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Comment Re:I've hired Gen Zers, and I am not impressed. (Score 1) 82

I beg to diff. 25 years ago when I started in the work force, you didn't call out sick without a doctors note

You do see how that was abusive 25 years ago, and how it's unrealistic now since you can't get an appointment before next month. You shouldn't have to go to the ER to get a note when you've got a migraine.

My employer recognizes that sometimes you just need a mental health day, and you can call in "just can't do it today". This helps immensely with retention. This was always a good idea, people always needed this, and only now is it being generally recognized.

Comment Re: Cry me a river. (Score 1) 87

Best guess is that in five years, self-driving hardware will add about $15k to the price of the vehicle if they use LiDAR, or $6k if they don't.

Best guess is that in five years we still won't have level 5 autonomy you can trust. I don't mind being wrong, but I don't think I will be. I certainly don't think it's viable for that kind of money and also achieving the kind of safety I think we should be demanding. Not just "better than human" but essentially infallible. The car can have sensors we don't have, it should be able to be a lot better.

There's no good reason you'd replace a working tractor unit when you can just swap out the steering rack, bolt on cameras, and add some electronics

I think 20k is an optimistic price point, especially if you're hoping that it's going to deflect liability.

Comment Re:Seems healthy. (Score 1) 25

I can see the argument that Nvidia has no obvious advantage in LLMs that would make them want to set up their own operation; it's basically everything else about the situation that would make me jumpy if I had bet on Nvidia.

"Investing $100 billion in OpenAI's spend $100 billion on Nvidia stuff initiative" sounds, at worst, like a slightly more legal version of the trick where you shuffle stock around between business units or stuff the channel and book that as sales because you suspect that your real sales numbers will disappoint; and, even if it's not quite that dire, Nvidia being willing to get paid in faith rather than in other people's money (or shift the stock to one of their customers that actually has money) looks very much like an indirect price cut, which gives the impression that either demand is outright softening, and Nvidia has units that it can't simply immediately shift to customers who are actually paying cash right now; or that Nvidia feels the need to help fill the gap between OpenAI's seemingly unlimited appetite for doubling-down money and the, sooner or later, limited supply of VC nose candy.

That said, it's not entirely novel; Nvidia's current holdings are something like 90% Coreweave(under 10% of Coreweave's total shares; but Coreweave shares are the bulk of other-company shares Nvidia holds); and they have an agreement with them obliging them to purchase any unused capacity through 2032; so they've been expressing confidence in AI-related companies and/or trying to keep the music going by paying some of their more fragile customers' bills even before this.

It could be that Nvidia isn't even trying to diversify; but the history of bad things happening when people underestimate correlated risks also doesn't make me feel great about the situation: Obviously it's going to be a bad day at Nvidia if 'AI' cools; stock price will take a hit and they will be left holding at least some inventory and TSMC and other vendor commitments; but it's going to be a worse day the more of their hardware they sold in exchange for stock in 'AI' Nvidia buyers, rather than in exchange for money, since the fortunes of those companies are going to be fairly closely correlated with Nvidia's own, albeit likely to swing harder and have further to fall.

Comment Re: Cry me a river. (Score 2) 87

Seriously dudeæ Ãoeruling classÃ. ThatÃ(TM)s a bit much.

No need to be in denial, friend. That's literally how capitalism works. Did you think either "control" or "the means of production" was hyperbole?

CAD did didnÃ(TM)t eliminate architects and engineers

It all but eliminated draftsmen, the drawing is done by the architects and engineers in the CAD software. The draftsmen mostly didn't become architects and engineers. Now take into account that everything becomes more complicated over time and yet also changes faster, and you can see where the problems are. Humans cannot keep up.

Comment Re:I've hired Gen Zers, and I am not impressed. (Score 3, Interesting) 82

I suspect they were all correct. Most people have to experience life for a while before they learn the value of doing things in a way proven to be effective. The only thing they were wrong about is that the current youth were much more annoying than the youth of when they were a youth. They might even be right that they were different, and in denial about the value of their experience.

Comment Re: "It might be tempting to blame technology... (Score 1) 82

When your employer tells you something needs to be done

On one hand, you're right. You are absolutely describing the dominant paradigm. This is reality for most humans, and has been for most of history.

On the other hand, that's shit. If we continue to accept that, then that's what we will continue to have.

On the gripping hand, allowing the dickheads at the top of the ziggurat to eat all of our resources is unsustainable, so it won't continue indefinitely. At some point the whole thing collapses and goes full cannibal. And all we have to change to get there is nothing, so if you're tired of this, just wait!

Comment Re: For now (Score 1) 98

"Politization" means that people try to answer 3) with "someone else than me" by either claiming question 1) does not exist at all, or answer 2) depending on their political affiliation, completely ignoring 3).

A lot of that shit is just excuses. Some people really do believe that stuff, most of the people who matter don't. And they know everyone would have to pay for it, which is why they don't want to do anything about it. If they could all get rich solving AGW then they would do that. It's only about being in charge. They are stupid enough to think that they can ride the top of the flaming empire down and wind up standing on the ground.

I don't think it can be overstated just how dull the people in charge are. They cannot even conceive of them being affected significantly by anything until it is happening to them.

Comment Re: Cry me a river. (Score 1) 87

Do you expect autonomous vehicle to have robot drivers that can deliver your pizza to your door?

Yes.

If fat-asses need to walk down to the street and get their pizza out of a car, they are going to start wondering why they don't just go out a get their own pizza for a fraction of the cost.

No, they aren't. Going to a delivery vehicle is dramatically less work than going to a pizza place, in every sense of the word.

Comment Re: Cry me a river. (Score 1) 87

"Most taxi drivers and many truck drivers own their own rigs, and although they may eventually replace themselves with robot rigs, they would continue to earn the revenue after doing so. They certainly have no incentive to fire themselves."

They won't be able to afford to replace themselves and will be outcompeted by a company that can afford a fleet.

Comment Re: The Rush? (Score 1) 47

People have different experiences and different infections are also different. I've had it at least three times (once before there was available testing but I had textbook symptoms, twice more confirmed by tests) and while the first time kicked my ass, the second time was not too bad and the third time I wouldn't have known it was COVID without a test, it was so mild.

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