Comment If OpenAI disappeared? (Score 1) 83
They've done great stuff, but I honestly don't feel dependent on them and simply don't see them as more than a one trick pony.
I'm 100% convinced that other than spending irresponsible amounts of money on building an infrastructure which is only competitive because they are willing to outspend their peers, they don't offer anything of value.
I currently am using glm-4.5 on a computer with 64000 cpu cores and 304 H200 GPUs. I share the machine with 10 other users. It's pretty fast. It gives me an idea of how AI will perform in 20 years.
But that's the point. OpenAI is interesting because they have computers that cost $1 billion. My little computer cost 1/20 of that. But, consider the NEC earth simulator cost $350 million in 2002. Performance-wise, it was about as fast as a $250 NVidia RTX 5050. It had 10TB RAM but the RAM performance could be matched by 8 2TB PCIe Gen 5 drives in RAID.
So, in 20 years, we should expect to see the biggest computer OpenAI has today for about $2000 in the size of a laptop.
OpenAI's edge isn't their IP. It's their spending.
I'm 100% convinced that other than spending irresponsible amounts of money on building an infrastructure which is only competitive because they are willing to outspend their peers, they don't offer anything of value.
I currently am using glm-4.5 on a computer with 64000 cpu cores and 304 H200 GPUs. I share the machine with 10 other users. It's pretty fast. It gives me an idea of how AI will perform in 20 years.
But that's the point. OpenAI is interesting because they have computers that cost $1 billion. My little computer cost 1/20 of that. But, consider the NEC earth simulator cost $350 million in 2002. Performance-wise, it was about as fast as a $250 NVidia RTX 5050. It had 10TB RAM but the RAM performance could be matched by 8 2TB PCIe Gen 5 drives in RAID.
So, in 20 years, we should expect to see the biggest computer OpenAI has today for about $2000 in the size of a laptop.
OpenAI's edge isn't their IP. It's their spending.