Comment Contrary position (Score 0, Troll) 87
Raoult has been for 5 years the idol of the educated. I suspect he would never had been famous if not for some clickbait Facebook posts with titles that would be easily mistaken for boomer traps nowadays, à la "He cures the Covid with this one weird trick, siontists hate him". It was clear from the beginning his claims were easy to disprove, but even then "I wouldn't even qualify for a first-aid Red Cross course"-types took it to the extreme and were happy to almost litterally drink bleach because it looked a similar treatement to his fungicide miracle cure. With no effect or at best on par with the null hypothesis.
I was following the situation closely at the time and saw a different movie being shown on that same screen.
A lot of studies popped up that purported to disprove his thesis about HCQ, but a careful assessment of the experimental method showed that no paper actually tested what he was claiming.
So for example, one paper gave late stage Covid patients - people on respirators who were expected to die in the next few hours - the HCQ treatment to see if it had any effect. Double blind, enough patients for statistical strength, all of that. The result was that there was no statistical advantage to giving HCQ to these patients, therefore HCQ does nothing. (Note: Covid death is due to complications, and once major complications begin killing the virus does almost nothing.)
Lots and lots of papers popped up, I remember reading at least six that came out against HCQ without testing his actual claims, and kept wondering when someone was going to actually test his treatment plan.
His claims were easy to disprove, but no one bothered to actually find out!
The reason people disagreed with Raoult is because his treatment didn't have any sort of model or rationale for *why* it worked. It isn't an anti-viral so there's no logical reason why it *should* work in the first place, and everyone latched onto that without thinking things through.
There are counterexamples in medicine, some things are prescribed "off label" because the side effects are beneficial in certain cases. Finasteride is used for hair loss, but helps with erection dysfunction. How could a hair loss medicine affect erections? It doesn't make sense, but it seems to work.
Anyway, after trying to follow the controversy and reading several papers trying to disprove the theory, I finally gave up. My assessment of the situation was that this was a political situation and that it was impossible to sort through the bullshit to get to the truth.
(This was an outgrowth of my personal campaign to go to ground level truth as much as possible.)
[...] to almost litterally drink bleach because [...]
The "drinking bleach" thing was a hoax, he never said that (and what he did say was nowhere near that), but a fuckton of people believe that he did because there was political capital to be gained.
The HCQ thing is no different. I'm 'kinda on the side of HCQ doesn't work, but to this day I have nagging doubts about that position simply because there is so much FUD and misinformation that I don't believe anyone can sort through it all. And the fact that everyone is shouting the same thing in lockstep simply increases my doubts.
You shouldn't have to shout, or lie ("drinking bleach"), or insult, or rant about facebook posts.
Simply say "this is disproven, here is the paper", and move on.