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Comment Re:AI agents replacing "software services”? (Score 2) 61

I think it is becoming more and more obvious that LLMs are just another, relatively small improvement of things. Like happened with all the other AI hypes before. Useful? Yes. Complete game-changer? No. And it is not only that running these models is far too expensive and that is several years in.

It is funny how you have had to move the goalposts all the time in your trolling against AI. At least you are now admitting that LLMs are useful, which was hard for you earlier.

Comment Re:Really? (Score 1) 183

(One also needs to realize the scale and size of the US - the complete European continent is about 10% larger by area than the US - and I'm sure your systems don't work seamlessly from the UK through Russia and Turkieye and the Stans.

Stans are not part of the Europe, but for the other countries, money transfers with IBAN should work just fine across borders. The system covers 89 countries, as of now.

Comment Re:US bank account (Score 1) 183

The way most US online bill pay systems work is that they put both mechanisms (electronic and mail-a-check) behind the same user interface. You tell them who you want to pay, they look it up in their database. If it's someone they've got electronic info for then they just ask for the account number and it goes through that way.

How would they identify the recipient based on the name alone? There must be multiple John Does (or whichever name you come up with) in the US? The way this is done in the rest of the world is that you use the recipients bank account number directly. And with IBAN as the standard, it can be applied worldwide, across any and all financial institutions, so I do not understand what is this other "electronic info" that you are referring to.

Oh wait, the U.S. is not one of the 89 developed countries using this system....

Comment Re:Really? (Score 1) 183

I haven't seen a cheque in 35 years. Our banks don't accept them as a form of payment, just as we can longer take a horse and cart to the mall.

I love how you assume your entire country must work the way YOU do. You assume that because YOU haven't written a cheque that banks must not accept them.

Newsflash. He/she may not be from the same country as you. The situation described in the post IS the reality in most of the developed countries.

Read e.g. about Finland here: https://www.expat-finland.com/...
"Top Tip: Forget about using cheques / checks in Finland! Checks have not been in use for over 25 years."

Comment Re:They can only self-improve if they are capable (Score 1) 216

Now, if you apply a Transformer to the task of language prediction it is, at scale, highly capable, but at the end of the day it is just a mashup-generator recombining language patterns it was trained on into "novel" outputs.

What strikes me odd and surprising is that LLMs actually seem to use written language as an "inner voice" for their thinking. As they do not have that internal ability for thiking processes (as you described) they need to output their "thoughts" and continue reasoning from there. When using Agentic AI for development, this pattern is clear, especially when the AI is trying to debug an error.

Comment Re: They can only self-improve if they are capable (Score 1) 216

Yeah, exactly. I've never heard of anyone shooting up their AI lab. Which tells me they don't believe their AI is at all likely to wipe us all out.

Unless, of course, they work for the military and are convinced that they need their AI to combat against 's AI capabilities. We already have that on drone level, and it will expand further.

And to put it more generally, a single research might think that their actions will not matter that much. Someone else will do it anyway. In a not so dissimilar way how we, on a personal level, avoid combating climate change, as "it wouldn't make a difference anyway".

Comment Re: And replace them with what? (Score 1) 95

As you said, Linux distros and Postgres both heavily rely on US code. Even Linus has been a US citizen for over a decade now.

Yes, Linus also has US citizenship, but I believe it is just for helping with practical matters (and to not be considered an immigrant to be deported), as he is living over there. But he still has Finnish citizenship as well, and also identifies himself that way as well, as evidenced e.g. here

Comment The obvious is missing from this conversation (Score 1) 41

Why is everybody only focusing on California? They have at least some sense in their legislation, so they are fine. What everybody should be screaming now about is the rest of the country - 49 states, where GM surely followed the same practice but does not receive even a slap on the wrist.

Comment Re:Meanwhile in Ukraine... (Score 1) 54

Maybe they should start talking to Reza Pahlavi and working out, say, a canal from the Caspian Sea to the Gulf of Oman, so that Russian shipping can get to the Indian ocean and trade w/ whichever trading partners they have - India, South Africa, anybody. Iran can benefit from such a canal just like the Egyptians and Panamanians do w/ their canals, and it can help jumpstart the Iranian economy

Now THAT would be an undertaking, looking at the topographic map of Iran....

Comment Re:I'll post it again for what few people will per (Score 1) 150

All technological revolutions have an S-curve structure. They eventually peak in value and diminish...

I believe you completely misinterpret that curve. The peak shown in the right hand graph is not for value, it is for the rate of growth (i.e. change). As the left hand graph shows, the value will stay there, just the rate of change will slow down.

And we are nowhere near the inflection point, is is still early days, i.e. good entry point.

Comment Re:So much conflict (Score 1) 150

One second we have reports that it makes people less productive, next second they're more productive.

Actually the speed of development IS that fast. Just 5 months ago Agentic AI coding wasn't there yet. Then came Claude Code, Sonnet and Opus, Skilling and Agents and things have changed. And remember, this is not the peak, we only have scratched the surface. It will become more skilled, cheaper, faster, easier to use. Just try now Opencode and Big Pickle model, there's a free tier (mind security implications though with those free models). You'll be surprised.

Comment Re:Sounds like securities fraud to me (Score 5, Insightful) 127

There's a word for this: extortion. The military has decided that if they cannot use Anthropic's technology in any way they please, that they will just ban all government use, in an attempt to force the company to violate their principles. Here's hoping Anthropic shows them that the real world doesn't work that way by spanking them with a volley of lawsuits that will keep government lawyers employed for the next decade.

Yes, this is extortion, and I think Pentagon has shot themselves in the foot with this. Other companies will now think twice before doing any business with Pentagon. Sure, they might get a few extra bucks from a DoD deal, but they also risk losing many times that, if/when Pentagon uses this extortion tactic again.

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