Comment Re:I look forward (Score 1) 153
Project much?
Project much?
Yes, I think I would say that at this point. Even if you are trading on inside information, it's probably BS.
Partial concurrence, but slightly deeper if you consider that they have their own Chinese AI systems that we don't have access to. Seems pretty likely they wanted to compare the results--but the Chinese are also glad to know more about how their usage of non-Chinese systems are being tracked.
I'm not saying they are being nice about this (or anything), but they are probably mostly amused by the public blabbering. It might have been more clever to keep that part under a hat, or even try to feed them poisoned results to see how much they would swallow.
My own feelings are mixed. I think science is mostly good, but science is another one of those morally neutral tools that can be used for good or bad purposes. Now the Chinese government would insist their purposes are mostly good and we could spend a long time debating that topic. (I actually expected to see the comments start off on such a note, and probably with overtly racist overtones that would not assist "scientific" discourse.)
What does a guy have to do to get a Funny mod around here? Okay, so now I'll go serious and it will probably get Funny.
Just read Equality by Sandel and Piketty and about to finish Die with Zero by Bill Perkins. Both can be filed as economic philosophy. So my new idea is to get the daily sales of each book. Or use the library circulation figures. You can use a 12-hour lag time, or yesterday's numbers against the next day's stock prices, or whatever leads to the best correlation. Whatever. This is what supercomputers with AI are for! Match the data against the stock prices to find the two closest matching companies with the highest correlations.
Step 1. Invest on the data that would have predicted the future most precisely.
Step 2. Make GIGANTIC profits.
Step 3. Retire?
Here's my reality:
1) AI is not 100% accurate.
2) AI supplanting human thinking is a process known as Cognitive Offloading, which significantly harms learning.
3) NAEP scores have been steadily decreasing since around 2010, which research has shown has been due to the integration of digital technology inside the classroom.
Fuck our corporate overlords. They want to destroy our public schools. Don't let them drive the proverbial nail into the coffin.
Someone is assuming there is causation in stock prices. Just a matter of opinion without any causal connection to reality these days.
The original premise of the stock market made a certain amount of sense. So perhaps we should correlate stock market changes against historical fiction.
Go through all the genres until we find the one with the highest correlation!
for ruining this country for decades to come.
Going for funny, but I bet no one laughs: And I guess I have to quote you against the censor trolls and to make the context of the attempted joke visible.
"Credit where credit is due, but the YOB has no credit, which is why he went into crypto-currency."
Better the money you can't understand than no money at all!
Getting away from the attempts at Funny, but there are at least three heavy aspects, though I can only address two of them without making myself into a target for the usual ad hominem morons. [recursive joke]
First heavy aspect is related to your focus on "this administration". I think the problem goes back much farther than the YOB, but historians (if there be any) will be arguing for a long time about exactly what the Rubicon looked like and when it was crossed. Even worse than that, I think the YOB has opened up the path for even worse "leaders" in the future, even if there isn't anything much worth leading left of America. I think the destruction of public education will be a crucial factor, and that took decades.
Second heavy aspect involves timing. Or perhaps I should just say "time" in general? The YOB's entire life story has been a matter of keeping ahead of the time of bearing responsibility for his previous mistakes. Latest example in the tariff debacle and temper tantrum. (Just like an angry baby.) The promise AKA threat of sweeping tariffs is still in the first act, and that's already lasted over a year. I even think the YOB is playing timing games with his health and predict a few days of relative peace and quiet while he recovers from the load of drugs he used for the SOTU. (Did you know that most of the presidents never made a SOTU speech? After Jefferson (#3) said the idea was too monarchical and just sent a SOTU note to Congress, there were no SOTU speeches until Wilson (#28).)
Me? Mostly just saddens me to have lived so long. Perhaps even too long. Some things I'd rather not see. I know nothing lasts forever but I feel no consolation in "But the US had a good run."
Oh yeah. I suppose I better clarify YOB again. I prefer to avoid the brand, so I've settled on YUGE Orange Buffoon = YOB for most references.
Went straight for the Funny and only found this low-hanging joke and a related "Funny" picture that doesn't strike me as Funny based on the visible context...
So what kind of Funny should I have been looking for? What are the searchable keywords I should be fishing for in this large and active discussion? I'm having a hard time thinking of any funny angles on the topic. Perhaps because I take the matter too seriously? Or the story is hitting too close to home?
Or I just don't want to say anything that would make me a target of surveillance? I think America has reached the point where saying "Don't bother watching me, I'm mostly harmless" might be sufficient to trigger adding another volume to your FBI file as a suspicious citizen. Or worse. Hain't heard much about the CIA and NSA lately and about what sorts of "modern and comprehensive" AI-emhanced files they are keeping on "excessively international" Americans.
