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Comment Correlation, but Essays, Extracurriculars Worse (Score 1) 84

Yes, there is a correlation between wealth and test scores, but the researchers in the same paper also noted that the remaining parts of the application, from essays to extracurricular activities are even more heavily correlated with wealth. It makes sense when you think about it: with wealth and connections, you and the schools you attend have the resources and connections to enable you to start new clubs, find and get those awesome internships, hire essay coaches, etc. These are much more subjective, so you can more easily buy your way in. The resource threshold to succeed in those areas is much higher than the resources to get proper test prep. Standardized tests, while flawed, are still the most meritocratic aspect. From a Harvard Gazette article:

Dr. David Deming: Also, if you get rid of the SAT, as many colleges have done, what you have left is things that are also related to wealth, probably even more so. Whether you can write a persuasive college essay, whether you can have the kinds of experiences that give you high ratings for extracurricular activities and leadership; those things are incredibly related to wealth.

My worry is that if we get rid of the SAT, you’re getting rid of the only way that a low-income student who’s academically talented has to distinguish themselves. Getting rid of the SAT means those people don’t have the opportunity to be noticed. I don’t think the SAT is perfect, but I think the problem isn’t the test. The problem is everything that happens before the test.

Comment Some good analysis on differences (Score 1) 194

There's some good analysis on differences between the Portuguese and Oregonian approaches. This NYT article for example noted some of the unique differences: for example, Portugal, while ending prison sentences for drug possession, still used a variety of other threats to "encourage" users to quit. Oregon effectively removed any consequences whatsoever. A quote given the firewall:

Drug addiction is an illness, but it is different from many other illnesses in a crucial respect. Most people with diabetes or cancer wish they could make their diseases disappear. Addicts have a more complex relationship with their disease. People with addiction often do not want treatment. They frequently think they have a handle on their drug use. That attitude is at the root of many people’s addictions.

“You need to answer the question: Why would people stop using an incredibly rewarding drug if there is no real consequence at all?” said Keith Humphreys, a drug policy expert at Stanford University.

A crucial part of Portugal’s change in 2000 was its attempt to nudge people to stop using drugs. The country did not simply decriminalize the substances. It also set up new incentives for seeking help: People caught using drugs can be sent to a special commission that tries to get them into free treatment. If drug users do not cooperate or they show serious problems, the commission can impose penalties, such as barring people from taking some jobs or visiting certain locations. It is a carrot-and-stick approach.

Oregon does not have much of a stick... As a result, people continue to use drugs, without an incentive to seek help. The implication here — that law enforcement matters for stopping addiction — might make some liberals uncomfortable. But the evidence strongly suggests that people with addiction often need a push to seek help. By ending the threat of arrest or prison time and not creating anything like Portugal’s commissions, Oregon was left without a push.

The article goes on to say that as Portugal started to cut funding to commissions and treatment, drug use started to grow again.

Comment Already Out in the Open for Years (Score 1) 166

He was to continue testifying in a defamation lawsuit he filed in Federal Court against Boeing - he already did a round of depositions with both Boeing and his own legal team. The actual production issues he blew the whistle has been in the public for five years with coverage by big media including the NY Times and the BBC.

Comment Re:Hypocritical Tech Companies (Score 0) 282

And, is it just me or is it weird as hell that it's the Republicans fighting for free speech today? Free speech used to be a progressive, liberal Democratic topic. It's certainly not just the Republicans that are getting silenced by the tech companies.

Maybe I'm cynical, but it always flips back and forth depending whose side feels they're being disproportionately "silenced". The Republicans are simultaneously fighting for "free speech" on these platforms while at the same time trying to stamp out the grand conspiracy of freeloading Black Mexican transsexual Muslim communists infecting the minds of their children through evil books at their local public library.

Comment Not a Lot of Good Options for SpaceX (Score 1) 1

This is an extreme mess for SpaceX, a weird kind of lose-lose with a lot of risks for their business. I doubt SpaceX knowingly sold these terminals to the Russians because the consequences for their US government business would be so severe, it wouldn't be worth the risk. That said, SpaceX faces a lot of bad choices on how to move forward. You try and cut off communication geographically, and you risk impacting Ukrainian Starlink users as well. Tracking individual terminals, even exported ones would be a huge administrative pain (good faith verification that a service account isn't a front for the Russians), but if they don't take some step to handle this, the US government may bring its complex and onerous export regulations (ITAR/EAR) down on Starlink terminals which could hobble international use let alone sales.

Submission + - Russia Deploying Starlink in Ukraine (newsweek.com) 1

Local ID10T writes: Ukrainian soldiers say Russia's military have begun using Elon Musk's Starlink satellite communications network in Ukraine, according to a journalist in the country.

"The military writes that the occupiers have Starlink with licensed accounts," Andriy Tsaplienko, a Ukrainian journalist, said on his Telegram channel, sharing a screenshot of two posts on X, formerly Twitter, that he says are from two Ukrainian soldiers.

"They began to deliver Starlink en masse, via Dubai, accounts are activated, they work in the occupied territories," one of the soldiers with the X handle @_Serhij_ wrote, referring to the four regions of Ukraine that were illegally annexed by Russia in the fall of 2022—Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizhzhia.

Another X user, @cpt_mitchell, said Ukrainian soldiers "can already see their Starlinks," adding: "I honestly thought they would do it sooner."

