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Comment You're Absolutely Right! (Score 1) 116

This marks a pivotal moment in online communities and trust. It's not only a mark of the erosion of trust — it's an evolution in what it means to critically evaluate an argument and its source. Identify verification depends on three key parts:
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I was far too early on the reddit train and left after the APIs were locked down. I acknowledge that it's a hard problem, but I came to wonder if it's a problem that we need solved. Maybe we just need a lot of smaller communities that take a slightly higher barrier of entry. (I acknowledge the irony of saying this on /.)

Comment The analysis is flawed. (Score 1) 52

I read it yesterday, and the biggest miss is that it makes an unfounded assertion that the human processes and loops can change that quickly. Secondarily, it makes the assertion that the ecosystem can be secured in one year, or that people will just stop caring that they could lose all their money at the drop of a hat. (And somehow crypto will be able to scale in a way it couldn't over the last decade.)

We are still in a ten year process of continually exposing bottlenecks with a large group of bad actors ready to take advantage of any gaps. All it takes is for a deca-millionaire to lose a significant chunk of their money due to an AI mistake for everyone to panic and set everything back.

Comment Has the EU stopped all corporate "creativity?" (Score 2) 98

I'll admit - I don't understand how companies haven't gone cat and mouse with this. For example, if a company wants to create a speculative product, couldn't they just fund a "contracting company" that hires people? If the bet is successful, the parent company buys out the "contracting company" - otherwise, they stop paying the other company and it just goes bankrupt.

I think it's basically "tactical insolvency."

Comment Re:Yeah well they're shit (Score 2) 40

This isn't about turbotax. We are not going to have 100 million people create a tool to do their taxes. Heck, I have the knowledge (and my previous taxes as base) to do my own taxes, but I don't. Why? Because I can't e-file on my own, and I can't be bothered to print something out and wait forever for a refund. (RIP IRS Direct File)

It might be about Quickbooks. However, I think it's more likely to see people build QBO alternatives and the market flooded with vertical-specific competitors than everyone making their own. As Nate Jones says, The cost of software might be going to zero, but the cost of attention is high as ever, and trying to create custom accounting software for a small business is not a good use of attention unless you're already an accountant. (and maybe, not even then.)

I don't even think it makes sense for large companies - even if you can replace SAP or Workday with your own custom software and have it be cheaper to maintain the four developers that do everything for you, it's a bad use of your corporate attention in all but unique cases. Otherwise, everyone would already be using Odoo.

Comment Re:Get better marketing. (Score 2) 31

That's fine. And Tailwind never gets updated again, and you have to go find another solution and other companies have to migrate off.

Tailwind generates an enormous value and cannot pay their employees to maintain that value. That's a problem. It's not like tailwind is 200 employees, either.

We need to have a better model for OSS that has product companies shouldering their fair share.

Comment Re:I Don't Understand The Story's Intent (Score 2) 60

I think they're trying to say that the GPUs will depreciate more quickly than expected and thus the expectations of their return on investment (on which the loans financing the GPU purchases) depend on will leave all of these major companies heavily in debt without revenue generation on the assets to justify their purchase in later years.

Conceivably, this could lead to bankruptcies and a chain of failures from companies like google and amazon, with a massive drop in stock value and a "too big to fail" problem for the US government again.

(This is me trying to explain the argument, not saying I agree or disagree.)

Comment Re:They aren't there for the 90% (Score 1) 155

It depends.

If someone is in active recovery, they may exactly know what they can handle at that point. For example, someone who had sexual abuse in their history knows they don't need to see someone else's depiction. That's not going to help them face and overcome it and will more likely set them back for the day. If they're going into an R rated movie, the trigger warning is right there in the rating system. That's not the case for all media.

Or, it might be that on some days they can handle it, and some days they can't. I don't always want to hear about religious trauma because I already have that T-shirt, but on other days and in other contexts I might be curious.

I appreciate trigger warnings though I don't need them anymore.

Comment Re:Come on - a 4.5 is nothing (Score 3, Informative) 65

Let's do some back-of-the-envelope calculations. Based on http://earthquaketrack.com/bd-... (linked from TFA), I count five quakes in the last 3 years that are moderately close. (I'm counting the red, blue, and pink markers to the left, and orange and brown a little to the east; the latter are a bit questionable.) All of them are in the 4s in magnitude.

As a rough estimation (admittedly one that will probably diverge exponentially in any error), if you increase the magnitude 1 level, you decrease the frequency by a factor of ten. So five 4s in 3 years means you'd expect one in the 5s every 6 years or so, and in the 6s every 60.

Now, a moderate 6 quake is at the point where you have to explicitly build to resist earthquakes. So from this (very, on a number of axes) rough guess, it seems like they definitely need to consider the possibility... but it's also not something that is likely to present a huge challenge or anything.

Comment Re:For us dummies.... (Score 1) 382

Size and layout-wise they are closer to resembling the cellphone store in the mall below my office than a car dealership.

Out of curiosity, do they at least have a car or two you can test drive? Since there are only a couple models it wouldn't exactly take up much space, but I also can't imagine buying a car (especially an almost-six-figure car) without trying it out.

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