"Show me as a man and they can find the crimes", without apologies to Beria. Or the crooked judges and so-called "Justices" can manufacture a fresh crime on demand. I'm sure they won't let me plead innocent, but could I plead "Historian".
Hey, I didn't mean anything by it, whatever I did or said. I'm not even a good historian. I think the good ones, the "pure" historians are like pure mathematicians. They are just interested in the truth of what happened without any concern for applications in any real world. Especially not the real world of the present where people are still living. (For now.) I'm just one of those nasty "applied" (and amateur) historians who is interested in the patterns that (apparently) caused the present world to be the way it is. Or even worse, who might be interested in patterns that apply into the future...
(The parenthetical "apparently" because most of the time we're at least partly wrong about the causes. In fiction, everything is causally linked, even when it's impossible. Real life ain't like that. Most of real life is just noise without meaning. No signal there.)
If you really feel you need a child, why not adopt a child instead of this procedure whereby you made yet another human?
Quoted against the censor trolls because I can't figure out what they are upset about?
However the "alternative solution" joke I was looking for would have been the cloning approach. Basically on the circumstantial evidence, I'm convinced there are some human clones out there. Yeah, I know it's illegal, but the people who want to clone themselves didn't get so stinking rich and powerful by worrying too much about what the laws say. What's breaking a few more laws between rich friends?
So going for Funny: I want to bet on the clone of John Henry. (Not really. I'm not into gambling for cash.)
Any excuse for an (unwanted) book review? Currently about halfway through Microsoft Secrets by Cusamano and Selby. Or I just like to think about books too much?
Though the book is kind of old, it provides an interesting perspective on project management and how Microsoft got to where it is today. They aren't talking about monopoly in economic terms, but there is a lot of stuff about how to crush competitors leading to monopolies in each niche. I think one of the most interesting aspects so far is how they were breaking away from productivity metrics while at the same time trying to minimize the changes and new functions to keep things on the fuzzy schedule. Extra programmers might seem like a waste as the per programmer productivity declines, but if you're going to sell enough copies of the software, then that cost gets blurred into a rounding error. (However it also reminds me of how Intel failed even though they seemed to have an insuperable advantage in production volume that effectively masked their research costs...)
However mostly I've lost track of Microsoft Japan. I used to fairly often eat in a restaurant in the same building as their Japanese headquarters, but that branch of the restaurant is gone now and I don't even know where Microsoft moved to... When the story was mentioned in the Japanese news I'm pretty sure they mentioned Shibuya as the site of the raid.
Okay, if I ever had a mod point to bestow I'd give you the Funny you seem to be seeking--even though I didn't get the Funny I was going for. I'm still trying to figure out what part of my comment was supposed to have been insightful...
However I mangled the main joke. It should have been something like "Don't Upset My Baby" = DUMB for the new hats.
Concurrence, but the basic situation is that every organization and company tends to wrap itself around it's primary income sources. That's why I think a "real" charity model focused on just recovering the costs might help.
For a while, anyway. The gamesters always find new ways to break the rules of every game. Progressive taxation was another interesting example of a change that had some positive results for a while... (Reacting to a economic philosophy book.) I remember seeing a t-shirt that said "Time heals everything". But now I feel like the proper response is "Time kills everything" and homo sapiens seems to be running out of time...
Can't tell if you're joking, but there is a way to do it. At least I have a theory of a solution.
What if you could donate specifically for a change you wanted? If enough people agreed with you, then they'd collect the money and make the change. If too few people agreed with the change, then it would never happen.
As it applies to this story, Firefox wouldn't be in the position of trying to limit and undo the impact of a change that would never have gotten enough support to be implemented in the first place. (I want to say "should never", but maybe there are enough AI fanatics out there...) These days too many changes seem more like threats than improvements. I like learning new stuff, but mostly feel like I am wasting time when I have to constantly relearn how to use my tools rather than just using them...
Actually, I think the above simplification has a problem. It would be better to collect the donated money up front and then let the donors direct how it gets spent, but now we're into CSB (Charity Share Brokerage) territory and I'm confident no one wants me to flog that dead horse again. But fresh thoughts about how the CSB could handle security insurance as another category of project...
Mod FP GP funny and parent too cynical and too true to be funny anymore. If only Slashdot properly allowed for compound moderation with some extra dimensions...
However my main reaction was to the "angry baby" aspect of the story. That's how it sounds to me, but at least Hegseth isn't taking it out on his wife this time. (Let's drink to that?) Threats and temper tantrums are just how the American government works these days. The toddler-in-chief has truly reshaped the country, though I don't remember that promise from his "conservative" campaigns. The hats should say "Don't Upset Me Before..." with the obvious acronym "DUMB".
Doubt is a pain too lonely to know that faith is his twin brother. - Kahlil Gibran