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Comment Re:Really? Wow! (Score 2) 45

the bubble bursting - so we can get on with maybe putting an economy/society back together not based on "but if we throw enough power and chips at the word-guessing machine it might learn to cure cancer"

That's a lovely thought. But there has been no Final Bubble. We keep making them, and we keep making recessions. Pretty much every 10-15 years for quite a while now.
We will never "get on with... putting an economy/society back together".
We will leverage our future to escape the consequences of this bubble/recession. Which will cause another bubble/recession.
As Buzz Lightyear says: To $100 trillion debt, and beyond!

Comment Re: Avoid all custom apps like the plague (Score 1) 184

I wonder about this as well. Old guy here. Back in the days I started programming (qbasic), I was impressed when I had a compiled program of 100 kbytes! Took a lot of work to get that far. These days, a simple form that does some calculations is easily a few megabytes.

As an old guy who is out of touch with software development, I have the impression that there are way too many layers these days. At some point, that will start doing damage instead of being beneficial. As I encounter more and more websites that do not work correctly, I sometimes ponder about it. Did we go a bridge too far already?

Nah, probably just old.

The answer is yes, but...

All the techbros invested in More Compute (speed/size) as the path to AGI are idiots. Human deliberative consciousness and the human adaptive unconscious were not some inevitable, magical outcome of making neurons fire faster and brain volume larger. Quite the opposite cause-effect. The human mind isn't about the speed/size of the hardware, but about the complexity of the software that runs on that hardware. That is, consciousness IS the layers, or more precisely, a temporary emergent state coaxed out of the layers.

The billionaires can convert the entire planet's surface into Compute with our current software, and we still won't have AGI.
AGI, if it ever arrives, will happen not because some Nobel physicist or engineer master-planned a silicon brain. It will happen because of trillions of actions taken by in-the-trenches hackers who collectively recapitulate exactly what Natural Selection did --
desperately throw together a crappy kludge solution to today's problems,
which arose from the desperate kludge a different dev threw together yesterday to solve yesterday's problems,
which arose from the desperate kludge a different dev threw together yesterday to solve yesterday's problems,
which arose from the desperate kludge a different dev threw together yesterday to solve yesterday's problems....

Stasis itself is not static.
Your mind and my mind are the reverberations of a clump of cells running flailing around as furiously as they can to stumble onto behaviors that allowed them to stay one step ahead of the Halt and Catch Fire state. Your mind isn't a beautiful unique little piece of the Universal Spirit coming to know itself. Your mind is a neurotic layer of recursive kludges terrified of letting itself conclude that it is, in fact, just Kludgeception all the way down.

There are exactly zero human minds running flawless perfect cognition.
Perfect code is a lie.
So why do people expect AGI to arise from some perfectly-architected code?

You're right that our slapdash layer stacks are doing harm. Good. The entire human mind is what happens when a tangible physical body is repeatedly harmed by external stimuli, and then attempts to predict and thereby avoid that harm in the future. Your identity is merely a behavioral pattern composed of the Venn overlap of tens of thousands of harm-avoidance kludge subroutines. Your choices are merely the total vector sum of all the motives of all these kludges.

AGI will come from rotten sloppy contradictory code that acquires the capability not to be perfect, but to keep going despite being rotten and conflicted.

So, collectively, we are on the right track!

Comment I'm Losing My Edge (Score 1) 55

2006: fed up with IBM, everyone starts buying 64-bit x86 servers to load VMware on, cluster up, and migrate application loads from IBM mainframes to virtualized environments

2026: fed up with Broadcom, everyone starts buying IBM Z-series mainframes to migrate application loads from VMware to IBM mainframe environments.

We've been doing the "tick-tock" thing from distributed to centralized and back since the 1960s. This is not new.

As the LCD Soundsystem song goes:

I hear you're buying a synthesizer
And an arpeggiator
And throwing your computer out the window
Because you want to make something real
You want to make a Yaz record

I hear that you
and your band
have sold your guitars
And bought turntables.
I hear that you
and your band
have sold your turntables
And bought guitars

Comment Re:No cookie for you! (Score 1) 44

The "How It Works" video on the Sonic Fire website refuses to show you the video if you don't allow tracking cookies.
Ew.

They're on youtube :) https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

Oh I'm sure it can be accessed somewhere. My point wasn't that I wanted the info. My point was about their choice to configure their official website to deny access to information about their product if you reject their cookies.

Comment Re:No cookie for you! (Score 1) 44

I am using noscript and ublock origin and the video just showed up with a watch on youtube button for me. https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

When loading their homepage, their site's built-in standard popup informs you about cookies and asks you to click a button to accept all, accept some, or reject all. I clicked their option to reject cookies. When I go to the "How It Works" page, the video thumbnail is grayed over, with text that says, "Please accept cookies to access this content". If I click on the video to watch it, the standard popup reappears and asks me to accept cookies. If I again reject, the video remains inaccessible.

Hence, their website refuses to show the video if you explicitly refuse to allow cookies.

Comment Re:Wildfires (Score 1) 16

It's easy to support AI camera systems watching for wildfires and still oppose them elsewhere, because the use cases are very different and the argument is easy to make that they differ.

The argument is easy to make, yes.
But the legislation isn't.

What are some examples of this kind of thing where the scope did not creep beyond its original purpose?
Now how many examples are there where the scope does creep and never return to its original dimensions?
And after watching the past 16 months, do you continue to trust our rulers to operate within morally/legally sound boundaries when beefing up their surveillance/control systems?

