Really? Which climate predictions are we talking about here?
Hansenâ(TM)s 1988 models inaccurately predicted emissions levels, but when adjusted for actual emissions levels using the same methodology turns out to be fairly accurate to reality.
The IPCC report from 1990 predicted 0.3Â of warming per year, which tracks well with the 0.2-0.3Â per year weâ(TM)ve seen.
Early predictions of arctic ice melt predicted that the
Volume of arctic sea ice would have fallen by 35% by now, it has fallen by 40% - pretty accurate.
1990s predictions of sea level rise predicted 18cm by now, its risen by 20-25cm - so somewhat conservative but the right trend.
The one prediction that I think it would be possible to point to as âoewrongâ is the idea that freak weather events would increase as sea temperatures rose. The rate of such events has turned out not to rise, however, the severity has risen instead, so this one is a bit off but not significantly.