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Comment Re:that is a lot of land if my calcs are correct (Score 1) 96

An acre is 1/640th of a square mile, so 2,400 acres/640 = 3.75 sq miles.

An acre is defined as the area of one chain by one furlong (66 by 660 feet), which is equal to 10 sq chains. There are 80 chains in a mile, or 6,400 sq chains, hence dividing by 640.

God, I love these old units. They make me feel so feudal!

Comment Re:Where is the shovelware? Where's the killer app (Score 1) 40

While I agree that many in the industry want the cheapest and the fastest to build regardless of quality, my question is about the demand side.

Who wants these apps? What is is that they do that someone is willing to pay for? How does that address the cost of the other inputs that make apps worth enough money or other rewards that someone wants to maintain them?

We are 18 years out from the launch of iPhone App store, and even though humans are far slower than AI in building apps, after nearly two decades I don't think there are massive parts of human activity that are un-apped. In pharmaceutical development, the dearth of "undrugged diseases" has led pharma companies to focus on rare and orphan diseases - bringing VERY high cost drugs to market to serve small numbers of people.

Where are the "orphan applications" that these apps are there to serve?

Vibecoding a delivery app stack will not make DoorDash obsolete - somebody still has to recruit drivers and food sellers and offer something to each of those parties that makes them want to drop DoorDash. DoorDash may be able to automate away some labor (though I suspect it will be less than they think).

In the enterprise, the theoretical "un-automated work" seems to be in two main buckets:
1- making presentations, dashboards, documents automatically, and
2 - building software automatically

Both of these clearly have some value, but I think the AI boffins and investors are wildly overlooking all of the human stuff that goes along with those tasks.

Also, it's obvious that AI makes that kind of stuff a commodity, meaning that its value goes down as its volume increases. So yeah, AI can make a lot of slop, but it's not obvious how that makes there be more valuable stuff.

Comment Re:Cargo Cult ? (Score 1) 54

Yeah, agreed. I actually am really struggling to understand how they think there is demand for this kind of thing. Is there market research where someone says "sure, I don't care who's talking, just as long as the content is a topic that I am plausibly interested in and the _conversation_ is not too jarring".
It's true that people will watch AI slop on YouTube; my guess is that is the demand signal they are responding to.

I have once watched an AI generated YouTube video (really it was weird graphics over an audio that sounded like Richard Feynman reading) and I found the explainer vaguely interesting enough to continue watching in the background for 20 min while I worked. I guess that channel got a few ad impressions off my eyeballs for that.

So I can see notionally how this kind of slop might win over some other slop in a transactional zero-sum way, but I really can't see how any of the typical marketing stuff - audience building, brand development, downstream sales conversions, fits in with AI-generated, undifferentiated commodity content. Isn't the whole idea of an influencer that the audience wants a person to connect them to content?

Maybe it will work, but my guess is it will just result in a lot more content that one has to wade through. I'm sure someone will have an AI solution to that. Turn that Hamster wheel up to ludicrous speed!

Comment Re: Iran is going to lose access to the gulf (Score 1) 480

When are when are we going to see American ships in the Caspian Sea?

Americans forces stationed in Afghanistan couldn't stop things getting across the border in to Afghanistan, so how successful do you think they're going to be when they're not even in the country?

As long as the US blockades the Straits of Hormuz, so will Iran. Iran has more tolerance to pain than American voters do. Today's news: Trump chickened out again and didn't attack Iran.

Comment Re:Rent-seeking (Score 0) 480

I'm all for criticising Israel; what they've done in Gaza is disproportionate and probably amounts to war crimes. This doesn't change the fact that there is widespread left wing antisemitism. See for example the Equality and Human Rights Commission (EHRC) report on Labour antisemitism, published in October 2020, that found the Labour Party had committed unlawful acts of discrimination and harassment against Jewish members, highlighting serious failings in its handling of antisemitism complaints and political interference in the process. The former leader of the Labour Party who wanted to be prime minister continues to downplay it and deny there was a problem. AmiMojo has defended the man on this site and posted on multiple occasions that demonstrate his position. Many people in the UK are using Jewish people as a proxy for Israel and there's been a rise of violent antisemitic hate crimes against them. They don't deserve to live in fear, but the leaders of left wing parties in the UK will not speak out, just like AmiMoJo won't either.

Comment Re:Rent-seeking (Score -1, Troll) 480

You and your leftwing antisemitic claptrap. Are you ready to admit yet that Israel is also in an existential struggle against organisations on all sides hellbent on the genocide of Israel, funding by a state whose official policy is the genocide of Israel (that's Iran, if you're wondering)? When are you going to call them out for their actions?

Don't get me wrong, while I support Israel's right to defend itself, the way it's gone about it in Gaza is wrong. But unlike you, that doesn't mean I'm going to ignore the realities of both sides of this complicated and horrific conflict.

It's people like you who are fuelling the rise of antisemitism. That's also wrong.

Comment Re: Iran is going to lose access to the gulf (Score 1) 480

The US has tried to blockage a little island off the coast of Florida for over 60 years without success. North Korea has sticking the finger up for even longer. I can't imagine the US will succeed against a country of 1.6 million km^2 and 92 million people the other side of the world where the US has limited resources simply by trying to blockage them. The US couldn't keep the neighbouring Afghanistan under control with boots on the ground FFS.

Comment Re: Iran is going to lose access to the gulf (Score 2) 480

And they will still threaten the Straits of Hormuz and thus cause economical problems for the rest of the world, including the US. We're in the age of cheap drones. Ukraine chased off the Russian navy. It looks like the US navy is scared to get involved in opening of the straits and protecting shipping.

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