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Comment Re:Induced demand is BS (Score 2) 69

It's weird how we used to be able to build these things when society was much poorer.

Show me when we *ever* built significant 'double decker' freeways? We have, obviously, been willing to build, rebuild and expand roads beyond what we had before. The problem is that we are seeing diminishing returns for our efforts. We give up more and more resources and land and get less and less benefit out of it. We expand 3 lanes to 4 and after tolerating *years* of even worse traffic to facilitate construction and then it opens up and... still jammed up because an additional lane didn't help *that* much. The problems aren't solved by more lanes, and more new roads means lots of people lose their property to serve the attempt.

There are other areas where I think you have a point. For example we somehow had the will to build out electricity and telephone to reach the middle of nowhere, but when you say we should build out fiber in the same way, it's just not affordable. But we have consistently been all about throwing more at roads, and have way more and better roads than we have *ever* had, but they just don't work as well with scale.

Comment Re: As expected (Score 1) 65

It's about the authors rather than GenAI.

Previous advances brought down costs and accelerated production, but things were still specifically deliberate choices by humans.

This stuff allows a mediocre short prompt generate significant chunks of content without human care.

The human care that serves to generally add quality now becomes an impediment to speed and volume of content.

You can still have that care applied with GenAI, but that gets drowned out by the low effort crap.

Comment Re: In a few years it'll be the only channel they (Score 1) 65

Problem is that won't happen.

The fundamental issue is that a GenAI user that pumps out whatever the GenAI does without review will be tons faster than the GenAI user that actually cares, reviews, edits, and reworks the output.

This flips things upside down, someone with dedication under the traditional ways would produce more, now dedication and care become a liability. Accepting a bland paste of garbage from the AI is easier to produce content than trying to implement actual creative content.

Comment Re:Not only that (Score 1) 148

Why would he have to make a car to have an opinion? That argument is generally a "well there's nothing better on the market, so if you know better, clearly you can do better", except here pretty much *everyone* is doing it better by having a wheel except Zoox.

Even Zoox at least gets *something* for skipping the steering wheel: more passenger volume and ability to face each other. The Tesla concept is a two-seater for zero benefit.

Comment Re:Emergency Services Can't Move This Elon Car !!1 (Score 1) 148

Fun fact, those documents apply to the Model Y, and does not answer the question about how the car gets manually moved because that question is still obvious because the car has a steering wheel.

But even without that, they are expecting first responders to deal with 27 pages of material over their snowflake and also directs the first responder that they must call Tesla along with everything else.

Comment Re: Not only that (Score 2) 148

While they *can* move a car that cannot be steered on it's own, they generally prefer not to resort to it. It takes longer and requires more equipment. It's unavoidable if an accident messes up the steering or drive of the car badly enough, but even in pretty significant wrecks, they will frequently steer it. When someone totaled my car so badly the door was stuck and I had to climb through the window, they still drove it out of the way, and then onto the flatbed.

The "no steering wheel even possible" is a needless way to signal your overconfidence in the tech. Rarely requiring the wheel may be a feature, removing the wheel is just stupid.

Comment Re:Slight problem (Score 1) 246

You know outside walls also have outlets.

Battery is a separate and optional concern, sounds like they largely expect these to be grid-tied.

So no particularly significant problems, though some folks may misunderstand how much a kilowatt of peak solar will give them in a given month, but it'll probably be cheap enough to be worth it.

Comment Re:Good (Score 1) 29

More like 'neutral', Cursor is by no means the only path to vibe code and OpenAI's models are by no means the only models (in fact, generally viewed poorly in those circles). So OpenAI making it harder for Cursor users won't make a dent in the general scheme of things.

Comment Re:OpenAI is dying and SpaceX is overvalued (Score 2) 29

From an economic standpoint, you absolutely have to count training as a facet. If everyone cuts back on scale up, then nvidia, memory vendors, and various other players in that space take a hit. Maybe a troubled AI company can cut out its capex by pausing training, but the downstream impact still is in the broader market.

But even the capex exposure may be hard to shake, given how much debt and purchasing commitments are in play.

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