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Comment Re:Meanwhile in Ukraine... (Score 1) 51

Maybe they should start talking to Reza Pahlavi and working out, say, a canal from the Caspian Sea to the Gulf of Oman, so that Russian shipping can get to the Indian ocean and trade w/ whichever trading partners they have - India, South Africa, anybody. Iran can benefit from such a canal just like the Egyptians and Panamanians do w/ their canals, and it can help jumpstart the Iranian economy

Now THAT would be an undertaking, looking at the topographic map of Iran....

Comment Re:I'll post it again for what few people will per (Score 1) 150

All technological revolutions have an S-curve structure. They eventually peak in value and diminish...

I believe you completely misinterpret that curve. The peak shown in the right hand graph is not for value, it is for the rate of growth (i.e. change). As the left hand graph shows, the value will stay there, just the rate of change will slow down.

And we are nowhere near the inflection point, is is still early days, i.e. good entry point.

Comment Re:So much conflict (Score 1) 150

One second we have reports that it makes people less productive, next second they're more productive.

Actually the speed of development IS that fast. Just 5 months ago Agentic AI coding wasn't there yet. Then came Claude Code, Sonnet and Opus, Skilling and Agents and things have changed. And remember, this is not the peak, we only have scratched the surface. It will become more skilled, cheaper, faster, easier to use. Just try now Opencode and Big Pickle model, there's a free tier (mind security implications though with those free models). You'll be surprised.

Comment Re:Sounds like securities fraud to me (Score 5, Insightful) 127

There's a word for this: extortion. The military has decided that if they cannot use Anthropic's technology in any way they please, that they will just ban all government use, in an attempt to force the company to violate their principles. Here's hoping Anthropic shows them that the real world doesn't work that way by spanking them with a volley of lawsuits that will keep government lawyers employed for the next decade.

Yes, this is extortion, and I think Pentagon has shot themselves in the foot with this. Other companies will now think twice before doing any business with Pentagon. Sure, they might get a few extra bucks from a DoD deal, but they also risk losing many times that, if/when Pentagon uses this extortion tactic again.

Comment Re:Please, no (Score 3, Insightful) 33

The vast majority of astrophysicists think dark matter exists because of multiple lines of observational evidence, some of which are listed at https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dark_matter#Observational_evidence

Sure, it's weird, but nature doesn't owe us anything.

Dark matter is not the problem. It is easy to imagine stuff which is not luminous, but still affecting galaxies. Dark Energy is the problem, invented to explain Supernova redshifts. I hope they get rid of it with this new evidence, forcing to rethink.

Comment Re:Where does innovation come from? (Score 1) 106

A LLM can only give answers based on what it was trained on i.e. the past. I creates nothing new, instead it rapidly pulls together solutions from existing knowledge.

AI has learned the language from those code examples and repositories. What it does with the language is often (not always, mind you) original.

LLMs have learned English (and other languages) from vast amounts of written text. It is easy to use LLMs to create work that is original (say, prompt it to create a poem in Shakespearean style about AI utilizing tennis racket to paint a house - or whatever). Similarly with software development, AI has learned the syntax and coding styles for different programming languages, and utilizes that information to create original code.

Comment Re:AI coding (Score 2) 106

Being the AI is just using code scraped from public sources, including public GitHub, GitLab etc.. repositories. How are any Copyright licenses being handled I wonder.

Stop right there, this basic premise is false. AI has learned the language from those code examples and repositories. What it does with the language is often (not always, mind you) original.

LLMs have learned english (and other languages) syntax from examples, it is easy to use them to create work that is original (say, prompt it to create a poem in Shakespearean style about AI utilizing tennis racket to paint a house - or whatever). Similarly, AI has learned the syntax and coding styles for different PROGRAMMING languages, and can utilize that information to create original code. The syntax of the programming language is not copyrighted.

Comment Re:Too Late (Score 1) 38

t it won't materially change the system except improve the quality of ads by verifying your identity.

I don't think it will affect the QUALITY of the ads themselves. It just makes the ad space easier to sell for Facebook and cheaper for marketing people to target the group that they want to part with their money.

Comment Re:how are AI images created? (Score 1) 46

LLM's rely upon previous use of language. Words can have multiple meanings of course but we have context to sort it out. But images? what is the basic unit of it? How does the AI recombine these image sub-components to something new? anybody know?

There are a lot of scientific papers written about the research done by these companies. See e.g. here: https://openai.com/research/in...

Comment Re:Should all gas stations have an array of these? (Score 2) 122

The energy would really have to be free for this process to make economic sense.

In many markets (not just neighborhoods), there is nowadays so much wind power on a windy day, electricity IS free. That's why they are coming up with ideas, how to use that cheap energy.

The solution presented in TFA converts Hydrogen to Methanol and that is converted to gasoline. It is wiser to build the infrastructure to use that hydrogen directly. In fact, they already are doing exactly that, here in Finland at least: https://gasgrid.fi/en/developm... And not just in Finland, but extending to Baltics and other Nordic countries as well.

Comment Re:Hahahaha, no (Score 1) 82

There are two contexts here.

In one, if there's a test that the system can use on the results, it should work quite well.

In the other, if there's no test the system can use to validly evaluate the results, you will probably amplify garbage.

Exactly. And in the case presented in TFS, the system created python programs to solve problems. And it would run those programs to see, which ones worked. And used this information to improve itself.

Comment Re:Hahahaha, no (Score 2) 82

That one is called "overfitting". All it does is amplify GIGO.

If you set aside your hate for anything LLM-related, could you please explain, why this amplifies GIGO? I understood there is a clear reward-function, which should steer it towards the working solution.

In a not so dissimilar way, AlphaGo played against itself millions of games, learning along the way the winning strategies, eventually beating humans. It it worked for those kind of neural networks, why wouldn't it work with LLMs?

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