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Comment Re:Hypocrites (Score 1) 59

No different than any other corporate spin about the inflexibility or uselessness of their platform. AWS does this quite well. "Undifferentiated heavy lifting" - while ignoring the absurd complexity and beta quality of their own services. Every issue I have with their shit, I experience a new and different bug or incorrectness in their documentation, and it takes years for it to get corrected. There are still bugs in Lambda that I discovered and reported 5+ years ago which haven't been resolved.

Comment Re:Not reassuring (Score 1) 59

At every level. They must be using claude to make their business decisions, too.

It's not only being demonstrated, it's being reveled in. Astounding.

I don't know if this is just the symptom of the AI bubble, cronyism, or "late stage capitalism" (even though the resemblance to capitalism long since ceased). But it's a mess.

20 years ago, these guys would've been tried for criminality by now. Both Anthropic and OpenAI. They're making Enron look like amateurs.

Comment Re:This is a good sign (Score 1) 84

That's a model specific problem, to a large degree.

The "AI assumed something stupid and destructive" problem went away when I started using better planning skills and models which were not anthropic's.

I've not had any of those "wild destructive hallucination reasoning" problems with GLM or Qwen models, even small versions, which I fought with regularly with opus.

Comment Re:This is a good sign (Score 0) 84

Sure, you can do that. You can do that with buggy code that compiles, or python, too.

For AI, you can also have another agent and/or model review and fix it. You can ask it adversarial questions until you get it right. You can ask it to explain the architecture and design (or: you can plan it out ahead of time so that you know the design and then verify it).

It's no different than starting on an existing code base... just faster.

Comment Re:This is a good sign (Score 1) 84

"a bunch of AI bots doing the work of a whole team, is just a pipe dream."

You're not doing things right, then. Or very well. It's pretty low intensity to author/implement 5 substantial features a day, test, fix the bugs, run QA, and do 10-20 odd commits. Give or take, given the complexity of the plans/features and how much they let the LLM fill in the blanks and how thorough they were in scoping the implementation. Maybe 100M-200M tokens, depending on your model/skill/skills/etc. More, if it's a language like python or typescript (noisy, lots of bugs).

That kind of thing used to take a team a day. A good dev might close 2-3 bugs a day if they already have a thorough RCA done by someone else (which, itself, usually takes a 4-8 hours, depending on the issue).

Comment Wait (Score 2) 84

Wait... you mean there were actually people trying to use as many tokens as possible?

It's one thing to try to exhaust a usage quota (which has never been difficult) because it's a subsidized commodity. It's another thing entirely to just burn tokens.

How can a CEO say stupid shit like this? Oh right. CEO brain.

Comment Re:AI break down (Score 1) 128

There is no part of this which even aligns partially with reality.

Let's assume there's a catastrophic blow up with the AI market. Anthropic and OpenAI are gone, or crippled. Resold for parts. NVIDIA closes up shop or goes back to making video game cards after a restructure.

What then?

There's still incredible demand for inference. Every business is scrambling to get more, cheaper, better inference. Almost all of them - whether they're successful with it or just getting in the ropes. That demand isn't just going to disappear, and people/companies able to leverage AI will continue to do so.

Comment Re:AI break down (Score 2) 128

People are currently still running - and buying - 2018-era GPUs for inference locally. In fact, most cards cost markedly more (and continue to cost more) than they did new. They're also more capable at running inference than they were even a short while ago: you can do things on a 12GB 3060 today which weren't even possible on the 24GB 3090 6 months ago ago. For the time being, these cards are still increasing in value.

Short of electrical failure, the forefront GPUs will be capable for both inference and training for a long time to come. "Depreciating assets" aside, the actual value will continue to increase short of systems with more capabilities being released.

Which, if the AI bubble pops hard, is likely to slow dramatically.

Comment Re:AI break down (Score 1) 128

"The main fall will be the idiots that 'invested' in AI companies."

That's so far from the truth. This has the possibility of completely cratering the IT industry as a whole, because these companies are not going to give up on AI. They'll cut other things first.

The blast radius is huge: OpenAI/Anthropic are heavily invested in Google, Amazon, Oracle, and NVIDIA. Those companies in turn, are invested in myriad AI research efforts (of which OpenAI/Anthropic are in no small part).

Anthropic is likely the lynch pin here. In the last couple months, they've bunged things up great:

* “Ai is dangerous!” Fearmongering to push an agenda about open weight models, and had the entire industry rally against them (including their investors).
* A serious high profile "escape" which impacted HuggingFace
* Constant drama with nerfed models and downgrading Fable users
* Covert quota manipulation on the plans
* Frequent and severe outage/downtime since the beginning of the year
* Opus 5 being what appears to be a fairly crippled model: it can one shot things, but don't ask it to actually plan or follow directions. It won't.
* Heavy handed "safety" alignment which makes their models refuse to do... almost anything, really.
* Kimi K3 coming out and eating their lunch in many regards + new Deepseek, GLM and Qwen models right the horizon (amongst others) - nevermind Llama, Mistral and others which could well be another surprise.

Anthropic's escape hatch of an IPO is all but sealed shut, given the above. Their one hope was regulatory capture of the mote, and now they don't even have the mote, and the entire industry is against them for regulatory capture purposes.

Comment Topical context - deeper problem (Score 1) 132

I have to wonder: how much of this is due to how college is designed? You take maybe 1-2 classes a semester related to your field of study, until 3rd or 4th year. History is not a common major, especially after 1-2 year.

I would think that someone bothering to major in a particular field would at least take the time to proofread their own papers.

At 32 out of 35, with only 3 not cheating, that makes me wonder a couple things (besides whether there are fewer history majors now that college is so expensive, and job outcomes in academia are increasingly uncertain): Is this a 100-200 level class? His video seems to suggest so - only part of the midterm was on the Industrial Revolution, and these answers suggest broad 100-level "required" class.

This isn't a story about AI cheating and ruining education. It's about a much deeper, systemic problem with both higher education as an institution, how it's financed, why it's even required, and our cultural valuation (or lack thereof) of the value of a holistic education.

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