Mark my words, in the future it will become illegal for a human to operate a vehicle, first on designated-purpose roads, then eventually on most of them. Driving your own car will become a quaint hobby allowed only within local short-hop zones, or on closed systems.
I agree and that would be a good thing. The sooner the better.
The problem is not that humans can't drive vehicles safely, its that they don't. The first problem is they want to drive too fast. At 15 mph there would be almost no fatalities and very few serious injuries. It would also dramatically reduce emissions from transportation. As long as there are human drivers, that isn't going to happen.
By contrast, look at the speed of the typical street car. They are very slow, because safety is the priority. The same should happen with autonomous vehicles, safe as a streetcar is actually what the standard should be. Otherwise, the actual result of autonomous vehicles will be an increase in speed and miles driven while accepting the same number of casualties.
I partially agree. But what I hope will happen is that, as a tradeoff for giving up our right to drive our own car, the improved safety and precision of a network-controlled system means we collectively can go FASTER. For example, what we have now in the USA is a system were 200 million people accept as normal that 30-60 minutes of every morning and 30-60 minutes of their afternoon will be spent in "accordion" traffic jams -- where something like a plastic bag blew across the highway at 3pm, so a few highway tailgaters slammed on their inducing a compression-wave that self-perpetuates at that spot, propagates backward for half a mile as traffic density thickens, and doesn't begin to decompress until after 630pm.
With network-controlled cars, vehicles can be blended in as they merge/exit the highways, and when some tumbleweed event does cause a reaction, the other cars for the entire mile behind it are driving at a fault-tolerance distance and can instantly adjust. The ones closest adjust 90%, the ones at 200-300 feet adjust 80%, the 300-400 feet adjust 50%, and so on. That compression wave reaction happens, but resolves within a couple minutes because the algorithm is designed to always preserve X amount of distance between vehicles traveling at V speeds on R road conditions.
Additionally, the network knows your destination, so we can finally have TRUE Express Lanes that arise from and separate themselves from local traffic, without needing to build separate lanes. The algorithm knows it can put you in the left lane at top speed for the next 30 miles, and it knows who will be exiting in the next 3 miles and needs to merge over.
Because of this setup, the vehicles in the Express Lane can be traveling 80-120mph and be MORE safe than we are today at 55mph.
Speed doesn't kill. Alcohol doesn't kill. Cell phones don't kill.
Reaction Time kills, period
Speed, drug impairment, and phone distraction, all affect your Reaction Time stat. It's like an RPG debuff. A spell that reduces your armor rating doesn't damage you. You can walk around the NPC town with 0 armor all day long. But when something bad happens and you DO get hit you'll take more damage.
100mph with clear road visibility and larger distance between cars is significantly safer than 50mph on your phone 25ft behind the Toyota Sequoia that blocks your parallax view of the road ahead.