I have is: are you really stupid enough to actually believe that, or do you know perfectly well it won't work, and are just knowingly and willingly gaslighting everyone?

Comment Re:Magic money (Score -1) 190

Where is all the money for this UBI going to come from?

It can come from the same place that banks use to pay a trickle amount of interest on the bank accounts. And yet, banks have not faltered.

Tax the rich?

Considering that wealth is supposed to "trickle down", taxing the rich makes sure that there's no blockage.

No, whenever leftists have tried to tax the rich, invariably the rich just make their lawyers find enough loopholes in the law to drive a truck through, bribe their way out of it, or at worst, move their wealth out of country to greener pastures, and invariably it's the middle class that gets fucked up instead. Look to Great Britain for a most recent example of how well "tax the rich" works in practice.

Comment Re:Predictions-schmedictions... (Score -1) 56

U.S. data centers will consume about 8% of all electricity in the country by 2030, according to the International Energy Agency...

Is the bubble going to last that long? I have some doubts.

So what do you actually think will happen? You do know that we're already PAST the market correction of "oh, turns out you can't fire your entire team of developers and have the CEO vibe code a product"? Also, even that didn't really happen outside of a few tiny cases like Wes Winder - cases that became memes but don't actually matter at all. What was market cap of Wes Winder, again?

So, OK, turns out the productivity boost is more like 20% rather than 100%, but still, pretty much all coding companies buy subscriptions to assisted coding for their devs. You think they're going to suddenly go "oh, crap, right, we should make haters happy rather than our devs more productive, we're cancelling our subscriptions"?

Also, the jury is still out on whether the "fire your dev team and vibe code what you want yourself" is the wrong move or the right move just 10 years too early. Those models are getting better by the day, while you keep mindlessly repeating outdated memes about counting "r" in "strawberry".

So yes, please tell me again, how exactly that "bursting" will happen. And don't talk stock, yes the stock market (not just AI) is a bubble, but to fix that you'd have to get the FED to stop printing a deluge of money. That's a topic for another discussion, but even if stock gets wiped out those data centers will still be standing you know.

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