Submission + - Project estimation & planning: Art or Science?
cyberianpan writes: I've been working some time now in various roles on "IT projects". Some managers seem to buy into the idea that project plans are totally true & not in fact guestimate forecasts. Some developer team leads will handup their sizing estimations with a level of certainty attached as though they were science.
I notice that Google doesn't require detailed project plans, instead monitoring progress at short intervals. In the business world something between a waterfall (eg Prince) or Agile (eg DSDM) is used. However surveys indicate that more than 50% of all projects are considered failures.
Of course at least a clear high level scope can be agreed as concrete but beyond this I'm not sure what can be achieved. Obviously for cost & release schedule reasons some form of planning needs to be done but how real is it? Art or Science ? What's been your experience ?
I notice that Google doesn't require detailed project plans, instead monitoring progress at short intervals. In the business world something between a waterfall (eg Prince) or Agile (eg DSDM) is used. However surveys indicate that more than 50% of all projects are considered failures.
Of course at least a clear high level scope can be agreed as concrete but beyond this I'm not sure what can be achieved. Obviously for cost & release schedule reasons some form of planning needs to be done but how real is it? Art or Science ? What's been your experience ?