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Comment Re: What's the installed price? (Score 1) 175

TOU is great if you have infrastructure like this because you can chronologically shift your usage.

GP is a fucking moron who has not a damn clue just how EVs consume energy while trying to lecture others about it. At the very least he could do his research before running his mouth and making this bad of a gaffe.

Just to give you an idea, a typical household has a theoretical maximum peak power draw of 48kW, possibly 72kW if you have a really big house and an appropriate panel.

My 2023 MYP battery has a theoretical peak power output of 370,000kW. That's 1,000 amps at 370 volts. If I floor it from 0-60 in the 3.5s (actually lower than that because of my aftermarket wheels) it'll get pretty damn close to that figure. That's how these cars demolish v8's. If I'm cruising at 60mph on the highway with the AC and stereo on, napkin math says I'd be consistently using about 18kW for up to hours on end. In other words, the battery does that very comfortably. In city traffic, the battery takes even more abuse, and a lot less predictably.

For comparison in a household, your dryer can draw no more than 6.6kWh at any moment and your AC right around 8kW. And it's rare that they'll do that at any given moment -- if this is happening at once, this is basically your house flooring it. Together, they typically draw a combined 8kW steady state. Everything else is basically de-minimus unless you have a pool filter or something.

Having said all of that, GP has it in his head that powering a house with an EV makes a meaningful difference on battery endurance. Why? Who the fuck knows. This has even been studied, and we're talking usually less than a mile of range per year. Either way, simple calendar aging has a much bigger impact, and this wouldn't mean the difference between your battery outliving the useful life of the rest of your car, and no EV companies will void your battery warranty over it.

So if you have a TOU plan and an EV setup that supports it, and your car is at home during peak periods, this is a win.

Comment Re:Skeptical that this always presents itself quic (Score 1) 69

Then it ceases being wear-out.

Six of one, half dozen the other.

By all accounts this isn't the case here as people either experience rapid early failure or have no issue at all.

This hasn't been around long enough to say one way or the other. Some it happened the first time they closed it, some it took a few. That batch could have simply exhibited the problem much earlier. If was that big of a difference to matter, and this is just a one-off, then their QC must have been asleep at the wheel to not notice a big variance like that.

The "you're bending it wrong" isn't a statistical failure mode. It's a design defect that showed a device was not intended for use in a specific circumstance. It doesn't even qualify as a fatigue failure (constantly increasing failure rate).

I had an iphone 6, issued by my work at the time. It bent by simply keeping it in my front pocket, at a time when I wore loose fitting jeans, where most were experiencing that by having it in their back pocket. That is a failure marked by doing a 3 point bend test instead of a 4 point bend test, which had already been long-established for anything with non-uniform strength or density. After the first few returns, apple said "not a design defect, this is normal wear". Umm...ok... That phone was also infamous for battery failures. The same battery failures that they applied the infamous throttling patch for. The same battery failure that ultimately ended my particular phone, even though the problem started while the phone was still relatively new, and resulted in a bulging battery causing it to bend outwards, warping the outer bezel before apple said "ok, we'll replace your battery for a nominal fee" after the phone was already well past what materials scientists would refer to as its yield point.

Only phone I've ever had with any of these problems, and I carried a Nexus 5 in my pocket along with that phone, which was my personal phone. That Nexus 5 didn't bend, in fact it was helping that iphone last longer than it would have otherwise.

Comment Re:Strange bedfellows (Score 1) 50

That's not how mormons work. I'm an atheist raised in a mostly mormon community. You're made by apple, they're made by the book of mormon. Entirely different worlds. You are the scientology to their islam. Prophet has a new revelation, they get a new commandment. The revelation can be anything the prophet decides it is, even if it's incredibly stupid, like magic underwear. You drink coffee only if it comes in a container with an apple logo, Mitt Romney only drinks orange juice. If anything, the prophet tells the Utah republican party what to do.

Comment Re: Maybe (Score 3, Interesting) 89

That's accounting rather than finance, and I'm not an accountant either. Writedown is when an asset already on the ledger is worth less or has a lower recoverable value than what is currently recorded. The difference in value gets recorded as an expense. What you're thinking of is a write-off, i.e. zero value, not a write down.

While this wouldn't be an actual write down because it's not an asset on the books, my non-accountant mind treats it as a related concept. Basically, they're predicting future revenues may be lower than they had previously targeted. This is a forward looking statement, and generally where the finance side comes in. This is like when Facebook was predicting higher future revenue based on predicted mobile app usage growth, but then later announced that they hadn't quite figured out yet how to monetize advertising on the mobile app, but they were working on solving that problem. They eventually did and later realized those previously predicted targets. Meanwhile the stock took a pretty big hit.

At least, that's my interpretation.

Comment Re: Maybe (Score 1) 89

No. The fundamentals haven't changed. Same with the Nvidia and SpaceX mentions. The stocks recovered in both cases. Usually the action here is to buy the dip and sell when it gets back to about where it was, but I'm not a finance guy and this is not financial advice.

The legitimate concern here is that this could (and IMO will) result in a long-term write down on assets long before they normally depreciate. And it probably will because these guys have been putting 5 year depreciation schedules on GPUs where it's normally 3 years.

Comment Re: Kiss your retirement goodbye (Score 1) 71

That's a relief, I can retire early then.

You always have been.

I don't recall suggesting this. Perhaps you have me confused with someone else.

I'll quote your domestic partner:

I propose chippity chop when they hit one billion.

I'm not Steve Wozniak. If I had his money, I would have retired earlier. (see above)

What would you even do with money? I've already stumbled across you before -- you're that guy who lives behind the carl's jr dumpster. I almost peed on you last weekend when the diner was closed and there weren't any other bathrooms around. The only place to go was your domicile and I didn't notice you were even there until you rolled over in your sleep. If you did that only a second later, you'd have woken up wondering why you're all wet when it hasn't been raining.

I think a radical leftwing movement would be unstoppable if they followed Mao's playbook. Because Americans have no defense against it.

Our system of checks and balances has so far proven to be pretty resilient. You guys come and go, but after 250 years you've never succeeded at killing millions through either direct executions or starvation, or both, and not for a lack of trying. In fact, you never even make it anywhere close. Which one were you part of, by the way? Were you a weatherman? The family? Or perhaps ALF? Either way, you guys were the most active when the soviets were at their peak.

Comment Re: "On Planet Earth" (Score 1) 152

If you were smart enough to know that filtering doesn't have to be all encompassing we might believe you actually do the things you claim you do for a living.

ICMP exists for a reason: It's useful. All of the header flags are. They have a purpose. They're not just there because somebody just felt like putting them there. They're not inherently insecure. There is no reason why "more people" should do that, unless, like you, they're all just fucking retarded. In fact, it's exceedingly rare there's *any* good reason to. This is me wearing both my cybersecurity engineer hat and my network engineer hat. The primary "good" reason to is counter-surveillance, which you don't even need most of the time, especially if you're already listening on very common service ports, which are far more useful for surveillance than sending an echo request, fiddling with TTL, etc. Especially on public networks, where the better tool is often just a looking glass.

If I'm red-teaming, I can do all of the probing I need without even using ICMP at all. More than likely I won't even reach for ICMP, because not only is it better to just look like normal traffic, ICMP generally tells me nothing about the software stack or the attack surface.

As I've already told you, repeatedly: Stay in poo lane. I'll let you know when there's a clogged toilet that you can drink clear.

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