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Comment Re:All copper is "oxygen-free" (Score 1) 68

The only thing stopping you from calling the water pipes in your house "copper-phosphorus pipes" is laziness and poor attention to detail.

A truly non-lazy person, then, would have to conduct a detailed spectrographic assay of all of the pipes (or at least sufficient samples from each lot) to accurately determine the precise composition of each, because all of them contain impurities and aren't merely copper and phosphorous.

In general, getting a truly pure sample of almost any element is incredibly-hard, and outside of laboratories (and even in laboratories, most of the time) it just doesn't matter. In the case of transporting anti-protons, standard "pure" copper is apparently inadequate, because it's not pure enough.

Comment Re:Water is what scares me (Score 1) 48

After decades of decreasing water supplies coupled with irresponsible explosive growth in the Great Basin, Front Range, and SW in particular.its just asking for trouble.

Even with the reduced precipitation there's still plenty of water for residential and commercial use. The problem, at least where I live (Utah), is agriculture. 80% of our water goes to agriculture. It would be one thing if we were growing regionally-appropriate crops for local consumption, but nearly all of that agriculture is to grow alfalfa (a water-hungry crop that isn't appropriate for the high desert climate), and nearly all of that alfalfa is shipped out of state, much of it out of the country, to feed cattle elsewhere. China is one of the biggest buyers. Essentially, our farmers are selling the contents of our aquifers to the world.

If we had plenty of water, letting our farmers buy it at a deep discount and sell it to willing buyers elsewhere would be fine, just another commercial use of a local resource, which is what trade is all about. But we definitely don't have plenty of water.

The solution is simple and straightforward (though legally complicated): Don't discounts. Set the same price for water across the board, residential, commercial and agricultural. There can and should be minor differences in delivery cost, and surcharges for purification, but the base cost of the water should be set through a single government-managed market, probably at the state level, probably divided up by drainages (drainages with more abundant water will have cheaper water; if this creates an arbitrage opportunity for someone to pipe water between drainages, great!).

Yes, this would probably put the alfalfa farmers out of business, but that's good because growing alfalfa in the desert is a bad idea. It might also raise the price of local produce, but that's as it should be, putting agricultural water use directly in competition with other water use. If prices go up, people will find ways to be more efficient. Farmers may switch to drip irrigation. If you build too many houses for the available water supply, well, those houses are going to have very expensive water and residents are going to want to find ways to conserve -- and maybe the high cost of water will disincentivize new move-ins.

The bottom line is that efficiently allocating scarce resources is what markets are good at. The problem with water isn't that there are too many people or not enough water, the problem is that we don't properly allocate the water or encourage conservation in the right places. Trying to fix this through regulation rather than market pricing will always be subject to regulatory capture and will never be as efficient or as effective as just enabling a competitive market and letting it work.

Comment Re:I use Claude Code from my phone all the time (Score 1) 42

The Pixel 10 Fold looks pretty cool, but it takes me back to, geez, late '80s / early '90s?, when Casio came out with a folding "B.O.S.S" data bank, a precursor of the PDA. I still have it floating around somewhere, and I'd have used it for much longer, except the ribbon cable between the screen half, and the keyboard half split, at some point, from the frequent flexing. How do you feel the Pixel's gonna hold up?

No idea. It's fine so far, but I've only had it for a few months. Honestly, I'm pretty brutal on devices. Odds are high that I'll break it in some other way before the flexing causes a problem.

Comment Re:Just me? (Score 1) 42

Just wait until you hear someone talking to Claude on their phone, then interject with, "Hey Claude, order 5 tons of surströmming at highest available price, same day delivery."

Either Claude fails and the person realizes it doesn't necessarily do as told, or it succeeds and the person realizes it's a really really bad idea.

In a case like that I think Claude is "smart" enough to push back. Claude often catches my mistakes. It's also pretty easy to add rules like "Request confirmation for any purchase requests that are unusually large or otherwise out of the ordinary for the user. Review past purchases to determine user purchasing patterns." to make this explicit.

Claude is far, far smarter than Alexa.

OTOH, it sometimes does do stupid things. On balance, I think I screw up more often than it does, but you can't just assume it will make the right decisions, so adding rules that require doublechecking with the user is a good idea.

Comment Re:I use Claude Code from my phone all the time (Score 1) 42

A tablet would be better... but if I'm going to lug a tablet around, my Macbook is better yet, since it's not that much bigger than a tablet and has a keyboard.

I did exactly this for a while as an on-call admin, and found the iPad to be a better fit. It was slimmer and easier to pack, if only by degrees, and if I couldn't use a keyboard because of the location - like literally standing in the foyer of a Broadway play house fixing a problem before heading in to see the show - I could at least peck at the on-screen keys with my thumbs while holding the iPad. Of course, ymmv, but for remote work, the iPad was the better option for me.

Without a foldable phone, I'd agree. With the foldable, I can unfold it and have a reasonably large on-screen keyboard, which I can type on with both thumbs. And of course my phone is always with my, while a tablet would be an extra device to carry -- and if I'm carrying an additional device, the laptop is more functional.

Comment Re:I use Claude Code from my phone all the time (Score 1) 42

I'm surprised Anthropic doesn't have an app that let's you hook up from your phone to your development environment and cause all that to happen without the intermediary. Coming up soon I guess.

Me too. I looked! Termius + tmux works reasonably well, but an app specifically for this purpose would be nicer.

