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Journal Journal: Verbiage: Correlation does not connote causation 5

I just read a comment: "Correlation does not connote causation." A search found the more common adage uses "imply" instead of "connote". Though, they are somewhat synonymous.

Anyway, that seems wrong. I mean, the whole point is that it does indeed imply causation. That's why we need to remind people that it does not equal causation.

Comment Re:Uniparty in action (Score 4, Interesting) 215

But Assange actively took part in committing the crime. You can't commit a crime and then say, "But I'm a journalist, so it's okay!" The notion that that should be legal leads to absurd places.

I'm of two minds of this.

Yes, Assange participated in encouraging hacking.

On the flip side, Assange was outside of US jurisdiction.

So for the argument for absurdism, should everyone be subject to all laws in other countries?

I really don't want to open up the possibility that someone could run a murder-for-hire scheme from another country with lax laws. But I'd also rather not be extradited for saying something like "GLBT people deserve human rights", even if it's against the law in some countries.

Comment Re:Hey, maybe Stephen Hawking was right! (Score 1) 2

You might have missed my previous post, I agree and want to add that to me it is even a bit more than that.

There is a complex interaction when you see a milk jug full of water hit by a bullet, or see the flow of plasma on the sun twisted by gravity and magnetic fields, or the plasma of the big bang as the expansion of the universe pulls it apart.

But they can be summed up as a expanding force vs a force of cohesion in all of them. Gravity is a force of cohesion on a cosmic scale, but so is magnetism. And at the great inflation, the lingering cosmic filaments of stars and galaxies look very similar to the water spreading from a hit from bullet where the cohesion is from more molecular forces.

If there was a "then a miracle occurs" part of cosmology that still existed, it would be the dark energy that continues to accelerate the expansion of the universe.

But it has one other side effect that isn't spoken of much -- creating clean entropy. How did we go from a homogeneous plasma at the big bang to such different hot/cold regions in the universe? Expansion, which has a similar effect on condensing gasses into liquids and even freezing them into solids. Only in this case some of that condensation ignites and creates the starts, pinpoints of very clean entropy to power whole solar systems. Expansion is what winds the clock of entropy, creating the differentials that then re-mix and make work happen.

So I completely agree, and if you ask me the story of creating entropy differentials for the universe to do work is the "then a miracle occurs" part of the story that still remains.

User Journal

Journal Journal: Genesis as Kindergarten Science, day 3 2

And said God, "lets gather the waters under the heavens into one place, and lets see it dry."
Called God the dry "Earth", and the collection of waters he called "Seas", And saw God "that's good".

Comment Re:Oh gee, I wonder. (Score 2) 40

I could see return to office reducing efficiency.

I currently WFH. Most of the people I work with aren't local. RTO would mean I get to go into a noisy, distracting place to do my work, and that's going to lower productivity. In addition, when WFH, I'm prone to working a little later than usual to finish up a project - I don't have a commute, I don't have to beat traffic, and I don't have to rush home to let the dogs out.

A return to office is going to reduce my efficiency. YMMV.

Comment Re:New Slogan: (Score 1) 179

Then when winter comes it's nice to have a truck to get through snow.

It's nice to have snow tires to get through snow.

Trucks, due to their lack of weight in the back, tend to suck in the snow. Especially 2WD.

I say this as someone who lives in Minnesota.

I do find a truck useful for DIY, but I just keep an old one around for the few times a year that I use it. But if I had to buy a replacement, I'd strongly consider a regular vehicle with a good tow rating and a trailer. Especially with how ridiculously small modern truck boxes tend to get these days.

Comment Re:Responsible, but not for the Specifics (Score 1) 91

No. A government agency that contracts out work to a private company has a duty of oversight. They must make at least a minimal effort to ensure the contract is being executed in a lawful manner. They can't just hand out the work and turn a blind eye to any abuses of the law and only act when they are made painfully aware of violations of the law.

Comment Re:Example (Score 1) 108

I do feel an obligation to condemn one side or the other

There's probably something deeply wired into our brains - a legacy of our time in small bands of primates when we didn't have as many neurons to figure things out. Where we had to simplify everyone to being either with us, or against us.

But the simple case is that there's usually more than two groups. Take the example you gave - the Hamas attack on Israel, and the Israeli government's attack on Gaza. There's far more people involved, even unwillingly.

Social media may amplify the voices that want to separate people into two groups. It may reinforce our beliefs by curating the voices that agree with us. Or by showing us the extremes of the voices that disagree with us. There are millions online, and all it takes is a tiny fraction to give the illusion of a large, homogenous group.

It's different in the real world. Our meatspace social networks have a limited number of people.

I'm not saying all groups are equally good or bad. But what I am saying is that there are many, many groups. Far more than social media would lead us to believe.

And it's harder in the real world to stop seeing people as human beings.

Comment Re:Who cares? (Score 1) 222

Seriously, no human has hearing good enough to even remotely justify this type of effort.

I'd go a step further, and claim that for many things, if you go beyond the typical "good" quality of the day, what you are hearing is not how most people experienced the band. You probably aren't even hearing what the band was focusing on.

It would be like watching a classic tv show from the 1960s on a giant movie screen in high definition. It's not the target for the media, nor how it was intended to be experienced.

Comment Re:What is Harvard good for? (Score 1) 363

A better example of it a society can function with a low average IQ score is the US.

IQ increases by roughly 3 IQ points per decade, and the tests are periodically renormalized so that the "average" IQ is 100.

In 1932, the average IQ in the US is estimated as being less than 80 if we were using the modern scale.

Why IQ has increased over time is up for debate. It may be a healthier population, it may be a more stimulating environment, or it may just be that more people are familiar with taking tests. IMO, it's probably a mix of all these factors.

The gains do seem highest for the low end - there's not been a drastic increase by those with high IQ scores, but there's been a large increase on those on the lower end of the scale.

Similar effects have been observed in other nations, like Denmark and Japan.

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