I really can't think of any good way to ask ignorant or stupid (or both ignorant and stupid) people to help resolve complicated issues. It's part of my sig. The decision has to be meaningful, not coerced and manipulated by the most clever propagandists.
Exactly. I believe the original Brexit vote will go down in political history as one of the biggest blunders of democracy, because it was insane from every possible angle.
Even if you believe that the average voter has enough understanding of the numerous nuances involved (trade, the Irish border question, how much the Union actually benefits the British economy etc, all which I find highly doubtful because people in general have a very poor understanding of how the Union works) having a vote on the matter when the alternative is unknown is outright moronic. The vote should never have been 'stay or leave' it should have been 'stay or leave with this kind of plan with these kinds of implications'. They should have first worked out which option outside of a Union membership is best for them knowing full-well which kind of options are available (the Norwegian Model, the swiss model and so on) and then put that on the vote if they wanted a vote. Doing it this way ia equivalent to having a vote such as: 'Do you want to lower taxes?" without any details on what the implications are and where the money would be cut from.
But see, the way I look at it as a non-British European is that the purpose of the vote itself was never actually about people making an informed choice. Farage, UKIP and their ilk have been salivating over 'Brexit' as the magical utopia of the future for decades now, so Cameron probably figured in the wake of the successful (from the POV of the government) Scottish independence referendum that now is to time to shut them down for good. By giving them the vote that he thought they'd easily win, he could then essentially say to Farage: 'The people have been heard, and they disagree with you, so STFU and move on." but because it was executed in such a horrible manner, Cameron basically handed the opposition the keys to victory. There's a good movie about the Brexit campaign by the name of 'Brexit: the uncivil war' that focuses on the way the Leave campaign built its marketing: targeted marketing via social media especially and hammering of a couple of key concepts: 'sovereignty', 'take back control', the famous 350 million a week for the NHS, etc. Fancy sounding phrases with no substance that don't really mean anything without an existing Brexit plan, and that are in large parts lies (the NHS claim, even the leave campaign admitted it was a lie) or mutually exclusive (maintaining free trade with the Union requires free movement of goods and people vs. 'border control', not to mention that no side really wants there to be a hard border in Ireland which they entirely skipped). The entire marketing could be summed up as: 'Brexit: have our cake and eat it too, the EU will have no choice but to let us do it because we are mighty rawr!"
It's hard to know for sure, but it looks to me like neither side expected Leave to win. Cameron and his side did a horrible job countering the numerous lies and spin coming from the Leave side, while at the same time it's clear that Farage had no actual plan for them actually winning, because immediately after they won he bailed and left the entire Brexit-process to the hands of his political opponents and shuffled back to (ironically) his duties as a member of the European Parliament. Was it incompetence? Maybe. Was it him thinking he wouldn't win anyway and the campaign would just serve as a way for him to boost his party's popularity? Maybe. Was it a clever plot to destroy his political opposition by creating an idea of Brexit that's basically impossible to achieve and then throw the ticking time bomb to the conservatives and watch them take the damage? Maybe. A little from column A, some from B and C is my guess.
Whatever Farage's true motivations may be, it's clear that the majority of the blame rests with the conservative party, because they called for the vote, they totally failed in the orchestration and their handling of the result has been catastrophic. The optics of the whole thing are a flaming trainwreck, and only the circus being lead by Trump across the Atlantic has saved the conservatives from being the most ridiculed political party in the west.
The second referendum is going to be inevitable, and it's likely that this time Leave will win, because the popularity of Brexit has been constantly declining the longer the process has dragged on, as the British public has slowly started to realized they've been duped by conmen and political spin-artists, and the margins were thin to begin with. My guess is that the Britts will stay in the Union which will not remove the rift that the issue has caused: the leave side will make massive noise about 'not respecting the will of the people' (even if it's the case that the will has changed, people have a right to change their minds) and utilize that to gain more power together with the labor party, and at some point they may even try to have a third or a fourth vote.
This is best summed up by that famous Churchill quote:
The best argument against democracy is a five-minute conversation with the average voter.