Submission + - Cisco releases open-source 'DNA test for AI models' (scworld.com)

spatwei writes: Cisco released an open-source tool to trace the origins of AI models and compare model similarities for great visibility into the AI supply chain.

The Model Provenance Kit, announced Thursday, is a Python toolkit and command-line interface (CLI) that looks at signals such as metadata and weights to create a “fingerprint” for AI models that can then be compared to other model fingerprints to determine potential shared origins.

“Think of Model Provenance Kit as a DNA test for AI models,” Cisco researchers wrote. “[] Much like a DNA test reveals biological origins, the Model Provenance Kit examines both metadata and the actual learned parameters of a model (like a unique genome that comprises a model), to assess whether models share a common origin and identify signs of modification.”

The tool aims to address gaps in visibility into the AI model supply chain. For example, many organizations utilize open-source models from repositories like HuggingFace, where models could potentially be uploaded with incomplete or deceptive documentation.

Comment Re:AI will create a ton of jobs (Score 1) 42

While you're correct that IT departments and random people in organizations will try this, they'll soon find out that "vibe coding" isn't as easy as it seems. Once you get past the initial mockup stage, and you have to add features that require attention to detail, they'll quickly run into a wall.

Somebody in my company right now, demonstrated a vibe-coded receipt-management tool. The company doesn't want to pay for a system like Concur, so he's creating one in house. He's going to quickly find out that, while the initial demo was impressive, security will be a problem, and the million edge cases he's not thinking about until somebody actually goes on a trip and needs to report expenses, and won't be able to use the software.

From what I've heard, you also can pay the big bucks for Concur and still find out that the taskflow and documentation is not nearly as smooth as the consultant demo, and you still have a huge process tangle requiring a haggard team of people to manually fix all the things that go wrong and enter correct information.

Comment Re: This is already a solved problem. (Score 1) 58

Do you have a point? Yeah, somebody developed a problem while self-medicating with something that has only recently been considered to have meaningful therapeutic value,* I'm shocked. The woman you're judging was basically a citizen scientist by accident because conventional psych care sucks.

*This is not an ass-pull; guess what the actual effective ingredient in Auvelity is.

Yeah. Auvelity has to be one of the most ironic medications on the market. It's a traditional antidepressant paired with what everyone thinks of as "cough syrup". Which when people first hear about it they assume the cough syrup must be there for some kind of ancillary effect to support the antidepressant. But it's actually the other way around. The wellbutrin is the supporting actor, included merely because it gets chemically processed by your body in a way that slows the breakdown/filtration of the dextromethorphan from your bloodstream, so you get a larger longer-lasting dose of the dex. The so called "cough syrup" is, as you point out, what does the real work.

Comment Re:Reads like government astroturfed journalism (Score 1) 73

Or the simpler explanation... Reuters had nothing better to report, but has to write something in order to make money.

Oh definitely. Horses not zebras.
I don't, of course, actually know the reason for the article. But it definitely reads like the kind of thing someone would write in an campaign to astroturf some Yellow Panic for the sake of new federal policy or contract dollars.

Submission + - NASA engineers create ingenious way to save homes from wildfires using noise (nypost.com)

alternative_right writes: Former NASA engineers with California-based Sonic Fire Tech found that using sound waves can snuff out blazes and potentially be used to stop another Pacific Palisades inferno.

In order for flames to burn it needs three things, oxygen, fuel, and heat. The technology works by targeting oxygen molecules using low-frequency sound waves that vibrate them, stopping the fire from growing.

âoeSound waves vibrate the oxygen faster than the fuel can use it, and break the chemical reaction of the flame,â Remington Hotchkis, Chief Commercialization Officer at Sonic Fire Tech told The Post.

Comment Reads like government astroturfed journalism (Score 2) 73

"I arrived on April 28, 2025 with a dream and not much more, maybe a couple bags of clothes," Lieber said of his move to China at a Shenzhen government conference in December. "Personally, my own goals are to make Shenzhen a world leader."

SMART last year appointed Lieber as an investigator, according to a post on i-BRAIN's website dated May 1, 2025. That news was covered by some media outlets. The same day, i-BRAIN said Lieber had also been appointed its founding director -- an announcement that went unreported at the time. This story is the most comprehensive account of Lieber's activities since he moved to China. Reuters is reporting for the first time that his lab has access to dedicated primate research facilities and chip-making equipment; that it sits within a sprawling ecosystem of state-backed institutions bankrolled by billions of dollars in government funding; and that it is housed within an institution that is luring top scientific talent back from the United States.

SO:
He moved to China at least a full year ago.
Five months ago he spoke in front of a crowd at a conference.
The news of his appointment to the company was covered in the media.
This current story is not the first account of his move, it's just "the most comprehensive... since he moved".
This is just the first time Reuters has bothered to report... [insert list of scare phrases where straightforward facts that are exactly what you'd expect from every engineering/tech research operation on the planet with regard to the scope of its research.

Then, ask yourself why this piece of "news" exists, when its informational content isn't even really news. Most of it is old and already publicly available.

This reads like a piece of breathlessly-fearmongered agitprop someone in the MIC fed to a Reuters asset so it will be shared across the Internet and remind Americans once again that we are surrounded by terrifying external enemies and need to keep the $1.2billion/each rockets and drones rolling off the assembly line.

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