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Comment Re:the solution to "the mental health crisis" (Score 1) 164

I guess the question is why you would say "Would you fly on a rocket designed and built by people who could not fail?" based on the current topic that UoM is adopting MIT's long-standing strategy to first semester grading. You seem to infer that UoM adopting this will produce bad engineers that can't be trusted to design and build a rocket, but MIT has been doing it since the 1960s. Why is it so terrible for UoM to do it and it isn't a concern that MIT does?

Comment Re:They're winning by default (Score 2) 33

Well you have Google, and of course Apple could decide to in-source the AI engine if it is so important, they tend to like doing that.

But when it comes to software development, Anthropic certainly has the advantaged position in reputation. However more broad use cases I think are supremely vulnerable to the platform owners of the endpoint devices changing the default. Why do Claude when the hardware button already chats with "some AI". Why leave office 365 that you already are running when office 365 will frontend whatever AI microsoft feels like? Even in the field that Anthropic is very well respected, I know entire companies that only use it by way of Github copilot because their company has a financial arragement with Microsoft. Leaving even users of Anthropic models at risk of Microsoft shuffling things around to use a model of Microsoft's choosing.

So even if Microsoft sucks, Microsoft dictates a bunch of defaults. Even if Google sucks, they dictate a lot of defaults.

Musk, Altman, and Zuckerberg are probably the ones I see at highest risk of failing to capture enduring success in this market. Anthropic certainly has the technical trajectory to be some sort of durable success, but just think there's a lot of potential for others to act as gatekeepers to the ecosystem.

Comment Re:Heavy Lifting (Score 1) 33

While Anthropic is at least more substantial than other players, this *absolutely* is suspiciously heavy in this summary.

They anticipate that their revenue *could* be $100 billion if they extrapolate some revenue interval of the entire year, and that they will follow up with an unspecfied duration of year over year growth rate of 800%... Which just is an absurd assumption when the starting point is $100 billion.

Comment Re:Uh, what? (Score 1) 43

The article says 1MW (?) for the entire flight...

No, it says:
"It reportedly delivered more than one megawatt (MW) of power during the flight."

At some point during the flight it went over a MW.

I have no idea where you came up with that number...

This one is a bit weirder. They don't cite a rate, so I generously went super cheap, 0.10/kwh which is a smidge lower than even Idaho. Mainly because I wanted to be rough order of magnitude without doing hard calculation, so $5 becomes 50kwh in that scheme. If you use 50kwh in 0.5 hours, then 50/0.5 == 100kw average power in order to use up $5 of super cheap electricity.

I cannot speak to the power required to climb and maintain lift.

Comment Re:the solution to "the mental health crisis" (Score 1) 164

Since you are so convinced that universities that do not assign GPA on first semester produce bad engineers, does that mean you have distrusted MIT educated engineers for the last 58 years?

Strange no one has been bitching that MIT has been coddling students for 58 years...

Comment Re:Uh, what? (Score 1) 43

One kilowatt isn't generally priced as anything. One kilowatt-*hour* is, however, priced.

So they may have actually used this properly, 1MW to take off sounds plausible for an ambitious aircraft in terms of power to take off and climb, but average of 100KW over the flight including the descent to get to a rough area of $5 over a half hour flight (well, still that's a pretty cheap energy rate by modern standards, but it's order of magnitude at least).

Comment Re: the solution to "the mental health crisis" (Score 1) 164

If it's a 100 level physics class and it matters, then the student will go through at *least* another semester or more of physics. I would care a lot more about their more advanced versions of the classes than the basics that every random university attendant takes.

If it's a 100 level class without a follow up, then no, it does not matter to the core of their curriculum.

Comment Re:the solution to "the mental health crisis" (Score 4, Insightful) 164

It's only one semester, and a semester of the least important material of their university time.

I think this actually sounds decent, giving the students an adjustment window, preserve the ability to completely fail if they really bomb out, and still the majority of their university years count for real and around the material people will actually care about in the real world.

If I am looking at a new college grad and give any weight to GPA, I won't care if that GPA excludes the sorts of classes they would have first semester.

Comment Re:Meaningless statements? (Score 1) 219

He's not lying, he's simply stating that you can give automation super human senses, and it would just be a complete idiot that would be so against those senses even in principle that hehwould remove common radar sensors from his car, just to prove a point.

He's not talking about worst human case or maybe even typical human. He's saying that confining the solution to cameras makes it only as safe as the safest human, which is fair.

Radar is pretty cheap for cars. LIDAR has similarly gotten pretty cheap. Being anti-LIDAR had at least some justification when LIDAR could only be had for thousands of dollars and saying we can't afford it. Being anti-RADAR was stupid from the moment that sentiment was expressed.

Comment Car companies are run by morons... (Score 1) 249

This is a stupid waste of time that could not have *possibly* earned them that much, a single ad in a very narrow context to a fairly small demographic. They risk their reputation on what has to be a relative pittance. Same on when they toyed with 'heated seats as a service'. A demographic that was probably happy to pay, but the annoyance was enough..

Similarly, GM has decided to move toward no support for phone interoperability. They are de-featuring cars that might be over $90,000 in the hopes that *maybe* people will accede to $10/month for the features their phone gives them already. Risking over $10k profit on a unit to have a somewhat higher chance at an additional $10/month.

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