Starlink is operated by Musk's aerospace company SpaceX.

Russian news outlets also report that Starlink satellite communications systems are now being sold via multiple Russian online stores, supplied via an intermediary in Dubai. The systems are being sold to the Russian volunteer units for use in the annexed regions of Ukraine, according to the local publications.

"If this rumor is true, supplying Starlink via intermediary in Dubai should be considered a breach of sanctions against Russia. This also raises the question if Starlink is available for the Russians in the front?" asked Pekka Kallioniemi, a postdoctoral researcher at Tampere University in Finland, in a post on X.

Musk previously refused to allow Ukraine to use Starlink internet services to launch an attack on Crimea to avoid complicity in a "major act of war."

"There was an emergency request from government authorities to activate Starlink all the way to Sevastopol," he wrote in early September 2023 on X. "The obvious intent being to sink most of the Russian fleet at anchor. If I had agreed to their request, then SpaceX would be explicitly complicit in a major act of war and conflict escalation."

Comment Re:Paypal is disreputable (Score 2) 40

I don't know what people are talking about, you can do that in the US too via Zelle.

People are misunderstanding the timeframe the post is referring to. "Before Paypal" is referring to late 1990s, early 2000s during the "Wild West" days of the Internet when people were still trying to figure out how to enable payments for ecommerce and banks and financial institutions were still figuring things out. You're right in that today there are plenty of alternatives.

Comment Re:Too much friction... (Score 3, Interesting) 160

I think the various streaming services recognize the situation, but they are probably all hanging in there in hopes of outlasting the others. My feeling is that once you get down to maybe two or three large services, the studios may become more flexible in licensing their libraries to multiple services and ideally settling into a situation like music streaming today. However, while there's still hope that a studio's streaming service could remain supreme, they're not going to let go of their guns even as piracy increases and money bleeds.

Comment Myth of the Engineer is Overblown (Score 1) 191

A counterpoint: arguably Boeing's greatest CEO, Bill Allen, the man who bet the company on the Boeing 367 and oversaw development of the 707, 727, 737, and 747, was not an engineer. He was a Harvard lawyer. Similarly the CEO that oversaw the launch of the arguably the last successful Boeing product, the 777, Frank Shrontz, was also a lawyer and *gasp* a Harvard Business School MBA. Meanwhile, many of the Boeing leaders that led down to the mess today come from technical or manufacturing backgrounds: Phil Condit (mechanical and aerospace engineer), Harry Stonecipher (physicist), Ray Conner (mechanic and the head of commercial aircraft during the MAX development), and Dennis Muilenberg (engineer).

Comment A Lot of this is on Electrify America (Score 1) 426

One crucial aspect that is being missed on this is Electrify America. Specifically, a lot of new EV's sold have been including free two years of charging with EA. It's helping drive the chaos because EV owners are defaulting to EA charging stations because they are free. I have an EV that came with one of these EA bonuses, but the last couple of road trips, I haven't used EA because the queues were so bad, I just went to a different charging station. I suppose this will get partially sorted as people expire out of the free EA charging program.

Comment Chasing the Wechat / Alipay Model (Score 2) 109

My guess is he's belatedly joining Facebook and others in chasing the Alipay / Wechat model that provided highly successful in China. Essentially, they're trying to take ecommerce to the next step by becoming the complete interface between customers and merchants. The only problem with this is that in the United States, banks, credit cards, and large merchants, already weary of Silicon Valley, have watched the Chinese model in alarm, and they're going to fight tooth and nail to protect themselves from losing ground to Musk, Zuck, and others that are trying to displace them.

Comment Re: fool (Score 1) 122

The pollution piece is being a bit understated: the plant was fined by the EPA for hydrogen sulfide releases. The operators poisoned public perception of the safety of geothermal power. Also, rightly or wrongly, people don't fully understand what happens to the plant if active lava flow damages or destroys the plant. They had to shut down several of the wells during the 2018 eruption. When combined with the lack of trust in the operator's ability to manage pollution, it further amplifies fears.

There are also a couple of other things to consider. First, geothermal is a bit limited in Hawaii since the Big Island and Maui are the only places you have active volcanoes. Also, the islands do not share a power grid - each is independent (it's difficult to connect the islands due to the sheer drops in depth between each island), so even if Big Island and Maui could generate power, it's not possible to share it with the other islands, particularly Oahu where 70% of the state's population lives.

Comment Re:Victim of Own Success (Score 1) 259

I agree with your point, particularly around the Netflix and exclusive content spiral that led to the frustrating fragmentation of the market. I dislike the article itself because the "solutions" they offer don't fundamentally change the broader economics that are hurting streaming services. From the article:

It’s possible to disrupt this downward cycle but it involves doing all the sorts of things large corporations don’t want to do, like reducing insane executive compensation, accepting antitrust reform, prioritizing customer service, paying creatives, not wasting your money on dumb shit like Netflix-themed restaurants, and (gasp) taking a small financial hit in order to retain users and maintain product quality.

Sure, cut executive compensation, but that may buy you what, two mid-tier licensed shows at most? Antitrust reform doesn't even factor, and investments in customer service and paying creatives, and even being less greedy which I think are important, don't solve the fundamental problem of content being fragmented.

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