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Comment Descriptive entropy (Score 4, Interesting) 106

Consider all the entities [stars, galaxies, or whatnot] in your study as points in 3-space. The descriptive length of the data is the total number of bits that describes the location of all points in your study.

If all points are random and evenly distributed, then the total number of bits required is (number of points)x(number of bits for 1 location).

Suppose you notice a clumping of points. Is this a structure or random variation?

Rework your data description as follows: for any point, use the first bit to determine whether a point is a member of the clump or not, and subsequent bits to complete the description, depending on whether the point is in the clump.

For this description, the total number of bits required is 1x(total number of points) + (number of points in clump)x(number of bits for location relative to clump) + (number of points not in clump)x(number of bits for general location).

If the 2nd description is shorter than the 1st description, then by Occam's razor the second description is more likely correct.

In fact, the number of bits directly tells the probability that the 2nd description is correct: if the 2nd description requires 10 fewer bits (total) than the 1st, then the 2nd description is more likely to be correct by a factor of 1024. Alternately, there is a 1/1024 chance that the 2nd description is *not* the correct description of the data.

If you have lots of data, it's not unusual for a descriptive length to be thousands of bits shorter than the baseline description; meaning, that it's virtually certain that the new description is correct and that the new structure does not arise from random variation.

I haven't seen the data, but I assume that describing all galaxies in the universe using the newly described "clump" as a categorical structure gives a smaller descriptive entropy than describing all galaxies without the extra category of "clump".

Comment Bad meetings? (Score 2) 457

When I was a senior developer, I would have a weekly status meeting with my team. The meeting always started off with basic status reports (what did you do, what are you stuck on, what do you need help with), followed by project updates from other teams (where pertinent) and finally a free topic session to discuss any issue.

Okay, just to be clear.

In your meetings, everyone waits while one person tells his status, then everyone waits while a 2nd person tells his status, and so on.

How is this more efficient than everyone composing a 1-paragraph summary and sending it around in E-mail? How is this more efficient than the boss visiting everyone one-at-a-time, taking notes, and typing up a summary E-mail?

How is a "free topics" meeting with everyone better than "targetted topics" meetings with only the people involved? Aren't impropmtu get-togethers with a couple of people in the bosse's office more effective than big meetings in the conference room?

I'm confused. What about your meetings make them good meetings?

Comment Nuanced subject (Score 1) 247

Sovereign debt isn't the core issue, in that debt is neither good nor bad and has some uses.

What I find objectionable is the blanket pronouncement by economists that "it's not like your family debt" as a way of deflecting analysis and criticism of the US government's situation.

It's disingenuous, and it belies the deep problems with the current US policy.

(To contrast, I think that much of our current debt is the bad kind. Of the rest, economists would be better served by saying "it's for *this* purpose and only for a little while, and then we'll pay it down" or similar. But they don't do that.)

I'm not against sovereign debt properly used.

From your answer, you probably understand the issues. I just wanted to make clear that I object to the blanket statement.

Comment Obvious things to check (Score 4, Informative) 247

...what other obvious things we didn't really bother to check?

Well, let's see here:

Economics:

1) Sovereign debt is not like ordinary debt, so it's OK for the US to have a large deficit
2) A little inflation is good (but we can't tell you what the best value actually is)

Medicine:

1) Depression is a disease, and not a consequence of another disorder (as "fever" is)
2) Depression meds actually work
3) Obesity can be fixed by a) diet, b) exercise, or c) eating less
4) Every medical study that hasn't been replicated at least once

Psychology:

1) Seeing a psychiatrist has more benefit than not seeing one
2) Every study which hasn't been replicated at least once (More info)

Social sciences:

1) Every study which hasn't been replicated at least once

Physics, Chemistry, other "hard" sciences:

Nothing, really. Most everything of note has been replicated and confirmed by independent experimenters.

Science

Submission + - Giant Squid Captured on Video for First Time (discovery.com)

Okian Warrior writes: The Discovery Channel is airing a special later this month showing the first ever video of of a giant squid.

From the announcement:

"With razor-toothed suckers and eyes the size of dinner plates, tales of this creature have been around since ancient times. The Norse legend of the sea monster the Kraken, and the Scylla from Greek mythology, might have derived from the elusive giant squid.

This massive predator has always been shrouded in secrecy, and every attempt to capture a live giant squid on camera in its natural habitat has failed. Until now.

Mankind finally confronts the greatest mystery of the deep as the first-ever footage of a live giant squid in its natural habitat is revealed in Discovery Channel’s Monster Squid: The Giant Is Real, which premieres on Sunday, January 27, 2013 at 10/9c"

Crime

Submission + - Facebook Lands Drunk Driving Teen in Jail

Hugh Pickens writes writes: "The Washington Post reports that 18-year-old Jacob Cox-Brown has been arrested after telling his Facebook network that he had hit a car while driving drunk posting the message: “Drivin drunk ... classsic ;) but to whoever’s vehicle i hit i am sorry. :P” Two of Cox-Brown’s friends saw the message and sent it along to two separate local police officers and after receiving the tip, police went to Cox-Brown’s house and were able to match a vehicle there to one that had hit two others in the early hours of the morning. Police then charged the teen with two counts of failing to perform the duties of a driver. “Astoria Police have an active social media presence,” says a press release from Astoria Police. “It was a private Facebook message to one of our officers that got this case moving, though. When you post ... on Facebook, you have to figure that it is not going to stay private long.” Attorney Bradley Shea says that this is a prime example of social media users being seemingly unaware of the digital footprint they’re leaving with their posts — and the consequences they may face from an update. “You never know who’s watching,” says Shea. “Once you post online, it can be repurposed in ways you never expected.”"