Comment Alternative to nuclear deterrent (Score 2) 312

This is an interestingly less expensive deterrent for middle powers to buy (or develop themselves) who don't want to invest in a nuclear program to keep the larger countries at bay. I actually see this as a positive because it offers an alternative to nuclear proliferation. With current technology, a barrage of missiles like this can't be intercepted cost effectively, and you can hide them relatively easily. It has a chance to maintain a peaceful status quo, and perhaps avoid the looming WW3.

To give you a more practical example of the range, pretty much all of the continental US would be within 800 miles of the northern and southern US land borders. Not that Canada or Mexico would actually follow a program to develop these, as the US, Canada, and Mexico are still quite close allies, but my points is that the cost would easily be within the capabilities of those countries, and the range is pretty huge. Even container ships parked off the western and eastern coasts could reach well over 2/3 of the US landmass.

Comment Re: Illegal (Score 2) 73

I have no idea what gateway was meant to be for.

I suppose you could argue that it was kind of like how the original Apollo worked. The capsule that brings you back to Earth for re-entry stays in lunar orbit and you just descend in the lander and go back up to lunar orbit. Plus you can maintain a much larger living environment at the gateway station. But it certainly made the whole thing seem like a Rube Goldberg affair. Assuming Starship gets the bugs worked out, then you should be able to do the whole mission with a single re-usable ship, assuming you launch it to low Earth orbit empty of fuel and then send up multiple other Starship flights to refuel it before it goes to the Moon.

Comment I use Claude Code from my phone all the time (Score 3, Informative) 42

I use the Termius app on my phone, SSH to my workstation, run tmux attach -d to attach to the tmux session in which I'm running Claude, then tell it to do stuff. It can only do stuff that can be done via the command prompt, HTTP requests or MCP integrations (Gmail, Drive, Confluence, Jira, etc.), but that covers a lot of ground. "Only what I can do from the command prompt" is not much of a limitation.

I've told Claude to write a design doc in Confluence (which I reviewed and shared with others to get feedback); then implement the feature, including tests; build and run the code and tests on two hardware platforms (the host and an attached embedded QNX board); commit the code to a feature branch and push the branch upstream (where I reviewed it and told Claude what to fix); create a pull request; respond to reviewer comments; and merge the PR, all from my phone while a thousand miles from the workstation. I've only done the complete cycle from the phone once, but I've done pieces of it many times.

To make this work well, it helps to have a phone with a big screen. I have a Pixel 10 Fold, unfolded for Termius use. A tablet would be better... but if I'm going to lug a tablet around, my Macbook is better yet, since it's not that much bigger than a tablet and has a keyboard. And, obviously, I do reach for the laptop rather than the phone if I have it. But I can get a lot done from the phone.

This new feature is basically "Let poor GUI users do what command-line jockeys have been doing for a while".

Comment Re:Meanwhile... (Score 1) 57

Insider trading is completely legal if done by a member of Congress.

This isn't true.

Members of Congress and congressional employees are not exempt from the insider trading prohibitions that apply to everyone else. Trading on non-public information is a crime. In addition, if they're trading on classified information, the mere act of making the trade could constitute public disclosure of classified information, which could constitute several additional felonies, potentially including treason if the disclosure aids enemies of the United States.

However

While what you said is patently false as a matter of law, in practice there's basically no enforcement of the law against members of Congress. So, while your statement was wrong, you could say "Insider trading is ignored when done by a member of Congress" with near 100% accuracy.

The fix I would propose is not to ban members of Congress or their staffs or immediate families from trading, but instead to require them to disclose all trades 48 hours in advance. This wouldn't change the legality of trading on insider info (it would still be illegal), but it would serve to eliminate most of the benefit of acting on insider info, because their disclosure would move the market. Violating the disclosure requirement or failing to follow through on a disclosed trade would incur a fine equal to 150% of the value of the trade. This should be coupled with a requirement that members of Congress put their prior holdings into a blind trust and refrain from trading in any security over which they have a direct regulatory role.

Comment Re:Office sports betting was my favorite example (Score 1) 57

Office sports betting is illegal yet at every big company I worked for these betting sheets went around every season with management and the rest distributing them. This was my favorite example of how white collar crime is treated compared to blue collar.

I think that's a terrible white vs blue collar crime example. Sports betting with co-workers is ubiquitous, but if anything is even more common in blue collar workplaces.

Comment Re:As bad as it is, (Score 1) 57

Hey, congress, how about you pass a law making it illegal to bet on stuff like wars and political happenings, so people in Trump’s family can’t make money off their foreknowledge of the Don’s decision

Last weekend, Trump announced plans for massive strikes against Iran's civilian infrastructure (unequivocal war crimes, if carried out). Oil futures spiked. At 7:05 AM yesterday, Trump announced that his strikes were on hold for five days because he's negotiating with Iran [*]. Oil futures fell... but the fall actually started before the announcement, because at 6:50 AM oil futures trading volume spiked as someone suddenly offered for sale large contracts they'd been holding. There was no news that could have motivated those sell offers. The parsimonious explanation is that someone knew Trump's announcement was coming, and cashed in.

I'm sure Trump's DoJ and SEC will be conducting a thorough investigation into who sold 15 minutes before Trump's announcement, and what motivated them to make that move when they did, and will be aggressively prosecuting those who acted on insider information and those who leaked national secrets to them. </sarcasm>

My point is that prediction markets are utterly irrelevant in this situation. There are and always will be vastly greater opportunities to cash out on insider knowledge by trading in real commodities that play an actual role in the global economy. Argue for banning prediction markets if you like, but trying to claim that doing it will prevent insiders from making money on their inside knowledge is ludicrous.

[*] Note that Iran denies that it is in negotiations with Trump.

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