ALL of the entry level jobs in most industries are going to be replaced by AI, and there will be no jobs available to train up the next set of tier 2 and 3 employees
Ummm....don't we call this college? You know, getting good skills and training so you don't have to start at the lowest possible level and have the capacity to move up quickly...?
Higher Ed - that is, credentialed curriculum and teaching - in the USA has been on life support for 10 years. It has been steadily devoured by outsourcing to Ed Tech corporations. There's been tremendous consolidation into near monopoly in the education sector. A student taking College Algebra at Rutgers University and a student taking College Algebra at Central Montana Community College and a student taking College Algebra at University of Phoenix, are very likely to be using the same Ed Tech platforms, with the same curriculum, the same homework, the same testing, and the same study/tutoring support. Covid/AI sped up that platform adoption/consolidation process, and now we're in the free-fall where things feel fine and frictionless because we're in free fall.
The 20th century was the aberration - the only century to presume that the goal of schooling is to give people well-rounded renaissance exposure to the breadth of human knowledge, so they can grow up to become good human beings, good national citizens, good producers/laborers, and good social beings.
The education crash is happening, and the emptying-out will take less than 10 years. The rope is already around its neck. The last remaining chair leg holding it up right now is the fact of most employers still requiring 4-year college degrees for everything, even roles like an entry-level accounts-payable clerk. But think about it -- that is not a regulatory mandate, it's not a social mandate, and it's not even rational in an ROI sense for someone to learn about The Indus Valley civilization and write essays about Emily Dickinson's poetry, in order to manage spreadsheets or ERP dashboards.
The AI companies, if they're smart, will be the ones to kick the chair out from under Higher Ed. I'm actually surprised they haven't yet seen how much control they have over this. But very soon someone will figure it out. It's simple really. All they have to do is make a showy public announcement that they are eliminating the college degree requirement for hiring across their enterprise, because they are confident their technology allows someone to be dramatically productive by combining direct OTJ experience with access to an AI/knowledgebase.
The instant they do this, traditional education strangles. 10 years later, physical college campuses will be treated like 1980s/1990s shopping malls - creepy ghost towns abandoned to nature, or forced to take on commercial tenants and co-work spaces in order to pay the rent. (Because in many cases "the rent" is taxpayer bond/debt. And what happens to the economy when the billions of dollars in debt mature, but the colleges are no longer driving workforce for the local labor market? What's the ROI for state/county governments to continue allocating funding to maintain facilities and hire humans to run the massively complex system of getting students through a 4-year degree?)
Most professorships evaporate.
Most administrative, tech, and learning support jobs evaporate.
Not only is college no longer driving workforce development, but millions of people in the college workforce are out of jobs.
Which also means all those billions in Ed employee pensions evaporate because there's no new money coming into the system. So now you have millions of older folks falling into poverty, lack of healthcare, etc.
The university as a multifaceted Salon of learning is over. It will split into:
1) grad schools become small, focused research groups that rely heavily on corporations for funding. (Because why should the taxpayers of, say, Pennsylvania, pay to run expensive research labs that produce results which enrich technologists but don't put money back into the local taxpayer pocket?)
2) the 4-year curriculum shatters into a small handful of liberal arts/humanities prestige schools for wealthy kids, and the rest of the curriculum becomes skill-specific academies like all the Learn To Code bootcamps of the past 15 years. At which point, again, why go to a traditional lecture-based college for that, where you have to follow a curriculum architected on the basis of 20-200 student classrooms, when the AI agent can be your personalized academy, learning at your pace, adapting to your personally identified learning objectives?