Submission + - Helmet cam goodness: Watch one year`s worth of firefighting (blogspot.ca)

An anonymous reader writes: Scott Ziegler is a firefighter in Highland Park Michigan. He wore a helmet cam and put together this video of 1 year`s worth of fires that he and his brigade fought. It is intense.
Government

Submission + - TSA "secured" MetroDome during Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers Football Game (huffingtonpost.com)

McGruber writes: Travel writer Christopher Elliott touches down with the news (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/christopher-elliott/the-tsa-wants-to-be-every_b_2393332.html ) that the US Transportation Security Agency (TSA) (http://www.facebook.com/pages/TSA-Watch/125283290818367) was spotted standing around (https://twitter.com/i/#!/nathanmhansen/media/slideshow?url=http%3A%2F%2Fyfrog.com%2Fodjd2ybj) outside the recent American football (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_football) match between the National Football League (http://www.nfl.com/) teams the Minnesota Vikings (http://www.vikings.com/) and the Green Bay Packers (http://www.packers.com/).

According to Mr. Elliott, the "TSA goes to NFL games and political conventions and all kinds of places that have little or nothing to do with air travel. It even has a special division called VIPR — an unfortunate acronym for Visible Intermodal Prevention and Response team — that conducts these searches."

Comment Here's some ideas (Score 4, Interesting) 296

If you have a better idea, please elaborate. For some reason completely oblivious to you, preparation against catastrophic events costs money.

Well, then. Let's see what we have here:

1) Reduce the number of aircraft carriers from 10 (+3 under construction) to 5
2) Spend less on military than the rest of the world combined. Reduce the amount by half.
3) Stop waging war in Afghanistan. Pull out of Afghanistan entirely and bring our people home.
4) Stop the war on drugs. Release everyone jailed for non-violent drug-related crime.
5) Stop the war on immigrants. Allow an easy and expensive path to citizenship. (Note: Our population is declining and we need more taxpayers.)
6) Stop the war on tourism. Disband homeland security, allow unencumbered and easy travel within the US. Redirect the TSA money away from worthless scanners and put it towards intelligence.

That's just off the top of my head. Search for "ways the federal government can save money" and get a zillion hits. Google is your friend.

(Ending Saturday delivery of mail would save an est. $1.7 - $3.1 billion alone. How much did you say those satellites cost?)

Comment Talking snakes and rib women (Score 5, Funny) 370

Someone care to do a cultural translation for an european why its okay for kids to play with tanks and guns(both seen in TFA video) yet them seeing naked people is like your kids life is ruined?

Because the universe was created by an all-powerful all-knowing being who came down to us in the form of a cosmic Jewish Zombie who was his own father who can make you live forever if you symbolically eat his flesh and telepathically tell him you accept him as your master.

He can remove an evil force from your soul that is present in humanity because a rib-woman was convinced by a talking snake to eat from a magical tree.

He has defined a category of behaviours which are biologically imperative but which we should not do, lest he judge us unworthy in his eyes and stick us in his personal torture chamber for all eternity.

Showing naked people to children encourages them to have sex in ways which are not permitted, which will get them sent to the eternal torture chamber.

Does this answer your question?

Comment I recommend Toastmasters (Score 4, Interesting) 241

If you have difficulty expressing yourself in front of others for whatever reason (stage fright, for instance) consider joining Toastmasters.

It's a club for people who want to learn to speak in front of an audience. It's got branch clubs all over the world, so there's probably one near you. They meet twice a month (more or less - depending on the club) and have a nominal yearly dues.

After about two years of going you start to "get the hang of it" and become more relaxed and fluent when talking to groups.

If you think you might get a Skype interview and if you have trouble with presentations, you should check them out.

Comment Re:Cruise control (Score 1) 241

Bull. [...] Breaks can apply many times more force to the wheels than the engine.

Incorrect. Source.

I read a more in-depth report of the incident. Mr. Weir phoned the police, who suggested all of the things one would expect: turning off the engine, shifting to neutral, &c.

Mr. Weir was unable to stop the car using the foot brake alone, and only "just barely" managed to stop the car using both the handbrake *and* the foot brake *while* hopped up on adrenaline.

Anyone in worse physical shape than Mr. Weir (a 22-year old male) would have considerable difficulty stopping a vehicle under those circumstances.

Oh, and read the report: he was speeding for 30 minutes and had time to call the police. He didn't inadvertently have his foot on the gas.

This might indeed be bull, but I've got good evidence in support of my statements.

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